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Obama inching ever closer to nomination

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CTV.ca News Staff

Date: Wed. May. 21 2008 3:06 PM ET

Barack Obama, having now secured a majority of pledged delegates, is inching ever closer to securing the Democratic presidential nomination.

Obama, including Tuesday's primary victory in Oregon, has won 1,642 pledged delegates in primary and caucuses held so far -- enough for a majority.

Overall, including superdelegates, Obama has a total of 1,956 delegates.  Clinton, including superdelegates, has 1,776, reports The Associated Press.

Obama is expected to climb within 60 delegates of the 2,026 delegates needed to clinch the nomination after results from the Oregon primary are fully counted Wednesday.

Obama currently has a 58-42 per cent margin over Hillary Clinton in Oregon with 88 per cent of the vote counted.

In Kentucky, Clinton easily won that primary by about 35 points over Obama. With all of the votes counted, she had 65 per cent support, while Obama had 30 per cent.

"There's only a handful of tiny contests to go," Allan J. Lichtman, presidential historian for American University, said Wednesday. "The basic shape of this race is not going to change.

Lichtman, speaking to CTV's Canada AM, said the only thing left to decide is if Obama will create a "dream ticket" by picking Clinton to run as vice-president.

However, despite the odds, Clinton has vowed to continue her bid for president.

"Neither Senator Obama nor I will have reached that magic number when the voting ends on June 3," she said Tuesday night in Kentucky.

"And so, our party will have a tough choice to make -- who's ready to lead our party at the top of our ticket, who is ready to defeat Senator McCain in the swing states and among swing voters."

Both candidates are spending Wednesday campaigning in Florida.

Clinton, counting results from Florida and in Michigan, claims she is ahead of Obama in the popular vote.

But the Democratic Party disqualified the two states because they changed their primary dates without authorization.

As a result, Clinton is pushing for the party to count votes from the two primaries.

Neither Obama nor Clinton campaigned in those states, and Michigan did not even have Obama on its ballot.

Obama is planning to spend several days in Florida -- a state which will be a prime battleground in the fall campaign against Republican John McCain.

The three remaining primaries are Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota.

With files from The Associated Press

Comments are now closed for this story

lecram
said

It's quite clear that the comments Obama made about middle americans clinging to their guns and religion have hurt his chances in those states.I don't think he has as good a chance to be elected president as clinton but will get the nomination.Too bad the Democrats are wasting so much time as it could have been a landslide if they had a clear cut leader.


Lucy
said

What is it about educated voters that they don't vote for Clinton? Answer, they're smart and see right through her.

It is about time she get off the stage and end the show.

How a delusional person who can't seem to accept defeat attracts voters is beyond me. What because she is a woman? So what - this just proves to the electorate she is using her gender as a reason to stay in - saying I'm breaking barriers - no, barrier-breaking is for winners, not losers.

Really, give up the race and end it already - she is like an old hockey player who can't quit and it is getting pathetic to watch.


LDL
said

Hillary Clinton is really becoming an annoyance.

You've lost already, Give it up !

Good effort,your clearly an experienced politician, yada yada yada, but you came in second. Move aside.

Now if we only had this much interest or interesting players in Canadian politics, that would be fun.


BGD
said

To be honest I am tired of all the politics from south of the border. Yes it will inpact Canada, but until they decide in the fall, it is a waste of airtime.


Arujia
said

Hi

The fact that she is sounding the George Bush after each defeat - reminds me of the Iraq war that despite the evidence, Bush presses on. Clinton does the same thing - with each gain by Obama she presses on - is this what she means how as a women she will do things differently? Sounds like her being one of the men and thinking just like the current President.


Hillary is a Hero
said

.
She is, in effect, doing the right thing. By dividing the Democrats, she is helping to put the best possible candidate -- McCain -- in office.
.
McCain is the real deal. His presence will provide much-needed economic and political stability.
.


Herb
said

It's funny how many think another Republican should be elected. Do they honestly think Bush has done such a good job? It's not as though their economy is booming, war has ended, and their country is united.


Len
said

I still don't understand why she must feel that it is "time to give up". Unless my math is wrong, there remains ONLY a 180 delegate difference between them...that is only 9%! That figure is also WITHOUT counting Florida and Michigan. Since when is that an obvious loss? I think she should stay in, and they should work out Florida and Michigan first, finish the remaining primaries and then do the counting!


Greg from Kitchener
said

It amazes me how much Hilary has been dragged through the mud by the media, but Obama has has a free ride, imagine if McCain has a Pastor for 20 years that was Anti-American and Anti-Black, The voters would have called him a racist and put him to shame. Obama can also attack Bill Clinton, but in return tells everyione to lay off his wife, Well Sir, she is on the campain trail, doing speeches for you, it's all game.


Roch
said

Hilary has declined from pathetic to sad.

Her delusional behaviour suggests medication is required.


Tsultim
said

I was never into politics but the other day I was watching Obama giving his speech. He definetely has the power in his voice to lead United States and I am very sure that he will keep his promise to make a CHANGE.


Pavel
said

If Hillary quits now she will never recover those millions of dollars of her own money she had invested in her campaign. It's that simple.
Election rules and greed are two factors that push Hillary to humiliate herself and damage the chances of Democrats in this elections.


Anna
said

I think Hillary is living in a dream world if she thinks she is going to win, anyone can look at the numbers and see that Obama is ahead in delegates..Hillary, wake up.


Petra Wild
said

Well, in the general election just wait for some of McCain's past to come up - he has had the free ride, not Obama. McCain will deal with the Keating 5 issue and why there are so many past/current lobbyists on his team.

As for the comment above about Obama's pastor, it is a simple thinking process that leads one to connect Obama and Wright - think a little higher than that. The Amercian people don't even believe that, unless you are talking about the backwater trailer people in West Virginia.

Cmon, the country needs a change - an 3 decade senator tied to lobbyists and who is a war monger is not the solution.


CYL
said

Keep pushing on Hillary !! Never know what could happen.
Is the USA ready for a rookie to take over the Bush's mess.
Would be interesting though, to have a black president in the white house, who, in no time will have white hair anyway.
McCain is looking more like the fit.


Robin the Hood
said

Clinton's stubbornness is going to sink the Democrats.. its dividing the Democrats even more and has gone beyond a gender and race thing with a few ignorant voters to a more general polarization. Plus she is sabotaging any possibility of being chosen as a Vice President running mate... how could Obama ever work with someone as uncooperative and self centered as her!? Its become obvious that it is her own lust for power that counts for her and not the vision of a better country. Her divisive tactics is sinking the Democratic chances of winning the election and the fact she cannot see the damage being done shows that she would not be an effective president! At least now people will see that,.. at least those few Americans who can see beyond gender, race and negative politics.



Canuck in WA state
said

Hillary:

Is it really a great thing to say i am preferred by white voters. Is that the message you want to send?

Is it realy a great thing to say uneducated people like me? Does that say a lot for you.

Were either of these the groups that at the start of this whole thing you would have said were the criteria for a good leader?

I like Hillary and think she would do an ok job, but this is getting kind of pathetic. I very much like Obama (His book is great though a little pollyanna) and think he is the best person for the job.

Heck, I don't really mind McCain, but Bush has been so incompetent that the the GOP is gonna get a severe ass booting.

And anyone demonizing any of the candidates just shows themselves for fools.


American in Toronto
said

I am an American living here in Toronto. Clinton politics will keep her in office, she will try her best to persuade the superdelegates and strong arm them into making her the nominee- if they did, that would divide the party. That is her goal to become the nominee and she would lose not only the election, but every democrat or independent voter (like me) to turn from that party. Unfortunately, even if Obama wins. There is so much clean up to be done due to George Bush, not much can "change" in 4 years- but we would be on the right track. There is no way we can let a republican in the WH in November


Eric
said

Wow. So. I'm not even following the never-ending election, but I'm curious how many of those demanding Hillary step aside also tell their kids not to give up.

What? It's a longshot? Well, don't even bother try. Good message guys.


IAN
said

Interesting how many people are quitters. The contenders are running a marathon and so many think that those that are not in first place should just quit. NEVER QUIT is what I taught my kids.


Lorne
said

The entire primary run-off is a charade.
It's not what you know - it's how much money you have for the campaign.
The three candidates for both parties are not qualified to run the country.
I also agree that Hillary should continue her campaign in order to give the people the right to vote for their choice.
McCain will probably win the presidential race, especially if he says he will only be a one term president.
The DNC and Democratic Pary destroyed themselves when they made the decision not to include Florida and Michigan in the voting process.


Lindsay Morgan
said

This democratic race is a big waste of time and money.
McCain will take it no matter which candidate the democrates run.
The United States of America is not ready for either one of these candidates for obvious reasons.
Call it what you will, it is the way it is!


Doug BC
said

Frankly,I'm not very fond of either one of them.If Democrats are elected,as sad as it seems,I see the day when Canadians will wish G.Bush was back.
Obama is as phoney as a three dollar bill.But he has an imazing ability to motivate.I expect,if he is elected,he will be a one term disaster for America.
As to Mrs.Clinton dropping out.Why should she??No one quits until the game is over.And,if she truely believes she is the better candidate she really is obligated to do her best to win.I don't think losing is a good excuse to quit something you believe in.In fact,I would argue the quitting is what makes "losers" out of people who otherwise may simply have been defeated in a contest.


Edward in Vancouver
said

I think the reason many of us want Hillary to quit is that she annoys the hell out of us. She is incredibly phoney! She makes up a story being under sniper fire, and claims the popular vote when Obama was not even on the ballot in Michigan!?! Is this the kind of leader we want in the US? Her claims insulting to the voter's intellegence.


Deeanne
said

I think Hilary should stick it out. She owes it to the people who have supported her up until now. It will be easier for the party to heal if the race goes to the end. Then there are no unanswered questions or "what if's" lingering.


CR
said

I agree with Doug BC. Canadians need to put their hatred for Bush aside and look at what the candidates really stand for.

If the manufacturing industry in Ontario and Quebec think they are hurting now, wait until Obama or Clinton get into office and start "re-negotiating" NAFTA. At least McCain is an ardent free trader.

Obama talks about "change", but has done little do define what that "change" would encompass (other than not being Bush).

I'm hoping that Mrs. Clinton somehow pulls off the nomination. Then, the Democratic Party will tear itself apart at the seams and John McCain can start measuring drapes for the White House. Canada will be better off as a result.


Canadian Observer
said

Just a analogy, but to me its like a NASCAR race the leader has rounded the last turn and can see the guy waving the checkered flag. There is no other cars around and if the car ran out of gas it could coast on its momentum across the finish line. Yet the person in second place is lap back screaming, "Its not over, its not over, the people in the stands love me."


Ki-Som
said

Clinton, give it up, you have lost. Now give your farewell speech and end this stupid race.


Neil
said

To Eric:
"........also tell their kids not to give up."

No; it's not a personal race, she is part of a team. .....more like telling your kid to stay on the ice even if you're tired because it doesn't matter if the team wins as long as you do well!!!!!


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