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Flaherty: It's too early to declare recession over

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CTV News: Ottawa Bureau Chief Robert Fife reports

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CTV.ca News Staff

Date: Tue. Jul. 28 2009 10:07 PM ET

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty says it might be premature to declare an end to Canada's recession.

The minister made the remarks Tuesday on his way into a Conservative caucus meeting.

"No, I think we will have to look back as we always do, and look at this quarter," Flaherty said when asked whether he agreed with the Bank of Canada's most recent assessment of the economy.

"There are good signs that the economy has stabilized," he said. "There are the beginnings of a recovery, and I wouldn't put it any stronger than that."

Flaherty's statement seemed to go against the Bank of Canada's assessment, which declared last week that the recession would end in the current quarter.

The bank said the national economy will grow by 1.3 per cent during the summer months, after contracting for three straight quarters.

Far from echoing that assessment, Flaherty said steps should be taken to keep Canada's economy from shrinking.

"I think we have to be careful. We have to continue to implement the economic action plan," he said. "We have to continue with the stimulus to the economy, to avoid the danger of some slowness reoccurring."

The minister also cautioned that the number of Canadians who receive regular Employment Insurance benefits will likely continue to swell in the months ahead.

Statistics Canada reported on Tuesday that EI payouts have hit their highest level since 1997. About 778,700 Canadians received EI benefits in May -- 65,600 more than a month earlier. Ontario and Alberta experienced the largest jump.

Since the recession struck last October, the number of EI recipients has grown by 278,300.

Opposition MPs have also cast doubt on the perception that the economy is on the rebound.

"In fact, the situation will get worse in the fall, into the winter and perhaps, next year," said Liberal house leader Ralph Goodale.

With files from The Canadian Press

Comments are now closed for this story

Graeme
said
0 0

This is great news considering Flaherty's track record of "predictions" during this recession. Him claiming the recession isn't over probably means it is.


adm Saskatchewan
said
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What a difference of opinion here. Is the Bank of Canada being overly optimistic or is our finance minister being overly cautious?


bcdarr
said
0 0

When the liberals and conservatives talk election based on the outcome of an EI advisory panel, it makes me think they're anticipating a LOT of unemployed voters. That makes it hard to believe we're facing a rosy future.
I'm not a conservative supporter but I DO give kudos to Flaherty for finally saying something I can believe.
Don't get me wrong I would LOVE the recession to be over, but if the whole world is in trouble what are the odds Canada is miraculously saved from facing hard times too?


Eric
said
0 0

Can't wait to see which way the Liberal posters on here will go.

Either you have to side with the BoC that the recession is ending and can't complain about how the Conservatives are causing the recession, anymore. Or they agree with Flaherty, continue preaching doom and gloom, and lose the ability to say Flaherty is always wrong.

Decisions Decisions.


NN
said
0 0

Probably the best time to spend stimulus money is at the beginning of a recovery; much of what was spent in freefall was simply absorbed. It all counts though.

DCR-Toronto
said
0 0

The Finance Minister is simply being cautiously optimistic. It is good to see him being careful and not saying things that will mislead the public. We all know we are in hard times. I tip my hat to Flaherty. The BoC may be right, but it is the duty of the goverment to show caution.
Somehow I get the feeling the Liberals will spin this as a "flip flop", but it surely isn't. The Conservatives have read this recession very well, and are acting accordingly. Well done.


Adam, mtl
said
0 0

finally some sense from the guy. well said. this is far from over


Skippy
said
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Mr Flaherty did not see the recession coming, nor did the Bank of Canada - why should we trust either of them to tell us it is over. Besides how come it takes 2 quarters of shrinking economy to declare a recession and 1 good quarter say it is over?

what a load. Why not article 18 of the bank of Canada act for domestic projects - WHY?


Skippy
said
0 0

TSX down 200 points - recession is on again -


Prof. Pye Chartt
said
0 0

TRANSLATION:

The federal government has already sucked millions of Canadians into believing that our nation will collapse without billions of dollars of taxpayer money being poured into the economy. People have already kissed that (their) money goodbye, so, we need to stick with the "plan" and spend that cash...after all, it won't hurt.

In the end, it'll look like we saved the country.


Buba
said
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Flaherty must have been struck by lightning.
His last couple of statements have been closer to the truth than anything that I've heard from him before.


island girl
said
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Everyone has their own agenda and they will spin statistics in their favour. Ask 'What has this person got to gain with this prediction?' Helps to sort out the wheat from the chaff.


Laurie
said
0 0

Why is it that good news attracts the naysayers and negative comments? The fact the recession may be coming to a quick end should be welcomed. Of course unemployment rose during the recession, why harp on it??!! Put the politics aside for once, be thankful that our government helped us through a recession with far less pain than other countries suffered. For once, just be thankful we live in Canada!


TVic
said
0 0

Nope, he won't declare the recession over until an election is called and then watch the glowing communications lines flowing out of the PMO and Harper will take credit for it all.



Mark Smith (Montreal QC)
said
0 0

It just occurred to me:

One of the problems with our economy is a strong dollar. Canadians are a little annoyed at over spending by the government but are accepting it since it is the recession. BoC declares recession is over, but Flaherty says "wait, not quite there yet", justifies printing and spending even more money, devaluing the dollar, boosting our economy.

Tada!

This could probably create jobs again, at the cost of inflation. More people make money, but no one is really richer.

Sneaky sneaky....


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