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Sept. 2009: the second warmest month in 130 years

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The Associated Press

Date: Friday Oct. 16, 2009 8:53 AM ET

WASHINGTON — September was the second warmest month in 130 years of recordkeeping, just behind 2005, the U.S. government said Thursday.

World temperatures last month averaged 60.1 degrees Fahrenheit (15.6 degrees Celsius), or 1.1 degrees (0.6 degree Celsius) above normal, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said.

Three-quarters of the way through the year, NOAA said, 2009 is lining up to be the sixth warmest year on record.

Accordingly, because of an El Nino weather event, warming in parts of the Pacific Ocean that affects weather worldwide, the agency also reported that much of the United States probably will have a warmer winter than normal.

Even Alaska, at the northwestern tip of North America, has a higher chance of warmer temperatures.

The El Nino will play a big role in helping some drought-parched regions of the United States, said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

Halpert said the El Nino currently is weak but is expected to strengthen to a moderate-sized weather variation in the next few weeks. The El Nino not only influences the forecast but it also gives forecasters more confidence that what they predict will come true, he said.

The El Nino makes forecasts for a wetter southern Texas and less than average snowfall in the northern Rockies far more likely to come true, Halpert said.

And it may not be good news for next year's Winter Olympic Games in Vancouver, British Columbia.

The Olympic city can expect "a dry and warm winter, but it certainly can be cool enough for snow," Halpert said.

Comments are now closed for this story

Andre
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But I guarantee you that July an August must have been among the coolest summer months ever here in Toronto.It is pretty clear why the global warming crowd only picks the news that fits their agenda.


Rob - Toronto
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To the previous comment, the world does not end in your backyard. The issue of global warming is average global temperatures. If you do not understand the word global I cannot help you but it is not exclusive of Toronto. Tell that to the island nations whose land is being taken away from rising sea levels, BC residents who are dealing with hotter drier summers and increased forest fires, industries in northern canada including oil and gas whose working seasons are cut short becuase the ice roads are not frozen as long and the other countries around the world who have seem more severe drought and heat waves.The debate about global warming is over and has been settled by scientists who actaully know what they are talking about not some narrowminded person who looks in his backyard and declares global warming isn't happening.


Mark
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Global warming isn't even that big of a problem guys.. Quit whining about stupid things and look at the effects of the term OCEAN WARMING. It's quite a bit more serious.. But in the end, it's all connected.. The sun, the earth, the wind, the water. I hope you will open your eyes. Good luck and have fun.


Jon
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Thousands of years ago, the earths temperature was rising too, than suddenly, it dropped substantially and we got what we know now as "the Ice age". It's too bad, there were not advocates back then, surely if someone had been around to insist that man of those times pay extra money for their SUVs and industrial living, that climate change may never have happened. Oh well, luckily we have people here to save us from climate change, by taking our money.


Dontbignorant
said
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And wouldn't you rather that the summer months in Toronto returned to the warm weather that it used to see during those months and cool weather in Sept.? Shouldn't the fact that the weather pattern was messed up this summer be a flag to you that something isn't right?


Tim from Calgary
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October sure came in like a lion here with cold temperatures and lots of snow.


Vancouver Island Cattle Rancher
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True enough Andre, because as the east of Canada wallowed in a pool of water this summer, we out here on the Island went for 73 days without any precipitation, setting record temperatures in the low 40's, which was only following a very dry Spring and a winter which was not only white, but snowy for four straight months. Our own measurements on the farm, showed 109 inches of total snowfall from end of November 08 through March 17th 09, reaching down to -23 (not that bad) but averaging -5 thru the winter.

Soooooo climate change analisysts seem to regard this an anomoly and now they are setting up for the great El Nino event? Last El Nino brought us a lot of snow too...and melt with it. Clearly Ontario and Quebec had poor and cool weather for the summer, which must affect the annual average. I dont recall seeing "them" measure the "fall" weather with certainty before. As it is Environment Canada is brutal at determing weather for crops at a pace other than daily for harvest here on the West Coast.


B. Kelley, Ontario
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No one could seriously argue that climate change is not happening. However, a growing body of evidence indicates that it is part of a natural cycle and not the result of human intervention. If we can't start it then we sure can't stop it. It's time that politicians quit trying to gain power and increase our taxes through environmental scare mongering. Highly compensated crusaders like Al Gore and David Suzuki need to acknowledge reality and admit that they just may have been preaching from the wrong pulpit all along. The tragedy of science being based on popular opinion instead of fact is that it pulls scientific integrity down to the same level as speculation on alien abductions and Big Foot sightings.


CROSS
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And the number of hurricanes equaled...zero...!And the number of typhoons went through the roof...!Eastern Canada never had a summer this year...!And it's snowing in some parts of US and Canada one month too soon....!On and on we go in a year when less fuel was consumed (world recession) compared to the past 20 years and we end up with temperatures rising.Science is a joke at times.Top it off...One good blast from the Sun and we fry like eggs in a flash.Sooo...what is it that warms this planet?Find out by venturing to the Moon and bake your buns off, where there is "no" atmosphere to pollute..!Hail almighty Sun...!


Fred N.
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Unfortunately the NOAA Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST) is a merging of surface station readings that have been modified (known as homogenization) and a Surface Sea Temperature (SST) dataset. The merging of these datasets by a process developed by Smith& Reynolds (2008) has a known warm bias. Therefore this dataset is not used by most climatologists.


Mark
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B Kelly -- "However, a growing body of evidence indicates that it is part of a natural cycle and not the result of human intervention. If we can't start it then we sure can't stop it."Good point I must say.. It is a cycle. A natural cycle at that.. We DID NOT START this cycle, and ofcourse we CANNOT STOP it either. But when you realllllllllllly stop to THINK about it... Could we actually PUSH the cycle to SPIN FASTER??Who knows..Would we be told that an ice-age would happen in 5 years from now? I think not, until the last few days before hand at best. Let's keep paying our taxes for security reasons.. I feel safe behind the government.


MtnView
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Folks, here in Calgary, where we sit beside the Rockies, we have been hitting record lows (-16 C) and plenty of snow. Weather here is predictably unpredictable, so it's best just to keep your sense of humour. I have trouble swallowing global warming and/or climate change solely caused by human activity. It is inevitable that the planet earth will continue to change and evolve as history has shown us. Do you know why Alberta has oil, gas and dino bones? Because it was tropical here millions of years ago with lush vegetation. Maybe history will repeat itself, regardless of how hard you put the brakes on human activity and our carbon footprints....................


Vancovuer Island Cattle Rancher
said
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No arguments here that climate change is upon us, where here in the once mighty fir and hemlock forests of Vancouver Island, where at one time one big tree held enough dimension lumber to build 27 houses of 3000 sq ft. We are now seeing the demise of much of the Western Red Cedars from summer drought and a dropping of the water tables, though you wouldnt know it from this mornings rainfall. Hemlocks are dying off as well. Douglas Fir is remaing very strong and in fact their range is likely inching northward in British Columbia. It is though simply understood that this is in fact just a grain of sand for time in relativity to geologic time and that is the point many are missing. Mother Nature has nurtured and cared for this earth in the past with checks and balances and will continue to do so; for people, expecially urban dwellers who may only see the green and fields on the internet most of their lives, need to realize that this has happened on the planet before. The North Atlantic Oscillation sic Conveyor belt has catastrophically stopped before...read last Ice Age and also the North Pacific Oscillation aka Aleutien Low moving further south allowing for greater deposit of snowfall longer and deeper than normal. Strangely enough these are real possibilities but it beggars belief that us modern day humans seem to think we are on the "brink" of something that mighty just because science is pointing to it happening. It bloody well happened over thousands of years, the ice sheets didnt just show up one day like in the movies where Wall st floods then freezes in hours. So people catch yourselves on and realize its all part of a greater force at work.


d_abes
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Rob-Toronto: The debate on global warming is far from over. In the past month it has been shown that the data Mann used to create the famous hockey stick graph was critically flawed.

As more time passes, more of the dire predictions from a decade ago prove to be false. Sea Ice is growing at both poles, the monster storms predicted failed to materialize as the Atlantic ocean has cooled 2 degrees. The IPCC estimates from 10 years ago for today have been missed by 400%. I am not saying it's not going to happen, I am simply stating the science today is nothing if not inconclusive, and we need far more answers before we engage in radical taxation and economic twisting to combat what may yet be a Quixote Windmill.


WS
said
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To the people that say they don't doubt global warming is taking place but that it's part of a natural cycle: I say pull your heads out of the sand and look at the hard evidence. The natural cycle in temperature changes has in the past taken many 100s or thousands of years for t5he type of changes we're seeing in just a few short decades.


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