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Canadian dollar approaching parity with U.S. dollar
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The vast majority of Canadians are consumers, not exporters. The appreciation of our currency is like a pay raise, giving us increased buying power, the end result -- more jobs.
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Canadian dollar approaching parity with U.S. dollar
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Canadian dollar approaching parity with U.S. dollar
CTV.ca News Staff
Date: Tue. Oct. 13 2009 4:42 PM ET
The Canadian dollar is creeping closer to parity with the American greenback, closing up 0.73 of a cent to 96.48 cents US on Tuesday.
The dollar had risen to as high as 97.42 cents US earlier in the day, and it's expected to keep gaining strength if the value of the U.S. dollar continues to plummet against other world currencies.
The weakness of the greenback drove the value of the loonie up from about 95.75 cents on Friday.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper expressed concern about the dollar's rise on Tuesday. Speaking in Vancouver, he said the loonie's strength poses a risk to Canada's economic recovery.
Harper said the loonie is ultimately the Bank of Canada's responsibility, but did not give advice for what the central bank should do.
Eric Lascelles of TD Securities said two factors are contributing to the loonie's rise.
"Part of it is simply that the U.S. dollar itself is quite weak, so many currencies are experiencing some gain versus the U.S. dollar," Lascelles said Tuesday during an interview with CTV News Channel. "But the Canadian dollar seems to be experiencing even more than most and it seems to me that of course we've seen some very healthy, surprisingly healthy, economic data in Canada."
Lascelles pointed in particular to Statistics Canada data from last week that showed the country's unemployment rate fell from 8.7 per cent in August to 8.4 per cent in September, for a gain of about 30,000 jobs.
"Indeed that economic data has been sufficiently strong I think as to persuade some players in the market that perhaps there's a risk the Bank of Canada could hike rates sooner rather than later. And of course that's always a positive thing for a currency, as well."
The loonie has also soared because of a heightened demand for commodities in the global market, and the demand for commodities has gone up because the U.S. dollar took a nosedive, according to BNN's Michael Kane.
"It has a slingshot affect because commodities are priced in U.S. dollars," Kane told News Channel. "So when the U.S. dollar goes down against other currencies, it makes gold and oil, platinum and copper relatively more attractive to non-U.S. investors, so that has the effect of people coming in and buying up gold and having the effect of driving prices of gold higher."
"That's a positive for the Canadian currency because our economy is tied into the price (of commodities) so it's like a doubling of the influence when the U.S. dollar gets weaker and that's what we're seeing here today," he added.
While a weak U.S. dollar may give Canadians more purchasing power, it will also cause serious financial struggles for the manufacturing industry, Kane said.
Kane said the international market might look elsewhere for cheaper deals on commodities and other Canadian exports. The markets indicate that the loonie will likely soar in value to match the greenback and will likely stay that way for a while, he said.
"When it does hit parity, and maybe goes beyond a little bit, we'll see it stuck there for what is being called 'an extended period of time,'" he said. "If the normal value of the Canadian dollar is at par, then the manufacturing industry in Canada which sells into an international market will have to take it very, very seriously because what it means is that other countries can supply manufacturing goods perhaps at a cheaper rate."
As for when the loonie may hit parity with the greenback, Lascelles said analysts are hesitant to say that whether it's a matter of weeks or months.
"But who am I kidding? When you're only two or three cents away, obviously anything can happen on a day-to-day, week-to-week basis," he said. "Our view is that yes, parity is reached and yes you even perhaps breach it ever so slightly by a cent or two going into early 2010."
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I applaud the budget, even though Health Care and education may stay unscathed. Sadly this cannot last and I worry to later this year where cuts will become enviable. If anything, this provides the Wildrose Alliance plenty of ammo when an election is called.







Please Add Comments( )
Phil in London
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SHerry
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cam
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Joe Szentirmay
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Marc Ottawa
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david sawkiw[saskatchewan farmer]
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alan
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Red X
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Cheap veggies vs Employment
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Canada Inc.
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Rachel
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randyr
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Chris
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So yeah, we can blame taxes... but we can't put all the blame on taxes.When our dollar was worth $1.10 US, we still paid way more for everything compared to Americans. No wonder there is so much cross-border shopping by Canadians. But who benefits with that? Americans. :(
Garry
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Doug @ BC
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In general,I oppose using the low dollar as a way to create jobs.Doing that is no different than the "subsidies" we've recently used to keep companies in business.The only difference is that the 64 cent dollar was a subsidy paid for by consumers in Canada,in the form of higher prices.While the bailout money that is not repaid by industry,will eventually be considered a subsidy paid for by taxpayers,in the form of higher taxes. The real road to success,and the real generator of good jobs,will have to come in the form of increased productivity by ALL of us,and by our employers.Manufactureres will have to make things people alll over the world want,at a price they can afford to pay.The debate about how to do this is THE REAL DEBATE.But subsidies will NEVER AGAIN be a long tern solution.
Rick in nb, sTE mARIE
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David Winter
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David Winter-London Ontario
Garry
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You may bill in US currency but that doesn't mean that your company can't discount your price by the amount of change in the dollar that is curretly hurting your sales. Lower your profit to a level where your sales will continue at an acceptable level.
Vote NDP in the next federal/provincial election
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G Reed
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Rob
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GP
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So the money market managers, are up to their old tricks again. Make money from nothing...artificially inflate an area and then cash in just before the mini-bubble bursts. Yes I understand Asian economies are growing at a fast rate...another unexplainable event (wonder what would happen if there was a China economic bubble that burst). To make things worse the BOC has painted itself into a corner where it has no ability to lower interest rates to punish this type of behaviour.And the wheels of the bus go round and round...there is some very weird shenanigans going on here, based on nothing...no real growth to justify this.
Fred
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Linda in Vancouver
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However,if you live in a resource based area of Canada,where oil and gas,and other raw resources that are sold in $US anyway,those who buy your products will notice very little difference.So now,employer costs that are priced in $Can will remain the same,while profits that are based in $US will rise.And,equipment that is imported to make business more productive or to expand capacity,will now be much cheaper. Either way,I like the higher dollar.I largely agree with those who suggest subsidizing business is not a good,long term economic plan.ANd the low valued dollar is simply a hidden way to subsidize companies that are unable to compete.It also ecourages mediocrity and dicourages looking for ways to be more innovative or productive.
The challenge now, is how to use our vasxt supply of resources to make things. To sell lumber and wood products,rather than simply exporting trees.Or to refine Alberta oil into finished products,rather than exporting those jobs. Or to lower taxes on oil and energy used by industry in Canada to help them compete in forign markets. That's the only way I can see that uses the resources of Canada to the benefit of ALL Canadians. But that,my firends,is a project for a decade,or even a generation.Not an easy challenge to meet.
G Reed
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Wade Ens
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Anne (Oshawa)
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Roscoe Wilson, PHD
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Richard
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The US is trying to print their way out of the recession; little wonder the US $$ is dropping like a rock.
gregnb
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don.h
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it is not the strong dollar that is hurting the companys,but the over paid union workers ( ie. auto sector ),with their demand for high wages,big pensions and benefits.
dodge
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rob in Calgary
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Chantal
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Lz in Finance
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annie
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Aaron in Toronto
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simran dhindsa
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The Other Lowell in BC
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Sandra
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Marg in Calgary
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Karl
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Catwoman 37
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