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Which businesses are recession-proof?

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Canada AM: Ian Portsmouth, PROFIT Magazine

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CTV.ca News Staff

Date: Mon. Dec. 1 2008 2:22 PM ET

Most businesses are bracing for a downward slide as recession sets in and people begin to slow their spending or halt it altogether. But it's not all doom and gloom in the economy.

According to one expert, there are a number of businesses out there that thrive while everyone else is struggling just to survive. As a result, those industries offer some rare bright lights in a steadily dimming job market.

"There's always opportunity in every economy and it just so happens that recessions breed all sorts of counter-cyclical opportunities that people can exploit," Ian Portsmouth, of Profit Magazine told CTV's Canada AM.

"We've all heard about Campbell Soup stock going up, because at this point in time people want to buy low-cost comfort food."

And McDonald's restaurants across the country aren't pulling any Big Macs or McChickens off the grill either.

"McDonalds' sales went up 8 per cent in October over the year prior because people are downgrading their dining out options," Portsmouth said.

"And we'll also see big opportunities in things like health care, wireless services and outsourcers."

Healthcare is an industry that remains pretty consistent regardless of the economic situation, he said. And companies that help the healthcare industry streamline or improve cost-savings and efficiency, tend to see increases in business during periods of belt-tightening.

"Anywhere in the economy where you can reduce the costs for consumers you're going to do well," Portsmouth said.

Companies that provide wireless services are also largely protected, because cellphones have transformed in recent years from a luxury, to a necessity.

"Consumers are continuously upgrading to smart phones, things like the BlackBerry, and there are all kinds of services and accessories people can buy for their cells," he said.

"The interesting thing about cellphones is they are no longer a discretionary item among Canadians -- you have to have it just like you have your TV."

Companies that offer outsourcing also tend to perform strongly during times of economic uncertainty, because companies that enact major layoffs still need to function.

"When people are laid off they typically leave jobs that still need to get done, so we'll see a growth in outsourcing services, IT support, payroll services and temp placement agencies that need to help fill the gap," Portsmouth said.

Following is a list of businesses that most experts agree will thrive during the economic storm, and as a result, where investment and employment are likely most secure:

  • Comfort foods: Campbell's Soup, Stagg Chili, candy-makers, McDonald's and Burger King -- companies that provide low-cost, feel-good foods tend to perform strongly during times of economic recession, and that is expected to be the case this time around.
  • Drug stores: With Shoppers Drug Mart set to open a fancy, new high-end new store in a wealthy Toronto neighbourhood, it seems the company isn't too worried about losing its market share during a recession. Indeed, pharmacies are considered a safe-bet for investors during economic slowdowns because they sell products you can't really do without. Well, maybe you don't need the $90 face cream, but you do need toothpaste.
  • Education: No matter how bad the economy gets, the school system isn't going anywhere. Teachers are embedded in one of the safest careers going, along with school administrators and support staff. Those who supply the education sector -- pumping text books and other learning materials into classrooms, are also safer than most.
  • Security: Airports, train stations, ports, borders -- travel and transport hubs of all sorts rely on security workers to maintain safety and ensure proper protocols are observed. Those jobs also tend to be safe during periods of recession - because there's simply not much fat to cut.
  • Wireless service providers: Cellphones have must-have status across Canada and the world. We need them for work, for fun and for just about everything, everyday. So business in the wireless sector isn't likely to take a tumble. In fact it might actually increase as companies try to cut costs and streamline business, turning to technology like video conferencing to reduce travel expenses.

Comments are now closed for this story

Chris the Concerned Canadian
said

The criminal justice system is recession-proof..


Frank
said

Beer....we always need something to drown our sorrows with. Drugs seem to help too. My wife lost her job in the Aoto industry in October and my drug plant is closing May of next year.
I need a drink already. Anyone need a good set-up mechanic?


Ted
said

They call McDonald's and Burger King 'feel good' foods - then why do I feel so awful after I've eaten there and then only eat there again once I have forgotten how bad it was.


nc
said

Did not mention Tim Horton. I'm shocked!


John from ON
said

Golf, its already a fact!


DB
said

I suppose the lottery corporation won't be complaining, either.


2 best careers in a recession
said

Education and Health top my list of recession-proof industries.

If they were privatized, then they wouldn't be as secure. In desperate times, a family might have to decline healthcare and education if it costs them out-of-pocket when they can't afford it.

Conservative theory is flawed.


Hal in Halifax
said

Don't forget funeral homes. ;-)


nick rowe
said

People are dying to get in!


AJ
said

A Canadian Senator / MP is pretty safe too.
Unless...its a minority!


JoeC
said

Elected Member of Parliament, City Councilor, Mayor, etc. The Government keeps growing, while the economy keeps shrinking.



Plumbob
said

Plumbers Forever


a Bull surrounded by Bears
said

Personal top two places to invest soon:

1) Moving companies (UHaul etc) - Increased forclosures and other people downgrading to apartments means a whole lot more moving.

2) Hearing Aid industry - IPod generation grows up wondering what the high pitch noise going off in their ear 24-7.




Manraj Gill - Ottawa
said

Recession Proof Businesses
===========================

Giant Tigre

Barber Shops

Tim Hortons / Coffee Shops (except for Starbucks or high end ones)

Debt Collection businesses (This business must be booming)

Funeral Homes (All the money in the world will not prevent you from eventually visiting one)

Pawn Shops (I would think that they are thriving and there is a new one opening near me)

Check Cashing Store (pretty obvious)

Bicycle Shops (As gas prices go up)

Liquor Stores (to drown our sorrows away)

Newsstands that Sell Lottery Tickets (all you need is a dollar and a dream)

Dollar Stores (why pay more when a dollar will do)

Tax Preparation (Evil Taxman)

Pornography (I will leave this one alone)

Handymen/Mechanics (Things still break, especially when you skip preventative maintenance)

Toilet Paper Manufactures (I really don’t think demand will ever go down and if we eat more cheap food like Taco Bell . . .)


Appreciating I'm Canadian
said

Chris the Concerned Canadian…

I see pointless comments are definitely recession-proof.


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