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BoC cuts interest rates, warns of 'mild recession'
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CTV.ca News Staff
Date: Tue. Oct. 21 2008 1:24 PM ET
In a surprise move Tuesday, the Bank of Canada sliced interest rates by only one-quarter of a percentage point to 2.25 per cent -- a milder cut than what many investors were expecting.
In a statement Tuesday, the central bank said three major interrelated developments are having a "profound impact" on the Canadian economy:
- The intensification of the global financial crisis has led to severe strains in financial markets. The associated need for the global banking sector to continue to reduce leverage will restrain growth for some time
- The global economy appears to be heading into a mild recession, led by a U.S. economy already in recession.
- There have been sharp declines in many commodity prices.
"The outlook for growth and inflation in Canada is now more uncertain than usual," said the bank.
The G7 Plan of Action, which includes measures to stabilize financial systems, will be pivotal to resuming the flow of credit to support global economic growth, said the bank.
"Canada's economy and strong financial system will benefit directly from these actions," said the statement.
Still, the weaker outlook for global demand will increase the slowdown on the Canadian economy coming from exports.
The tightening in Canadian credit conditions will also restrain business and housing investment, said the BoC.
BNN's Michael Kane said Tuesday following the announcement that many in the marketplace were expecting a deeper half-point cut from the central bank.
"What the Bank of Canada appears to be doing is leaving itself a little bit of room," he said.
Meanwhile, Mel Fruitman, with the Consumers' Association of Canada, urged financial institutions Tuesday to pass along the Bank of Canada's rate cut to consumers through lower interest rates and even by dropping credit card rates.
Fruitman said this would allow consumers to better handle their debt load and to continue spending during the Christmas season.
Overall, the central bank expects growth to be sluggish through the first quarter of next year, then to pick up over the rest of 2009 and to accelerate to above-potential growth in 2010.
The bank projects average annual growth in real GDP of 0.6 per cent in both 2008 and 2009, and 3.4 per cent in 2010.
Core inflation is now projected to remain below 2 per cent until the end of 2010.
Total CPI inflation should peak during the third quarter of 2008, fall below 1 per cent in the middle of 2009, and then return to the 2 per cent target by the end of 2010, the bank said.
"In line with the new outlook, some further monetary stimulus will likely be required to achieve the two per cent inflation target over the medium term," said the statement.
Earlier this month, the central bank slashed its key lending rate to 2.5 per cent, one of many central banks making the move around the world.
Its next scheduled rate decision will be made on Dec. 9.
In a separate move later this week, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty is expected to announce that the federal government will guarantee new inter-bank borrowing.
The money is needed to finance operations and make credit available for mortgages and business loans.
With files from The Canadian Press
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I applaud the budget, even though Health Care and education may stay unscathed. Sadly this cannot last and I worry to later this year where cuts will become enviable. If anything, this provides the Wildrose Alliance plenty of ammo when an election is called.


Comments are now closed for this story
Dale Wilson - Edmonton
said
Ross
said
Sask Man
said
or Get Out Of Debt.
We should do what we can and get our debts paid down. This will provide security during uncertain times.
Cam/Grande Prairie
said
In the 80's and early 90's. rates were from 8.9%-13.9% on a mortgage. If those rates were to return..alot of people would be in alot of trouble...including myself.
J.C.
said
I wish the government would force the financers to lower interest rates on credit cards. There are many people paying extremely high rates for expensive car repairs etc. that they must have done in order to get to work etc. Credit card companies take advantage of those with lower incomes or fixed incomes.
Ross
said
RCP
said
AD
said
Financial Planner in Vancouver
said
Remember, interest is negotiable when dealing with the banks. They do not charge you the 2.25 prime, they charge you their posted prime. The banks do not have to lower their rate with this announcement, so make sure you know what you are paying. It's time Canadians became more responsible about debt.
Not understanding the logic
said
paul
said
Jenna
said
az
said
For example in august I received a rate of 5.6 from the Bank of Montreal. I phoned yesterday (after 2 cuts to the BoC rate) and now the best rate was 5.76??? Same bank, same specialist.
J.C.
said
Yes I realize that but I am just pointing out that the amount of interest on credit cards is totally ridiculous. I understand that they should be a bit higher than bank loans etc. but they are way out of proportion so the average or low income person (who is not a spendthrift) can pay it off in a relative time period. The interest charges on credit cards is WAY OUT OF LINE!!
Dale Wilson - Edmonton
said
Janice Large - Fort St. John, BC
said
Sure its a buyers market out there but who has money to buy a new house now? Not many people in North Eastern
BC and this is suppose to be the rich part of the country...hmmmm...
Dave from Toronto
said
It just makes it cheaper for the banks to borrow from the central bank.
trunorth
said
JJ in Saskatoon
said
Furthermore, Financial Planner in Vancouver has a great point - use a line of credit (prime + or - a bit) instead of a credit card (18-20%). Why is it government's responsibility to save people from their own lack of control?
Darcy
said
The Widowmaker
said
Len Curle
said
Dale Wilson - Edmonton
said
Oldfish Calgary
said
Robin the Hood
said
Dayton
said
Nora, Toronto
said
BC
said
Shop for better rates on your credit cards. My AMEX is 10.99% as long as the account is in good standing.
Bewildered in Toronto
said
We were in Alberta when a combination of the NEP and 18% interest rates took 10's of thousands of homes away from otherwise, able payers of mortgages.
Trudeau and Lalonde with the help of ...compliant media, were, somehow, able to keep that little blip off the national television screens.
Another example of Liberals utterly scoochin' the pooch....
I am grateful for the Harper Government and the policies that have been put in place.
Helle Thomsen - Guelph, Ontario
said
Regarding replacing credit card debt with a line of credit is great ... one of my relatives just did it and she will save 14% per year (21% vs. 7%) ... I am sooooo happy for her!
But what about working stiffs like me who cannot get a line of credit since I do not have any capital to borrow against? I have reduced my interest rate, throw as much money against my card as possible and do not use it!
Newfie in Ontario
said
I agree with you about not using credit cards when you know you can't pay them back, but...
Its not that easy for people who are just building their credit to get a line of credit with the bank.. I know, I've tried.
And yes, I do pay my credit card off every time I use it.
Nick in Gatineau
said
When a confidenced run occurrs, such as what happened here, the percentage shoots up to between $ 5.00 and $ 100.00 for every $1000.00 lent.
Banks then have to cash in their investments - with penalties because they don't have the cash on hand to cover the demand of the investment side which has promised rate of returns it can no longer sustain.
The size of the investment can also create huge problems. Imagine that you place your money in an institutions' funds - and they re-invest it. You come along and take it out. So you pay a penalty, they pay a penalty. The returns disappear, everyone loses.
However...
Scene
said
Nick in Gatineau
said
Shamaro
said
The consumer who is being pummelled by high mortgages and credit card debt are going to be hit hard if this economic slow down continues.
At least if the banks lower their rates, this will help offset the number of people and businesses declare bankruptcy and at least this way, everybody wins.
But something tells me that the banks here in this country aren't going to be so generous and will hold their rates.
My opinion is, that this global financial crisis we are witnessing is going to grow into something much worse than the depression of the '30's.
eskiefan
said
Evan/Kingston
said
Yuri
said
Doug BC
said
As to credit cards,I think people who use them get what they deserve.Rates are high because the default rate is high.Get rid of them,or pay the balance every month.You do have a choice.
I also like the way "Sask Man" thinks.I would only add that we should elect governments who think the same way.
Canada used to be a nation of "savers".I think we will all be better off if the new tax free savings account has the desired impact on our habits in the future.
Debt is the slayer of nations,individuals,families and dreams.
AVOID debt as much as you possibly can.For a home,or for a decent car,it can be useful.For that extra TV or that dream vacation,save up the money,pay off expensive debt,and use earned money for luxuries and extras.
You will sleep better,and eventually move up the economic ladder.
Brian
said
Therefore, people with fixed rate mortgages may not see a reduction.
retireby45
said
Renting in Calgary
said
Hopefully the housing market won't take off again before I can finish saving for a down payment.
Phil Hauser, CFP London
said
As a financial planner myself I agree with Financial Planner Vancouver
when he/she states that we all need to monitor our credit.
However, this is not a short term thing. We all need to be cognizant of our credit all the time and work to reduce it when possible.
Those who are less highly leveraged have more freedom.
Eg 1. no mortgage payment is easier if you lose a job then having a mortgage payment.
Eg 2. investment accounts that are not margined do not run as high a risk of needing liquidation in this crunch.
I am not saying credit is evil, just that it needs to be used responsibly. Unfortunately the habit of NOT saving has replaced the habit of saving especially in the US.
That is the problem we are in today. If people had set aside the ease of buying a house and judged it only on whether they could afford to buy the situation today is not so bleak.
Hire a financial planner but be sure you are getting advice that is not tied exclusively to product sales.
BC Wet Coaster
said
Stompin Tom had it right when he wrote "The Consumer": you guys are all "spending money [you] don't got".
Scott in Kingston
said
I pay way too much on my student loan as it is.
Debt Monster
said
These are the same people that will buy SUVs now because gas prices dropped and then complain when gas goes back up.
Think to the future people.
Rob ns
said
Dale Wilson - Edmonton
said
My mortgage is with one of the major banks, they all appear to have dropped their prime. My variable rate mortgage is now 4% - 0.8% = 3.2%. Still paying the same amount I was 3 years ago...knocked 6 years off the length of the mortgage...nice...maybe I will have it paid off before I go senile.