CTV News | Liberal riding results raise doubts on election timing

Canada -   

Liberal riding results raise doubts on election timing

Viewer

CTV News Video

CTV News: Robert Fife looks at the Liberal concerns
CTV Newsnet: Graham Richardson on Liberal wins
Canada AM: Bob Rae and Martha Hall Findlay, Liberal MPs
Canada AM: Joyce Murray, Liberal MP
Canada AM: Rob Clarke, Conservative MP

Font-size:      Share  Print  Comments(108)

CTV.ca News Staff

Date: Tue. Mar. 18 2008 8:28 PM ET

Liberal Leader Stephane Dion celebrated Tuesday after two strong byelection wins in Toronto, but an extremely narrow victory in Vancouver and loss in northern Saskatchewan is raising doubts on whether his party is ready for a general election.

"Yesterday was a very good day for Liberals," said Dion, speaking at a news conference with Toronto winners Bob Rae and Martha Hall Findlay.

But in Vancouver Quadra, which has been Liberal for nearly 25 years, Liberal candidate Joyce Murray beat Conservative candidate Deborah Meredith by a mere 151 votes.

In another blow to the party, Conservative candidate Rob Clarke won in the Saskatchewan riding of Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River by a margin of 17 per cent.

The Strategic Counsel's Tim Woolstencroft said the poor performances may have hampered any election plans.

"The results in Saskatchewan and Vancouver suggest one more reason why going right now into an election would be bad news," he told CTV News.

Clarke captured 48 per cent of the vote in Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River, while his Liberal rival Joan Beatty got 31 per cent.

The riding was considered to be the least predictable as the Liberals only took the seat by 67 votes in the 2006 federal election. But Beatty, a former NDP cabinet minister, had been hand-picked by Dion to run in the campaign.

Agriculture Minister Gerry Ritz, who represents the Saskatchewan riding of Battlefords-Lloydminster, said choosing candidates can often backfire.

"Historically, I don't think that strategy has ever worked that well for (the Liberals)," he told CTV's Mike Duffy Live.

"When you look back over byelections, or even general elections, when they parachute in candidates, it always creates a problem on the ground. Without that good volunteer base, you're beat before you start."

He said volunteers within a riding have a better understanding of local issues and what candidate could best represent their interests.

Toronto strongholds

In Toronto, Rae cruised to victory in Toronto Centre as did Hall Findlay in Willowdale.

In an interview with CTV's Canada AM on Tuesday, Rae said he was looking forward to getting back into Parliament as he wanted to see Prime Minister Stephen Harper defeated.

"I think we need to build a progressive coalition of people in the country who believe in dealing with climate change, who believe that the search for jobs and justice need to go together, and who want Canada to have a stronger voice in the world," he said.

"We certainly pulled that coalition together in Toronto-Centre."

Rae downplayed suggestions that he was a leader-in-waiting.

"I can't help what people say, I can only tell you what I'm doing," said Rae. "I've spent the last year-and-a-half doing everything I can to help Stephane Dion become prime minister."

Despite the effort, a new Strategic Counsel poll shows the Conservatives have an 11-point lead over the Liberals in support.

The Tories had 38 per cent support compared to only 27 per cent for the Liberals.

But Hall Findlay, also appearing on Canada AM, said the real story behind the numbers is that the Tories have been unable to make significant gains.

With a report by CTV's Robert Fife in Ottawa and files from The Canadian Press

Please Add Comments( )

Greg from Kitchener
said
0 0

Funny how the liberal media has made this out to be a "liberal victory"! but in fact they lost one seat and almost another.
We are not fooled, Ontario will never change, but they cannot hide that the Conservatives are the only Party that gained.


Hugh
said
0 0

But Findlay, also appearing on Canada AM, said the real story behind the numbers is that the Tories have been unable to make significant gains. -----------------Is it just me, or are there other people of my generation who have a problem with the "new" math. Apparently less now means more.


James R
said
0 0

I hardly call a Tory win in Northern Saskatchewan in a year where the entire political climate of the province has changed.

In fact, I hardly call anything the Tories do a win, because I don't live in a world where winning is the result of how mean, immature, and ineffective you can be, and I don't consider winning a group of people who vote for you unaware of that.

That being said, I don't consider Bob Rae or Martha Hall Findley good candidates either.

The quality of our politicians this days is sad, at best. I hope something or someone better comes along because Harper is a danger to the sovereignty of this great country and no one seems willing or able to stop it.


Conservative in NB
said
0 0

I'm confused. How can they tout this as a victory? Those are liberal strong-holds that they already had! They would have won in Toronto if mickey mouse was their leader.


Brent
said
0 0

7 seats up for grabs in the last 2 sets of byelections. 5 were previously held by Liberals, and 2 by the BQ. The new standings in those ridings: 3 Liberals, 2 Conservatives, 1 BQ and 1 NDP.

I do think Martha Hall Findlay is a solid addition to the Liberal caucus.
5 years of Rae running the good ship Ontario aground and Toronto Centre can't get enough of him?!
Cribbing from Johnny Carson:
"A rock, a shoelace and a dead dog" (the Liberals had the latter as a party member)
"What are 3 things the Liberals could have run in Toronto Centre and still won?"




bunny
said
0 0

How funny. Do the math.They had four seats, they now how three.They nearly lost my riding, and I couldnt be more happier!
I don't trust Dion to be a leader. I can see in-house fighting startng up again.



Mark - Fort Erie On
said
0 0

I agree with Greg from Kitchener. Seems to me the title this article is, once again, misleading. The Liberals lost a seat! If this had been a Tory net loss, I can only imagine what the headline would be. Once again, shame on the CTV News Staff. I doubt this will make the comment section , as the News Staff seem to screen out an criticism.


Vincent
said
0 0

Liberal media... please. There is like ONE major liberal newspaper in this country... The Star.

CTV, G&M, Sun, Global are all conservative media outlets.




Dallas in Winnipeg
said
0 0

The Liberals have to be secretly hating these results. They did nothing but look weaker. Winning those two ridings in Toronto being considered a great victory would be like the Conservatives saying the same thing if they one two bi-elections in Calgary. The big story is the Liberals got their butts kicked in Northern Sask and lost a lot of votes in Vancouver. This is a great sign for the Tories. Go Harper!!


Canadian
said
0 0

Just goes to show Ontarians have short memories when it comes to RAY. A true NDP'er and now a true Liberal. Ray's antics cost Ontario billions that we are still paying fore and this debt will continue bigger with Ontario's present Government.


Ah the Libbies!
said
0 0

Perhaps they should turn to tea-leaf reading to see if they should force an election. :)

It's amazing, this is the first time I can recall the Liberal party being so directionless in a sea of politics. They have no course charted and no land in sight. They claim they want troops out of Afghanistan, and yet they put them there & vote to keep them there. They criticize the Con's for lack of envrionmental direction, and yet Dion was enviornment Minister for a decade.

I thought they would have cleaned house after the sponsorship scandal, but I guess it will take a massive election defeat to bring the party back to one with ideas, as it seems to be just plain lacking...


Chris
said
0 0

Good ole Ontario! Voting Liberal no matter who the candidate is! Seriously, the Liberals should run some untrained monkeys in Ontario in the next election...

It's sad to be an Ontarian...I've been a long time conservative supporter, but in the next election, I'm voting Green!


P.E. Carr
said
0 0

Stephan Dion cannot take much comfort in this. The two candidates who won are leadership candidates, so the message could well be "let's get our next party leader into parliament so we can lose the guy we have now." And the NDP is now the "Newly Dead Party" as its vaguely credible candidates are running as Liberals.


David in NB
said
0 0

"But Findlay, also appearing on Canada AM, said the real story behind the numbers is that the Tories have been unable to make significant gains."
Key: SIGNIFICANT gains. How is that for SPIN for you? (Hint: the inference is that the Tories did make gains, which also infers that the other parties lost support.)
The story, IMHO, is the vote-splitting between the Greens and the NDP.



Young & Fed Up.
said
0 0

Greg from Kitchener: spare us your smug arrogance and conservative whining about 'liberal media'. Conservatives are going to be the destruction of this country based on their war mongering, American wannabe Foreign Policy.

Every young Canadian, like myself must vote in the next federal election to prevent the disasterous baby boomers from continuing their lineage of archaic and antiquated WWII policies in an increasingly Globalized political,economic and social enviornment.

Winnipeg Skeeter
said
0 0

Conservatives in Northern Sask, a very close call in a riding that used to belong to a Prime Minister, and 2 "gimmes" in Ontario. Liberal wins? Don't think so.

Also, what did the NDP do in those ridings? Their stock is not exactly strengthening. The Greens outdid them (and the Conservatives--surprise, surprise) in Toronto Centre, I believe.


Sober Second Thought
said
0 0

Why does the press continually tout these bi-elections as a test of the government when more often than not the vote cast almost always reverses at the general election?
They won in Saskachewan, the Vancouver seat in Quadra is now officially open in the general election and the percentage of the vote in Toronto has come down for the liberals...
Stephen...all in all a great day for the conservatives


plabo
said
0 0

Rae is a person that scares me. I personally don't think he can do good for canadain politics. He seems overly confident for a one who has done more damage then good. Also, can't say much for a man who bears himself naked for some votes.

Rae:
Want to improve as a politician? Do a complete 180. Open up your eaR and listen to what canadian have to say.


Allan Eizinas
said
0 0

A by-election is a recorded but facilitated opinion poll. An opinion poll is a snapshot of the political situation at that instant. All polls are a catalyst for media organization to sell their information.

Notwithstanding his politics, I remember Bob Rae as an articulate and civil orator during meetings of the Ontario legislature. I am glad that he was elected and has the opportunity to perform in Ottawa.

It would be interesting to see if he is able to maintain his civility or will he succumb to the now poisoned, partisan and finger pointing atmosphere during question period in the Ottawa “pit”.



arthur
said
0 0

A couple of by-elections with low voter turn-out is nothing more than a sign of voter apathy. Voters have had enough of this constant desire of the Harper government to have election.


RRR from Lethbridge
said
0 0

Yes Greg you are right. The Liberal Media make this out to be a Liberal victory. As for Findlay, the real story is that the Liberals are falling further behind under a weak leader. Stephen Harper continues to be a strong leader and he certainly has my vote.


Rick
said
0 0

I believe Martha Hall Findlay will be a welcome voice of calm and reason both in the house and the Liberal ranks. (Unfortunateley, this will be counter balanced by boisterous Bob.) Having said that, I hardly think that large victories in the safest Liberal ridings in Ontario are any indication of party momentum.


Sean Calder
said
0 0

It's been commonly said that in Toronto Centre, and to a lesser extent Willowdale, the Liberals could put a turnip on the Liberal Stump and we would see our first Turnip MP. I would consider those two wins (Rae and Hall Findlay) hollow victories since they were safe bets. I honestly don't think it says much about the two candidates.

I agree that the real story is that the Liberals lost one seat and very nearly lost the second. I'd call that a nearly 50% slide, and that's not good for Mr. Dion. Of course the spin-doctors will say a win is a win regardless and try to minimalize Saskatechwan as an anomaly.

What concerns me though, is that Liberal leadership seems to be becomming more and more centralized in Toronto. Bob Rae, Martha Hall Findlay, Michael Ignatieff, Gerard Kennedy, Ken Dryden, John McCallum... A Toronto-Centric leadership in the Liberals is not good for rural Canada. I think we can easily look forward to attention being pulled away from the struggling regions and focused on the vote-getters in the major urban centres again as we saw before with the Liberals in power if they get in again.


Peter Hazlewood
said
0 0

Now that the Tories are in their place I hope the Grits have the intestinal fortitude to demolish them once and for all!Cause an election,we must rid ourselves of the Tory menace at any cost.


DS in Toronto
said
0 0

The victory of the Liberals in Vancouver Quadra by only 151 votes should have rocked the party to its core.

Forget Willowdale and Toronto Centre, they were shoe-ins. Forget Desnethe-Missnippi-Churchill River - it was going to be a tight one for sure (and didn't end up being).

Vancouver Quadra was a white-knuckle result for the Liberals, and doesn't bode well for the party in BC.


Rob
said
0 0

It is totally incorrect to spin these results as a Liberal victory and as Liberal momentum.
Yesterday: 4 liberal seats. Today: 3 Liberal seats, 1 Conservative.
Dion's hand-picked Liberal candidate in Saskatchewan was handily defeated.
The Conservatives today have an 11-point lead in the polls.
Bob Rae was elected in one of the safest Ontario ridings for the Liberals, by Ontarians who have a very shot memory.
Ans the Conservative strong showing in Vancouver Quadra should have the Liberals going back to the drawing board, for new priorities and a new leader - which should not be the once-ran NDP-turned-Liberal Bob Rae.


JD
said
0 0

I'm not sure what's wrong with Ontario, but it wouldn't hurt if the Conservatives showed a little support for some moderate social issues. Social conservatism is not an agenda the Conservative party should endorse.


Shamaro
said
0 0

The media has turned this into what seems a Liberal Landslide Victory. Well, I hate to burst everyone's bubble, but the Liberals won in all the ridings they expected to win in, due to the fact that they were all traditionally Liberal strong holds to begin with. The real story here is that Bob Rae is now an MP and will have his say in the house of commons after many, many years of absence from that institution. The Conservative victory in Sask. was a bit suprising, but like I said, just a "bit". So, nothing has really changed that much after these byelections. I am however happy for Martha Hall Findlay who has been taking one for the team for quite sometime. So good on ya Martha and good luck in Ottawa, you deserve your seat as you have waited a very long time.


Dixie from Alberta
said
0 0

I take offense to CTV having Scott Reid (Mr. beer & popcorn) on their coverage last night. He insulted every voter in Alberta's urban areas that have a PC MP saying the PC's can't win in urban areas. I guess Calgary/Edmonton don't count as urban. We all know what this man thinks...the Liberal party line...no one outside Ontario even matters. Could you not find someone else to do this job?? I then watched CPAC coverage & the liberal spin doctors had the exact same comments. The Libs must have sent an email to all spokepersons as what to say on TV. They just can't get their heads around the fact that Alberta & Sask are now the engines that are driving this country. Don't think two star Libs running in seats that are solid liberal should be much of a victory. The Libs could have run a duck in those ridings and won. Most don't even look at the name just the party. Poor Dion...now he has two more front benchers that want that middle seat. Beware of the ides of March.


Sue
said
0 0

Again the Liberals attempt to put a 'spin' on events. The reality is the Liberals came out on the losing side, except for the fact Bob Rae is now poised to replace Dion (maybe soon some in-fighting).

This also does not change the fact that the majority of Canadians do not want an election any time soon.


Mr.Lunt
said
0 0

What is real sad commentary is that Ontario votes in a man who under the NDP banner darn near bankrupted the province when leader by trying to spend his way out of a recession. Bob Rae is a complete joke! Liberal victory, hardy har har!


Canuck in WA state.
said
0 0

My early predictions on the comments:

Liberals will come on and slam harper, daring to compare him to Bush, Hitler and Satan. There will be many "the skyis falling" remarks about the americanization of Canada and all woes of Canada are his fault.

Tory supporters will come on and claim that the mediocre (at best) results for the Liberals
indicate that people realize how awful and nearly communistic the Liberals were when they were in and how scandalous theywere with our money.

A few unbiased people will point out that this is somewhat bad news for the liberals and we won't have an election for quite a while because the Liberals will rope-a-dope in the corner for the foreseeable future.

IMHO trudeau was the best PM, Mulroney the worst by a country mile. However Bush is worse, and Obama may actually be the 2nd coming of JC. (juluis ceasar that is).

Minor note - I heard some moron on CKNW comparing the liberals choosing to abstain in a vote as terrible behaviour and that they all should be sacked. It had to be the stupidist comments I have ever heard ...and thats saying a lot.


Rob
said
0 0

Polls and byelections don't tell any story right now about Canadian politics. Canadians are not interested in politics in Canada, but what is going on in the US elections, call an election and the results will be the same, Liberal or Tory minority, Dion will have to go or Harper, who ever losses, when only 24% of voters show up to vote in byelections what does that say about interest, not to mention only 40% of Albertans voting in their provinical election, just get on with solving the problems of the day and the threats that are coming like a possible recession, global warming, etc, and enough with the political jockeying, when no one really cares, call an election and move on or start to govern and move on. I for one don't care anymore, and I am actually interested in politics...people care about their mortgage, jobs children's future, health care, environment, no this foolishness, all we are doing is driving more people away from voting not helping the matter.


RS
said
0 0

Are you kidding me Liberals, you lost ground! The governing party rarely wins by-elections but they dominated in northern Saskatchewan. It's pretty clear after hearing Stephane Dion's speech last night that the man is the worst leader of any political party in modern memory. He knows how to drain the emotion out of a room...


hk
said
0 0

Ontario voter and taxpayer:
I'm totally amazed at the stupidity of the voters in these two Ontario ridings. RAE TOTALLY SCREWED THIS PROVINCE OVER IN THE SHORT TIME HE WAS THE NDP PREMIER. And what does/have the provincial Liberals done for this province? All I hear from McGuinty and Toronto is WANT, WANT , WANT. Toronto can't get nothing together except create a graffiti law to hire more beaurocrats to enforce this law and grab money from businesses who to no fault of their own have graffiti on their buildings etc. GREAT WAY TO ENTICE BUSINESSES INTO TORONTO.
The provincial government talks about the environment, but WON'T make recycling in Ontario A PROVINCIAL responsibility. They just go along with GTA to ship ALL THEIR GARBAGE INTO LAMBTON COUNTY.
It's to bad that Toronto voters seem to think they are the cog of all of Canada. Losing 40,000 manufacturing jobs in Ontario seems to be ALL THE FEDS FAULT. What has McGuinty done to try and help manufacturers for the long term besides throwing tax dollars at them? NOTHING.
Most of Ontario's voters seem to have their heads buried up their behind.
WAKE UP, ONTARIO.


DJ
said
0 0

I guess the Liberals can live in their dreamworld where a loss of one seat plus big Conservative gains in a Liberal stronghold are seen as victory. If the federal election were just held in Toronto, maybe the Liberals would have a chance.


Les C
said
0 0

The by-elections are clearly a no brainer...Dion is done!




Tori
said
0 0

Sounds to me like Rae is wanting the PM seat.

Too bad Torontonians, the center of their "universe" don't remember what a lousy job he did before.

Right now I am a conservitive voter because it is the party with the best adgenda for the country.

If the Liberal party ever put a candidate out there that I thought was better, I would vote for him/her. If they keep Dion then they are crazy. If they bring in Rae they still don't have a strong enough candidate. The best candidate the Liberals ever had and they let him walk away was Frank McKenna. He did great things for NB and could have for Canada.

If the NDP want to make gains, Layton has to go. They just don't have a strong enough voice. Not enough people trust the NDP party.

As I see it right now, if an election was held now, PM Harper would have a majority.

Looks like they are all gearing up for a fall 2008 election to me.


MB
said
0 0

I think the liberal party chose the wrong person to lead them. A better choice in my opinion would have been Bob Rae, and at that, would have a hard time forming a majority gov.


Keeping it real...
said
0 0

To Young and Fed up:

When you get a few years under your belt and are further and further away from being weaned on the laps of your left wing socialistic academic professors you will begin to understand why conservatism has a place in the real world where real people live real lives.


Roy
said
0 0

I can only say the true winner in the byelections are the ndp after all they got Rae thats the only way he could get to Ottawa by disguising himself as a Liberal once an ndp always an ndp,look out Mr Dion now you have two back stabbers behind you


Gail
said
0 0

The words "progressive coalition" mean socialism to me. Bob Rae was NDP now Liberal. The Liberal party is changing more to the far left. This was not a win for the Liberals but a shoe-in for Rae and Hall Findley. The real win was in Saskatchewan against a Dion drop-in.


Colin
said
0 0

The fact that Bob Rae was elected once again shows how different Toronto is from the rest of Canada. The fact that he is even still around and feels the need to ruin my morning with his smug face ridiculous ramblings shows how very bankrupt of ideas his party is.


Kai Wolf
said
0 0

This is the second time in mere months that a candidate handpicked by Dion lost in a riding that the Liberals should have won. Vancouver, which is supposed to be safely Liberal, came within a whisker of being lost. It makes me wonder what other "safe" Liberals seats are up for grabs.

It is nice for the Liberals that they picked up seats, but there never was any question whatsoever that they would win in the safest Liberal seats in the country. That can hardly be considered an accomplishment. Ladies and gentlemens, I give you the Liberal Party of Toronto.

Dion may tell everyone that his Party has momentum, but of course he is going to say that; he has to. However, the only people that are going to have momentum are Dion's leadership rivals.

And now the latest Strategic Council poll has demonstrated that the Cadman affair, and the issue with NAFTA, issues the Liberals have tried desperatley to pound home, are not resonating with voters.

The Liberals are in deep trouble. Certainly they are not going to come out and say it, but it isn't going to be a stretch for people to see that the Liberals are hemorrhaging blood into the water. If they didn't fight to defeat this Government before when the issues of the day were there, how could they ever think they could do so now? Just imagine how Harper is going to use the optics of being a minority government that went the distance with the support of the Opposition.


Roadrobber
said
0 0

I think this is a win for the Conservatives rather than the Liberals. Remember, the Liberals held all four seats prior to the byelection. The Conservatives won one and almost stole another. Stephane Dion should be very concerned by the results of the byelections. I'm sure Rae and Findlay are sharpening their blades...watch out Stephane.


Dale Wilson
said
0 0

Dion is certainly done now. The two Toronto ridings were safe, so a quick shrug on those. Quadra - close race, not what the Liberals wanted to see. Northern Saskatchewan - the Liberals care very little what happens outside the cities but Dion made a muck of this anyway. My fearless prediction - the Liberals will move quickly now to bring down the government (and are clearly searching for the issue to do it with), get the defeat out of the way, sack Dion. The long knives of Mr. Rae's camp are being sharpened as I type this. If the current minority makes it to November, it will be surprising.

The best part about all of this is the poor showing by Diamond Jack Layton and the discredited NDP. Clearly, they are a spent force in this country.

As to the Greens - I would love to see them with some seats, see what they can do...maybe in the November election?


FCS
said
0 0

To "Young & Fed Up" who wrote: "Every young Canadian, like myself must vote in the next federal election to prevent the disasterous baby boomers from continuing their lineage of archaic and antiquated WWII policies "

Those same baby boomers whose efforts and toil built this country into the free, prosperous nation it is today? Yeah what do they know. Go back to class son and work on your spelling while you at it.


Bill
said
0 0

Hopefully they have enough guts to vote down the government now. Then Dion can get his you know what kicked in a full election. I'm afraid they will kick Dion out as leader before he completely ruins the Liberal Party - not that it has far to go.


Dave
said
0 0

I remember Bob Ray as Ontario Premier. He added a $5 Tire tax on top of the GST & PST which made Car tires very expensive and started the un-popular Photo-Rader progrem which helped Mike Harris start his Common Sence Revolution.
Martha Hall Findley may be the best addition the Liberal's got in this By Election .


Canuck in WA state
said
0 0

I wrote my comments before any were posted. I called it; a bunch of Liberals screaming save the world from Harper (Plabo, Dave in Que., James R, Peter Hazlewood and the sad, laughable rantings of Young and Fed Up).

Likewise, the gloating remarks from Ah the libbies, RRR in Lethbridge, Dixie from Ab, R.S and Les C. were as tiresome.

It simple, this was a minor win for the Conservatives. The Liberals are wisely hiding from an election they would lose, with a slim possibly of a Tory majority.

I do like the whiners yelling its CTV's fault. highly amusing.


Terry G
said
0 0

"They would have won in Toronto if mickey mouse was their leader."

Mickey Mouse is their leader.


Roger
said
0 0

When Harper wins a majority, the Liberals can call that a victory as well.





AMC
said
0 0

I would like to point out to anyone and everyone here who has posted with a bias towards the Liberals, that doing so is no different than accusing the "liberal media" of having a bias.

Furthermore, yes Rae ran Ontario aground, but that was 15 years ago. People change, POLITICS changes, you simply can't survive in the field without being flexible and learning from your mistakes. Bob Rae has learned. The same goes for the Liberal party, anyone who throws their arms up and harkens back to the Sponsorship Scandal when discussing a future Liberal government is simply naive and making their decision based on the policies of people who are no longer even in the party.

So, yes, the Saskatchewan loss is bad, it isn't the end of the Liberal party it is simply pointing out a Western electorate that didn't like Dion muscling in on their nomination process. Is it the end of Dion? Maybe, probably not. Too be honest I'm somewhat relieved that the Liberal party hasn't given in to the cult of personality style of leadership that dominates the Tories and NDP.


Peter
said
0 0

Hand-picked, parachuted candidates in ridings is a very disturbing occurrence and one that seems to be increasingly accepted by a complacent media and public (with the exception of northern Saskatchewan). Of course, the Conservatives do this too, but Dion seems to relish circumventing the local riding nomination process in a phoney attempt to be more inclusive. How is alienating the local party membership and hence the local community going to improve representation and inclusiveness? It will only backfire and turn people further away from politics. The public and the media need to demand a stop to this practice by the two major parties and possibly have Elections Canada oversee the local riding nomination process. Only then, will we truly deal with the so called democratic deficit.


Jack
said
0 0

Having just read this article, I can't help but wonder at those who rail ageinst the 'Liberal' media. In the title, it is pointed out that LIBERALS are touting a victory, while the Tories made the gains. In the text are facts about the results along with quotes from both sides. Please tell me how this is biased reporting.

I consider myself to be liberal, and I read this as a clear defeat for liberals. The fact that the party is 'touting' a victory is equivalent to whistling when passing the graveyard. Should the media NOT report this apparent blind spot the liberals seem to have?



mac
said
0 0

Is it safe for Harper to come out of hiding yet?




Devon K.
said
0 0

The comments here do come down on the partisan lines quite sharply and a few from the looney left.

First off, the Liberal wins in Toronto are nothing to parade about. We all agree on that.

What is interesting, Martha Hall-Findley's favourite word, is that to become a governing party again the Liberals have to grow their support across the country. Now if you go back to 1993 that is what Jean Chretien did. He used the split on the right and disatisfaction to grow Liberal support into a massive majority. He did the same in 2000.

Today the Liberals are doing the opposite under Martin and now Dion. They are consolidating their support in large urban centres like Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, etc. That is a similar strategy to the Democrats in the United States where they consolidated their support in the blue states in the northeast and west coast. The result of that strategy is that the Republicans have locked up the south, midwest, and much of the northwest winning the White House and in 1994 the Congress. Even with an unpopular President the Democrats could not beat Bush. The Liberals are in the same boat.

That is what all Liberals need to see. Dion basically threw that Saskatchewan riding to the Tories and put his eggs into three baskets. The Tories won it, and they won in a demographic they are usually well behind in - First Nations people. If the Liberals cannot elect a First Nations candidate, an area where their votes should be growing, they have a serious problem.

The fact that the Tories greatly increased their share in Vancouver-Quadra should put the fear of God in the Liberals. If the big cities slowly start to warm to the Tories and left support bleeds to the Greens the Liberals could find themselves in the same position the Democrats found themselves in 2004 - unable to win against someone who should be easy to beat.


Craig
said
0 0

Why all the love for Martha Hall Findlay all of a sudden?

Let's check her track record:

2 nomination losses to Belinda Stronach in Newmarket-Aurora.
1 general election loss to Belinda Stronach in Newmarket-Aurora.
0 delegate votes in the Liberal leadership race.

1 easy win in Toronto byelection.

Not off to a great start.


Rick in Ottawa
said
0 0

The most positive outcome from the by-elections is putting Martha Hall Findlay in Parliament. Of all the candidates in the recent leadership convention, Martha impressed me the most.

I am amazed at all the pro Tory comments. These guys make the Liberals look squeaky clean! As the incidents of malfeasance pile up, Cadman, illegal electoral spending, tampering in the Ottawa municipal elections, etc., - how long is it going to take Canadians to wake up?


Dale
said
0 0

As stated on Mike Duffy's show, on the 17th, the Liberals are desperate, they owe Dion over one million dollars and their funds are low, they must get back in to pay everyone off, so we have only just started to see the Liberal Propaganda Machine in action.
Last time the liberals won the vancouver riding by 12,000 votes, this time ,just 151.A s for Bob Rae, he's a ship jumping ex-NDPer, need I say more, but the real story is the riding in saskatchewan, hand picked by Dion, and lost miserably.I hope the election is called soon so we can rid Canada of Dion and his Belmonts.The singing loosers.
All Harper has to say is "Sponsorship Scandal, 1/4 billion plus, and no more liberals.


Rob
said
0 0

Oh.....if the Liberals are doing so great, why don't they grow some cojones and force an election. The truth is, they still don't have any!


Robert
said
0 0

A couple of wins in Liberal "yellow dog" ridings and they barely won in Vancouver and all of a sudden the mouthpieces of the Liberal Party (aka the media) make a big deal of this. Well, what else are we to expect from the Liberal toadies in the media? By the way, what happened to Dion's "handpicked" candidate in Saskatchewan?


Les J
said
0 0

The real story is the low (19%) voter turn out......

This means that the populace is happy with the status quo.....

I don't consider this a victory for any one party....I do consider this a loss for the NDP......and the liberals were 150 votes away from a rout.....


darren
said
0 0

Now we know why there is no money for Ontario from the federal gov't. Why would Harper give liberal Ont more than he absolutley has to? With no votes to be had in Ontario. Lots of votes out west. Go Harper Go!!!


Jack Thorgeirson
said
0 0

The news media never cease to amaze me. All the comments seem to be not that the Liberals won 3 out of the 4 seats but continually harped on about the seat they lost and how close the Quadra win was. A win is a win and NO I am not a Liberal supporter but just someone who is fed up the the media radio and TV who seem determined to report in a manner that makes for controversy


bckate
said
0 0

Notwithstanding comments made on morning TV; I found it interesting to listen to Martha Hall Findlay during her victory speach last night. She's coming after Stephen Harper. Both wins in Toronto were a forgone conclusion as stated by other posters; you could have run a telephone pole in Bob Rae's riding and it would have won. The Saskatchewan Conservative win is not only a wakeup call for Stephane Dion but also for Ralph Goodale, who was campaigning with Dion and Beatty in the Northern Riding. This is the second time Dion's dropping his own candidate into a riding as backfired. Vancouver-Quadra is definitely up for grabs in the next Federal election. The Conservatives have gained in this exercise. Congratulations Rob Clarke.


Young & Fed Up
said
0 0

Keeping it real: As much as I appreciate your condescending attitude, Im 30 years old and you boomers have cost my generation our rights to education,top quality health care (considering how much taxes we pay), you've jeopardized our national security with your cozy love affair with the global pariah & war mongering,America and your conservative intolerance for people of different races, religions & views.

The non-sensical fiscal policies of the conservatives have left our nation gutted, with bizarre surpluses and crumbling infrastructure and exorbitant student debt, where rich corporations are bleeding us dry and rich keep getting richer.

If conservatives continue to gain seats, we can count on being dragged into America's crusade against Iran, that's why we must vote out Harper and his religious war mongering conservatives. We have a lot of problems we need to fix in Canada and we wont have the money or brain power to do it if we're trotting behind USA and it's endless wars in the Middle East.


John
said
0 0

I'm a liberal at heart, because I believe in the centre approach to the provision of government services to the community. However, I've been relatively pleased with how the minority government is working and how much the conservative party has moved to the centre. However, I fear that a majority conservative government will take us back to the old PC days of heartless governments solely focussed on business and to hell with providing for social needs to the disadvantaged. This current by-election tells me that there is still overwhelming support for the liberal centre approach, however, there needs to be a change in leadership and Dion must go for the sake of the party and the country. The Conservatives have done an excellent job, at a high financial cost to the party, to create the illusion in the minds of many Canadians that Dion is not a leader. Nothing could be farther from the truth if anyone where to take the time to look into his background. However, perception is everything in public opinion and that perception remains. Therefore three out of four in this by-election is not good enough. However, a surprise change in Liberal leadership could find the Liberals with a majority next election, because few really trust Mr. Harper and only see him as the better of two lessers. The worst thing that could now happen to the Conservatives is a sudden change in liberal leadership.


go-figger
said
0 0

JD said.."I'm not sure what's wrong with Ontario, but it wouldn't hurt if the Conservatives showed a little support for some moderate social issues."

Billions have been put into the GTA... there is no thankfulness there, just arrogance...they believe they're at the center of the universe and they deserve more..GTA thinks only about GTA... they're just another version of the Parti Quebecois only worse... you cant recognize them in public... Harper is trying to govern CANADA... when will the Libs wake up and realize that Canada is slightly bigger than GTA?




N
said
0 0

For me, I can never conscienciously ever vote/cheer for the Conservatives, because most of them are former Alliance members and I do not support their ethical beliefs, regardless of whatever economical policies they bring, whether they're good or bad. Any party can bring those to the table. Ethics/morals is another thing. I'm not saying that the other parties are that much better, but the Conservatives are at the bottom. Thank goodness, they only have a minority, but then again, during these times, they can pretty much act like a majority.

With that said, I absolutely cannot believe the track the Liberals are taking regarding leadership (still in absolute wonder/disbelief how Dion won the leadership...), and largely because of this, they are floundering and will continue to do so until a REALLY new leader is chosen. Their track record with Dion is clear. This is why they had lost a by-election, nearly lost a former Liberal stronghold, and making no grounds in the public eye.

No need to talk about NDP, since they'll never be the leading power. Although I don't see why we can't let them win a minority at least, to see what they can do, I mean, we all know what the other parties can do... they don't offer anything different from each other economically, as both will do anything to stay in power. But since many affluent members of society are worried about the bottom line, this is not the option either.

So, really, yes, this is considered a Liberal loss. And until a new leader is chosen, they won't be in power, unless Harper really messes up (Brenda Martin, maybe, again, ethical issues).


Nasreen
said
0 0

Liberal Party must change their leader. Leadership is causing all the problem in poll. Stephen Dion is an excellent person and a good scholar but not a motivating political leader.


RS
said
0 0

First off, I don't see how the loss in SK is surprising in any way. In the last election, they ran a very popular former native chief who was a local and won by less than 100 votes. This time, Dion alienated a good number of the party's local leaders/organizers through his appointment of a non-local candidate to meet a self-set quota. And now we all see the end result.

You know who the real loser in all of this is though? Us taxpayers, who now have to foot the bill for a few hundred grand a year for three more Liberals to sit on their hands.


Mike - NWO
said
0 0

Hey Young & Fed up....

Do not pretend to speak for all youth. You do not speak for me. I am 28 and a University graduate. I bleed blue. I'm think the Cons are doing a great job and I hope they can get a majority. Also, I have many "young" friends that are also Conservative supporters.

You can have your own views but do not pass them off as the views of your entire group. Do you think that you are Layton "speaking" for all Cdns?!?!


Scott
said
0 0

The Liberals are grasping at anything they can. They are falling of a cliff and can do nothing about it. Dion will run this party into the ground and the fence sitters want this so they can grab power later. The Liberals should just be happy to get the scraps the Tories throw at them once in awhile.


Jen
said
0 0

The MSM will never remind the ONTARIANS that the man they chose is the very person who bankrupted ontario when he was an NDP premier for ontario.
Now as a liberal he knows liberals are voted in no matter what they did. so why not continue the job he left off.
Bankrupting A PROVINCE to get away with it; tells Bob Rae he can do anything he wants and the media is there to protect him from his own people instead of protecting the people from him.


AMC
said
0 0

darren: I'm saddened to see someone say that the FEDERAL government should simply write off a province based on it's political leanings. That is the kind of attitude that created the Bloc Quebecois and created the separatist issues that dominate the East of this country.

The Prime Minister is the leader of EVERYONE, not just the people who voted for him. Anything less than that level of devotion from the Head of Government is a terrifying statement about the nature of politics in this country. But it doesn't particularly surprise me, Harper is the ONLY personality people really know in the Conservative Party, he can basically do what he wants. He doesn't listen to the grassroots, which is where the best policy is written and where all policy should be written, by the people who it effects and who are more passionate about it.


Paul C.
said
0 0

This is typical Liberal politics. They had major losses in every riding and need to hide it and spin it like a victory. I don't really believe that Canadians are really that dumb, we see the forest for the trees!! Go Conservatives!!


John V
said
0 0

So according to Liberal logic, if I go to the casino and place a $400 bet and walk away with $300 I am a winner??? ummmmm the Liberals need their heads examined.


Dennis L. Krahn
said
0 0

Young and fed up:

Quit your whining and snivelling!

You sound like a little snot nosed kid who has missed his nap.

There are a lot of 'boomers' who pay a hell of a lot more tax than you do.

In closing, everyone stop blaming the USA for our problems; we are a nation of adults with our own elected politicians; it should be obvious we are quite capable of making our own mistakes


Dave Andrews
said
0 0

Jack, cutting the Liberal margin from about 12,000 to 151 is a moral victory for the Tories....


Ellsworth Penney
said
0 0

I think the Liberals better think their strategy with Dion as their leader..Maybe if Dion had not interfered in the nomination process there would have been 4 Liberal Wins. However i feel the Liberals have their work cut out for them with Dion as their Leader. And in saying that i hate the thought of a Harper Marjority but it will happen if the Liberals continue with Dion.


David Dunlop
said
0 0

Those that voted for Bob Rae must have been holding their nose at the very least. Having elected Rae sure shows one thing about the voters in Toronto, they sure aren't too bright basically forgiving him for destroying the Ontario economy. It all reminds me of another byelection where the folks in Hamilton voted Jane Stewart back in after she resigned because her Liberal boss Jean Chretien lied to all Canadians about eliminating the GST. The classic cartoon in the Sun will never be forgotten, it showed the electorate in Hamilton all standing together, all of their heads were butts. In other words the voters in Hamilton were all butt heads for re-electing Jane.


IT Manager in Calgary
said
0 0

To "Keeping it Real": I've posed this challenge before, and I'll do it again. Look deep inside yourself and realize that the only reason why you support the right is because of what they do for YOU personally... how they line YOUR pockets. I am, as my alias on here would imply, quite well-off, and yet I am a proud Liberal. Did you ever wonder why? (Of course not - being CONself-servative means there is no world past the end of your nose, so don't bother answering). It's because Liberals look at the country as a whole, and we realize that Harper's agenda will absolutely destroy everything that was left of Canadian values. People like "Young and Fed Up" are not the only people in their thirties who can see the big picture. I believe in a country where the government plays a role in looking after its people. Conservatives believe in a world where the rich are the only ones who the government caters to. If you look inside yourself, you know I'm right. It's definitely not the brilliant way that Conservatives manage finances, because that is an absolute joke bordering on a disaster. But, since YOU are saving money on the GST, the CONself-servatives are doing a great job right?

WRONG.

You'll see it in time.


Skeptical in NB
said
0 0

The Conservatives won Saskatchewan by 20%. BC Liberal Joyce Murray has only 151 votes (less than 1%) more than her Conservative rival. Voter turnout in BC was almost 10% higher than the other races.

Stéphane Dion better look where the gun is pointing before he pulls the trigger on an election! Do I hear the voices of his caucus cheering him on?


Colin
said
0 0

"Liberal member Bob Rae cruised to victory in Toronto Centre as did Martha Hall Findlay in Toronto's Willowdale riding."

Big deal. A monkey in a red shirt running for the Liberals would get elected in those ridings. Yes, I know the same can be said for other parties in other ridings. My point, is those 2 wins aren't the highlight of the byelections, the close call in Vancouver and a loss in Saskatchewan are. All of these were Liberal seats to lose and they lost one and nearly another.

PS I guess Toronto Centre forgot what Bob Rae did to this province as premier.


ScottS
said
0 0

Why was Scott Brison present in the riding of Rosedale last night? Is this constituency and it's makeup more appealing than his own riding? Obviously so, and his own constituents of Wolfville, Kentville, New Minas etc. should be taking notes.


Robinhood
said
0 0

Young & Fed Up:
Could not have said it better myself!.. btw, I am at the tail end of the baby boom (get the idea?) and have to say that they were'nt kidding when they called it the 'Me' generation.. 'Me, Myself and I" and to H_ell with everyone else!.. basically thats the bottom line when it come to many Harley and Yacht boomers.. leave it to future generations to pay for our party. You and my kid have my full sympathies. Sorry!



Devon K.
said
0 0

Young & Fed Up,

You know I don't know where you get some of your ideas but the following is something you may want to consider: there is no right to an education in this country either primary, secondary, or post secondary. We've mandated the first two in law but not the last. We never had top quality health care and regardless that's a Provincial responsibility not a Federal one. Talk to your premier. The war mongering is actually a result of the Liberals who put us in Afghanistan without consulting Parliament or even debating it. At least the Tories consulted Parliament and debated the issue.

Our nation gutted? Yeah I don't get that one. Bizarre surpluses? The Liberals did the same. Student Debt? Well that's choice students make when they choose higher education. I'm 2/3rds done paying my student loan and you don't hear me complaining.

As to Iran? Well even the Liberals, NDP, and Bloc have all commented at one time or another that Iran must never have the ability to build a nuclear bomb. The French, Germans, Chinese, and Russians also agree the Iranians must never have the bomb. That's why they all agreed to put two sets of sanctions on Iran.

You have a lot of beefs and some of them are misdirected at the Federal Government when you should be taking them up with your Premier. At the same time you have beefs on the international front that put you at odds with the progressive left.

Today and this discussion is about the Liberal wins and if they were actually wins. They weren't. The reason they weren't is because the Liberals aren't dealing with reality. The people, like yourself, that are on the side of the progressives (Liberals, NDP, and Greens) aren't on track and on message about how to defeat the Tories. All that does is tell the 20% of Canadians who are moderates and independent that you are definitely NOT the guys to side with.

You may want to consider that if parties like the Liberals, NDP, etc are ever going to grow their votes out of the big urban areas.


Frank Buchan
said
0 0

To Young & Fed Up:

Condescending attitudes and platitudes abound on every side of your age-line.

The problem with comments like the ones you posted is that they are abrasive to many, without containing much in the way of reasoned argument to sway people. You throw around a lot of rhetoric, pin it to a party, but forget that it has taken decades to create the problems, and that for most of those decades the ruling party has flipped back and forth fairly regularly.

If you dig into the underlying issues, you will find that much of what we're facing now falls squarely on the Trudeau era. Great ideas came from the man (at times), but the execution of well-meaning social policies created a largely unsustainable government structure.

If you want to take the easy road and focus on party politics, that's your right, obviously; and it suits this forum better than discussions about structural problems in our society. But while you do that, consider that the spin on these results isn't the truth of the real facts of these by-elections. You can boil those facts down to: Liberals held onto two safe seats; Liberals almost lost a Vancouver seat that was considered fairly safe; and Dion's hand-picked nominee lost in a north-western mostly rural riding.

In the end, spinning it makes the spin-doctors sound foolish. Just as dumping blame on past generations makes any arguments against their excesses sound foolish. The day everyone under 40 votes is important, but it won't happen until the post boomers take full responsibility for thr future, and stop worrying about blame for the past.


Middle Aged and well Informed
said
0 0

Almost everytime I read a comment posted from a young reader it makes me cringe. If it ever comes to pass that the youth of today dictates policy for our country we will be in very big trouble.
God forbid they ever let 16 year olds vote.


Timothy
said
0 0

Vincent

To think that G&M, CTV (Craig Oliver give you any hint), Global are conservative shows how far to the left your mental political spectrum is. These organizations are at best centrist. Now I agree they're not as openly biased to a left (a so-called "progressive") world view as the line-up on the CBC (and most canadian newspapers); but conservative? Hardly


Reid
said
0 0

What I find amazing is how everyone keeps talking about wins. In actual fact, the only win was in Saskatchewan. In the other three all the Liberals did was retain what they already had. It always used to be called retaining.


Scott Ash
said
0 0

Liberal victory? How? ok, people in Toronto would vote for a snowman if it had a Liberal sticker on it. The real story is that the Tories gained a seat and almost took a Liberal stronghold in Vancouver.

Aren't the Liberals just insulting Canadians intelligence by claiming this as a victory? I think so. Nice spin, but nobody can be this dumb.


Paul in BC
said
0 0

The Liberals have some excellent members of Parliament including the three new members; however, they lack good leadership in Mr. Dion. Mr. Dion is a bright man but is not a good leader.


Richard D
said
0 0

To Young and Fed Up.

It's time to change your name to "Young and Wake Up!"
In case you missed it the mission in Afghanistan is UN sanctioned and NATO led so we're in this with our Allies as a response to the threat of terrorism. It was the Liberals who wisely put us there and the Conservatives who are wisely keeping us there. No one is talking of going to Iran.

The by-election yesterday was a Tory win in my estimation...the two in Toronto are simply maintaining the status quo. Saskatchewan is a big win with a great candidate. Vancouver Quadra...oh my!! I went to UBC in the early 80s and that riding was so Liberal red it was a joke...M. Dion is losing ground for sure.



Po
said
0 0

Bang on Vincent... I'm sick of hearing about so-called "liberal media". There is more Conservative media in Canada then there is Liberal (except in Quebec, where I'll admit there is more Liberal media... probably because liberalism is more prominent in that province)


Rob
said
0 0

Come on Dion!, Make my day, If you are so brave call an election. let's see if the momentum shown in Vancouver Quadra will not take enough Liberal seats to bring a Harper Majority once and for all.


RRO
said
0 0

He is playing coy because even he knows that last night was a loss.
A dead liberal could win in Toronto, just like a dead conservative would beat a liberal in Alberta.
Vancouver was won by a thin majority, when Vancouver usually votes Liberal as well. A thin win there should be a major warning light.
The loss in Saskatchewan shows Dion cannot hold anything except solid Liberal territory. If that is the case he will get creamed in the election.


Lart from Above
said
0 0

Liberals remain strong in Ontario, not strong enough nationally to have much chance of winning an election. Polls show Tories not strong enough to win a majority government. A federal election would likely end up with something like the current result, except that if Harper forces the election, the Tories would probably lose several seats, and if the Liberals force an election, they'll be the ones to lose seats. Expect more of the status quo for a while.


Ryan P.
said
0 0

Call an election Mr. Dion I dare you! Poll numbers aren't accurate at all, it's what is happening at a local level not on a National level and the bottom line is this; Ontario is bigger and will vote for Liberal en mass, but we in Canada elect and form governments not on total popular support but rather on a riding by riding basis. And on the ground and in the coffee shops around our great nation, the Conservative Party of Canada brand continues to be well received, despite what highly overpaid Liberal strategists such as Scott Reid will have you believe.


Kris
said
0 0

I don't think that either the Liberals or NDP can claim a victory here. Looking at the change in % support for all 4 ridings compared to the Jan/06 general election the NDP lost 4 % support to the Greens and the Liberals lost over 2% support to the Conservatives. Unfortunately By-elections aren't always a good indicator of what's really going to happen as it is a safe way for a lot of people to make a statement.


Bob in Ottawa
said
0 0

Dion can afford to be coy. He is going to lose either way. HE has not shown any kind of back bone or leadership since taking over the leadership. I feel soory for boobs like him. They're dismal


Ron MacKinnon
said
0 0

Ron from ON
Usually byelections are a place to make a protest vote against the party in power. Guess even a protest vote doesn't help the Liberals. Perhaps the only one it helped was the Greens.

But it makes you wonder what difference it would have made if the PM had spent some time campaigning in Vancouver. He was in the city and didn't even appear with the candidate. Would that have been worth 200 votes and a win? Come on Stephen, it is time to step up to the plate for your candidates.

And, don't be surprised if when the vote finally happens in 2009 that the Liberals lose some seats in Toronto. It is just a matter of time.


JJ
said
0 0

I sincerely feel for the Liberal supporters. It must be challenging to watch and wait for a decision from one of the apparently most indecisive politicians of uour time. Will we go to the polls or won't we.


Raymond
said
0 0

'But Findlay, also appearing on Canada AM, said the real story behind the numbers is that the Tories have been unable to make significant gains.'
Huh? The Cons came within 151 votes of taking a liberal stronghold...in metro Vancouver! Nice try, Martha.




Leo
said
0 0

I love how Canada's right-wing media is spinning the by-elections as a loss for the Liberals. Because of low turnout, by-elections are always closer than general elections. A win by a couple hundred in a by-election will turn into a couple thousand in a general election.

If the Conservatives lost one of the Toronto ridings by a couple hundred votes, that would be big news. But that didn't happen, they finished 4th in one riding and a distant second in the other one.

The Liberals won 3 out of 4 seats. End of story.


Erik Thomas
said
0 0

by-elections are hardly strong indications of how a federal election will play out, look at past results.

Watch for the next federal election, Liberal strongholds will remain Liberal strongholds.



Sean
said
0 0

Findlay said "the real story behind the numbers is that the Tories have been unable to make significant gains".

Well, if the conservative take 25% (1 out of 4) incumbant liberal seats and the liberals continues to win like this, then we will indeed be looking at a conservative majority soon.


Share with your social Network:

 

Advertisement

Contest

User Tools

About the tools

Need to get in touch with CTV? You can email the CTV web team using the 'Feedback' button.

Share it with your network of friends

Share this CTV article or feature with your friends. Click on the icon for your favourite social networking or messaging system, and follow the prompts.

Share this article with Facebook

Share this article with Digg

Share this article with Newsvine

Share this article with delicious

Share this article.
Send Email

Share this article with Twitter

Share this article with StumbleUpon

Share this article with Reddit

Share this article with Yahoo! Buzz