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Tories optimistic about economy, election chances
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CTV.ca News Staff
Date: Mon. Jul. 27 2009 8:24 PM ET
Buoyed by a sunny economic forecast, the federal Conservatives say they'll be ready to fight their political foes if the opposition attempts to trigger an election this fall.
Still, any national campaign in the next four months seems increasingly unlikely, given the announcement last week from the Bank of Canada's Mark Carney that the country is out of recession.
While the Conservatives appeared to be on the brink of defeat throughout the winter and spring, Carney's predictions seem to have given Stephen Harper's minority government a much-needed boost.
Indeed, much of the Liberals' momentum in the final weeks of the spring session stemmed from their ability to pin the economic downturn on Tory mismanagement.
That momentum crested in June as the Liberals pushed the government to reform the Employment Insurance program.
But heading into two days of election training at an Ottawa hotel, followed by a caucus meeting on Wednesday, the Conservatives seemed upbeat.
"This declaration last week that the recession is over, certainly buoyed the Conservatives," said CTV Ottawa Bureau Chief Robert Fife on Monday.
While Fife said that Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff will likely begin to vote against the government in the fall session, the Conservatives have a strong defence strategy.
"They can argue, 'Look, the whole world is in recession ... we're one of the first countries that's having growth,'" Fife noted.
Fife added that the Conservatives will get a further boost from a summer away from Parliament, as Harper and his team make spending announcements and shore up support at summer parties and BBQs.
"The summer has always helped the Conservatives and their polling numbers," said Fife, who added that this week's meetings will still include election training, just in case.
Fife said the party will meet with national campaign director Doug Finley, Harper's right-hand man and the political strategist who has engineered the party's recent election victories.
Though some in the party believe that the Liberals will indeed try to topple them, others feel that the economic recovery may have deflated Ignatieff's ambitions for a quick contest.
"By and large, I would say things are pretty positive compared to what we might have been expected. We're not out of it yet, but positive signs for sure," Minister of State for Sport Gary Lunn told The Canadian Press.
"There's an expectation that if we could be into an election, the earliest it could be is a year from now, in the fall of 2010. There's lots of people saying that."
Still, Minster of Natural Resources Lisa Raitt said gearing up for a political battle is always a good chance to step up your game.
"It's nice and it's going back to the basics, which is what matters. The voter is what matters, communicating with the voter, and making sure our constituents are served," said Raitt.
"It's good to go back to the school, I think you can always learn."
With files from The Canadian Press
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I applaud the budget, even though Health Care and education may stay unscathed. Sadly this cannot last and I worry to later this year where cuts will become enviable. If anything, this provides the Wildrose Alliance plenty of ammo when an election is called.


Comments are now closed for this story
Ontarian of chinese background
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To their credit they are becoming a little bit less partisan through forced collaboration with the other party, they did expand Nahanni National Park, and they are doing a little something for Arctic Sovereignty.
Tony
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MAL of TO
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Mario - Rockland
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The economy will be in the tank for some time to come due to the dollar and the fact that yes, all of this money is being spent this summer on big projects, but once winter hits and the majority of construction workers are off the job, and the majority of the roads and bridges have been repaved and fixed, there will be a second wave of bad economic news. Let's not be blind to the fact that not much can change until the U.S. gets back on it's feet. It's just fact. So let's calm down, let those who can, continue spending within your limits and we will stay afloat until Ladie Liberty gets back on her feet.
Dean
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O ya I know,when the Con's get their majority in the next fed ellection.Mr Harper was right all along,but patience in the media is a joke supported by doom and gloomers (coalition of morons) is far more sexy.
Time to be positive people and yes the sun does rise every day.
The Do-Nothing Party waits for improvement
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Then claims credit.
Conservatives = the party for people who don't believe in leadership.
the old lady
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You say taxes should have been cut to low income Families.
Low income Families pay little or no tax now. When benefits and deductions (personal and for each member of their family) are totaled up they pay almost nothing.
I am glad the GST was lowered. I am glad for the income splitting for Seniors. I am glad for the $5000.00 tax free savings account. I am glad for the training and schooling laid off workers are receiving(better than welfare). I am glad for the projects that have been funded that puts tradesmen to work. I am glad we do not have a Liberal or NDP Government
I am glad we have a Government that gives back a little to the average person who works every day and for retired people who have it a little easier now.
allan
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Kent in BC
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Get the facts straight
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To my liberal friends, and I used to be a liberal voter, your party's problem is the same as your posters on these sites. Lie, twist the truth, make things up and have not plan for the future. Now I know where the Liberal Party of Canada gets it from.
Stop rewriting history. The Ression sky did not fall and the economy is doing OK in light of the rest of the world.
Don't get me wrong the strong financial postion of this country is a result of both parties work over the years, but in this case lets give credit where credit is due. The current Government is doing a good job.
Enough with the lies half truths and the comments not based in any sort of reality.
Steve B
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Andrea in Ottawa
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But if I had no choice between the two, I would vote for the party that would stand up for change for Canadians, and deal with the poverty issues in Canada.
Steve in PEI
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Our economy is literally fueled by a resource whose supply is no longer capable of keeping up with demand. Recessions and stagnant growth are the new normal until we can significantly reduce our dependence on oil. Get used to it.
The political implication - the Tories should do everything in their power to go to the polls pretty much *now*, early fall being the optimum, while people still believe that what we have come to think of as normal service is resuming and are willing to give some credit to the Tories' utterly conventional Keynesian stimulus spending. Later on, when the country realizes the Tories have spent us into the poor house with nothing to show for it, they will likely turn to the Liberals even though the Liberals would have done the exact same thing had they been in power.
Just a Canadian...
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Peter Kavanagh
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Bev
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Tim from Calgary
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Joe Canadian
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Brian
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hollinm
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Kyle
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A Conservative majority government would opperate much smoother than having Ignatieff's menacing suggestions and demands always throwing cogs in what would be good solutions.
GJ PM
james from Vancouver
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Another Ontarian of Chinese Background
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Ray Jacques, Glen Robertson, ON
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Nobody remembers that Mr. Harper could not wait to bring down the Paul Mrtin Liberal Government.
Harper even tried to make a Coalition with the NDP and yes with the BLOC - but Paul Martin set an election date.
Now the Liberals have very good cause to want an election even if only on the Employment Insurance eligibility issue - Add to that:
i) bad management and incompetence - "What recession ?" in the last election (or did he lie yet again ?)
ii) The infantile finalncial update of the Conservatives - thought-out at below the level of a kindergarten student
iii) lie by Harper (we heard his own voice on tape saying that he had financial discussions with Chuck Cadman withnessed by a reporter) which he now denies !
iv) Mis-handling of the Listeriosis crisis by ideology driven degregaulation of food inspectors as opposed to any well thought-out improvement to the system - (22) dead !
v) Harper speaking on the world stage taking credit for our solid Canadian banking system. When he was in opposition - he screamed for deregulation of our banks !
vi) The "in-and-out" illegal spending in an election by Harper and denial that he broke the law - Now in court !!
vii) Harper overspent by 29 Billion before the recession hit
This list could continue for (30) odd faux-pas - some very serious including being dis-honest.
What did the Liberals do according to Harper ? Be dishonest (NB the Liberals were found to be not guilty of Harper's major claims (Adscam) in the election against Paul Martin - by a Conservative juge Gomery no less !
Why would anybody want this low class Prime Minister to remain on office ???
Time for an election
Ron
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John From the West
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MARG MM
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By the way has anyone seen or heard from Mr Ignatieff lately?
Wonder what he has been doing while the Conservatives are at least working during the summer break.
Fred - Brandon MB
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The current opposition parties show no logic in their stubborn quest to refuse to cooperate with the minority government.
The only solution is to elect a Conservative majority, then at least we won't have election every 18 to 24 months!
JPC
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Jim in Ontario
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I would like to see a majority Conservative government if Ignatieff plays his election threat (edition 4) this fall. I still think the fiscal "stimulus" was a waste of taxpayer money and would have preferred to see the Prime Minister tell the Coalition to "stuff it".
Don Aitken- Kelowna ,BC
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Where did all the money go, a pittance to ordinary Canadians & massive Tax breaks for his Oil buddies & the Banks & Insurance Companies.The Billion's of $ he has put us is in to debt is his payback for the years he worked for these special interest groups that have paid his way to power.
Don't be fooled by a few feel good headlines.
Check out his background and you will see the future he envision's for Canada. Believe me Harpers Canada with a majority will not be a pretty picture.
V aka Layton in Moncton
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I would wager that we are only, technically out of recession, but if you take the PM at his word from the last election, we were never in one to begin with. People are still looking for work, or are under employed. We still are heavily resource based in our economy and if no one is buying... well there will be no recovery.
The GST cut was not needed. It cost us billions, money that could have been used to pay down debt, build infrastructure like wind energy, solar street lighting, commuter rail service...all legitimate INVESTMENTS in Canada. All investments with a forward vision to help us kick the oil habit. Peak Oil is either here or just past, and when the supply is outstripped by demand, mark my words, Harper will have no clue what to do, since he closed the window of opportunity long ago. Throw the bums out.
I am a former Liberal supporter, I'm leaning toward Green or Canadian Action Party. The main stream has failed us. Time to take back OUR government.
Don Aitken- Kelowna ,BC
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It is too bad they don't have enough strength of their conviction to actually use their own names.
Rosie
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Charles
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The Liberals will most likely be the best party to balance the books sooner and be able to work with the other parties.
Doug
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Yes, memories sure are short when it comes to politics. We've been royally screwed by a complete line up of idiots acting as prime ministers. Most recently Mulroney, Chretien, and Martin have all given us the shaft. Why people are given to believe that the guy waiting in the wings to pull the plug on a minority won't just turn around and do the same thing???
kevin
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Henry
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the Government of Canada is weak
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the Government of Canada is scared of people
It adds up
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Coffee
3 cents a day X 365 days = $10.95
Hydro
1200 year = $24.00
Car gas
$60 month =1.20x12months = 14.40
heating oil/gas
600year - 12.00
your avg grocery bill (although no GST on basic foods)
$3 every 2 weeks = $54.00
Misc expenses a year
1200 = $24.00
So in about 30 secs i calculate about $150 in tax savings just on monthly expenses
Add in one big purchase a year then you can double that.
But hey if you don't want a couple hundred dollars back in your pocket. I can send you my address. I know a tonne of places I, not the government, can spend it.
Or in another way
cost of GST cut
10 billion (just google it)
pop of Canada 33 million
that equals about 303$ per man woman and child in this country.
well I know my family of 4 did not see 1200$ reduction in tax but probably a good 500-600 dollars.
If you don't want a significant tax cut again I will take it.
The old arguement of 3 cents per cup of coffee doesnt work. the GST cut was a significant tax shift back to the tax payer.
if you don't believe me listen to Ontarian's complaining about the merging of the GST and PST. Pay a few cents more on a few items and people are freaking out.
It all adds up.
The GST cut was great for me and my family.
John from St. Albert, Alberta
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V, I respect much of your viewpoint here, and agree there might have been better courses of action by Harper. What I feel is missing from your viewpoint, is the need to account for the political reality that is imposed on Harper by a rather hostile and maniuplative political media framework, that Harper needs to work around when implementing fiscal and economic policy in our current climate. The anti-conservative bias, I have found, can be remarkably irrational, so that any and every decision that is made by a non-liberal-party leader is often terribly maligned and misreported. I would be willing and sometimes glad to give credence to a TRULY liberal idealogical opinion, from time to time, as they often have great intelligence, insight, and social value. Our mainstreem media has, I'm afraid, made such an effort to dicotamize these two socio-political philosophies, in sole favor of the liberal side (and at unscrupulous expense of the conservative side), that most primetime newswatching Canadians are not afforded the genuine ability to make a real personal evaluation of these often competing, and rarely conflicting viewpoints on how to ultimately achieve the same goal: Do what is in Canada's best interest. At the core, both parties want this, but merely disagree on the best means to achieve it...and this is what has been lost to all of us who really care and deserve to hear better answers. Now politicians of all stripes guise the answers to all questions with such deflection, out of genuine fear of unfounded reprisals, that we as a voting populace are much the poorer these days.
I for one belive Harper is attempting to deliver the same goals you and I are both seeking, while treading through such shark-infested waters.
V aka Layton in Moncton
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"well I know my family of 4 did not see 1200$ reduction in tax but probably a good 500-600 dollars."
Since you have your calculator in high gear take your household income and divide $600 into it... Unless you have a household income of about $24 000 this is a pittance. If you think these table scraps are 'significant', 600 divided by 365 = $1.65. I bet you're living high on the hog with this significant tax break. The government just bought you a coffee a day, congrats, too bad we'll be paying off the deficit this created for another 40 years or so... nice fiscal management.
Troglodyte
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Steve From Alberta
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Mike
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Ray Jacques, Glen Robertson, ON
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I sent in a post earlier today outlining a sampling of the many errors in judgement, outright lies and genreral mismanagement of our Government by Mr. Harper and the Conservatives.
To my amazement, I got many more thumbs down for my post than is reasonable.
It is NOT my fault that my list of the Harper Government's lack of good deeds and way too many mis-deeds is so long.
I did not include the very recent bad faith exhibited by Mr. Harper's man Polivre. He said that there was no chance for the Liberal Party's position being accepted by the Conservatives - What a great way to start a negotiation!!
Another timely Conservative problem - the Chalk River isotopes disaster and mis-handling ? Many possible solutions - Only the Conservatives cannot seems to find any ! except for the famous - we don't know what to do about the problem - so let's sell AECL !!! What kind of a solution is that ?
Only a few months ago, it was such an urgent matter that Parliament sat at night and Gary Lunn "HAD" to fire the nuculear regulation Mrs. Keene because she was a Liberal apointee ??!! These are the actions of uneducated thugs whio thaink and act like Canadians are fools who not know any better - and I am starting to wonder if Mr. Harper's isn't correct in his appraisal ?
Blame Harper for his crap - NOT ME
By the way - it is hight time that some posters start being a little more honest in their posts.
I understanf that you love your guy - but - by ANY standard, Mr. Harper has underperformed and has pretty much succeeded in dividing the political views in our Counrty
This is not something that Mr. Harper should be proud of nor should Canadians support
Jim in Edmonton
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Herb
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MARG MM
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Apparently you are a Liberal "Storm trooper" which is fine, as it a free country and everyone is entitled to their opinion.
One thing the Conservative "Storm troopers" don't do is put down other peoples opinions and act like theirs is the only one worth considering.
I am not paid by any party, just someone who can think for herself, and at this time, believe that we are on the right course with the Conservatives. If that turns out not to be true, then I will feel free to support someone else.
Would you do that or you a Liberal supporter no matter what?
By the way how do we know that you are using your real name????
Jay, Ottawa
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It's time we start demanding a higher standard out of this Conservative party. Is Harper really the best they can do? Absolutely not. We deserve better. For any hope of winning Quebec and Ontario Mr. Harper better start working on reasons to give up the leadership.
Jay, Ottawa
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Some of use just prefer to be realistic and not accept every lie told us. Raise yourself to a higher standard Dean. You deserve it.
Jay, Ottawa
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A real leader would have stood up and said no. Instead Harper caved. How is that leadership?
DonB
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Tim from Calgary
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