CTV News | U.S. interest rate cut lifts loonie to record high

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U.S. interest rate cut lifts loonie to record high

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CTV News: Joy Malbon with the reaction to the rates
CTV News: BNN' Michael Hainsworth on whether the dollar will hit parity with the U.S.
CTV British Columbia: Dag Sharman on the cross-border car shopping trend
CTV Newsnet: Economist Dane Rowlands explains the relationship between the dollar and interest rates
CTV Newsnet: Don Drummond, TD chief economist

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CTV.ca News Staff

Date: Tue. Sep. 18 2007 8:06 PM ET

The Canadian dollar set a 30-year-high Tuesday, closing at 98.64 cents US after investors got word of a drastic interest rate cut south of the border.

The loonie rose 1.36 cents higher than Monday's close as it traded on Toronto's financial market. The dollar went as high as 98.74 cents Tuesday afternoon,

Economists say it could only be a matter of days before the loonie reaches parity with the American dollar.

"You got the two ingredients, commodity prices and interest rate differentials, both going in the dollar's favour," said Don Drummond, chief economist for TD Bank speaking to CTV Newsnet Tuesday evening.

Speculation surrounding the rate cut and record oil prices helped push the dollar past yesterday's close of 97.28 cents US. But the real surge came after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut its key funds rate half a point to 4.75 per cent to curtail a possible recession.

The move by half a point was double the quarter point economists were expecting.

The move could lead American investors to doubt the state of the U.S. economy. But it made the Canadian dollar seem that much more attractive to foreign investors, said BNN's Michael Hainsworth, speaking to CTV Newsnet Tuesday afternoon.

With U.S. rates falling and Canadian rates remaining stable, foreign investors are looking at Canada as the ideal place to rest their money.

U.S. has been dealing with the partial collapse of their housing market plus a worsening credit crunch. In the meantime, Canada has benefited from record-setting crude oil prices and strong demand for metals, coal, chemicals, grain and other farm products.

"When money is cheap to borrow, that means companies will be able to do so, it's not going to cut into their bottom lines in the same degree," Hainsworth said. "That puts a lot of upward momentum on stocks."

The Canadian dollar has risen 13.9 per cent in 2007 against the greenback.

It hasn't passed 98 cents US since January 1977.

The value of the loonie is slightly exaggerated, Drummond said, explaining that commodity prices are out of sync with longer term trends.

"That has been the primary factor pushing the Canadian dollar up," he said.

Nonetheless, Drummond predicted the momentum would continue on the upswing.

"I don't think the Federal Reserve Board is done," he said. "They'll probably cut at their next meeting at the end of October and the Bank of Canada probably won't cut, at least not for a while.

Toronto's S&P/TSX composite index climbed 25.98 points to 13,835.84. The TSX Venture Exchange gave back 20.16 points to 2,729.12.

With files from The Canadian Press

Please Add Comments( )

Mike
said
0 0

Just wondering how the Canadian manufacturing sector will be able to deal with this, it seems as a good thing - 'Canadian dollar rises!' - but overall effect, will it be positive or negative?


Brian
said
0 0

Well that's just great! Now how long will we have to wait before we see some breaks as consumers?


James in Edmonton
said
0 0

It's amazing how the Canadian Dollar is just about even with the American dollar, but we still pay more for everything like we did back when the dollar was in the 60 cent range.
What's up with that?
Some of these businesses need to realise that jsut because we are Canadians, does not mean we are stupid! Bring your prices down to match the dollar!


49% made in China
said
0 0

While not understanding all the implications of this, I am happy to see a stronger dollar.


Thomas Chan
said
0 0

Hopefully, the lost will not outweigh our gains in dollar's real value, just don't want to see the increasing job-cuts due to decreasing competitiveness in our exports and imports.


Ed
said
0 0

This means that our house is in order, financially. Like the person who uses credit wisely, the long term reward is greater.


Wayne
said
0 0

One thing that should be pointed out is that even if the dollar is par with the States, Canadian pricing will not. Mostly because of the brokerage fees and duties to get stuff across the border. Unfortunately these costs will keep our prices higher than American prices.


Alex
said
0 0

With 75% of our product shipping to the US, we started a couple of years ago to become leaner and more competitive. We've had the luxury over the years of a low Canadian dollar when competing with the US, but now there's a more level playing field. Canadian company's need to become leaner in order to compete.


Richard - Toronto
said
0 0

While it is quite true that a high Canadian dollar hurts the manufacturing sector, the higher dollar should also benefit consumers through lower prices for imported goods, ecpecially those imported from the U.S. That isn't happening. Seems to me the importers and retailers are making a killing while the average Canadian still pays much more than he/she should.


Axmed
said
0 0

If I do not see prices going down, I'll shop with my feet. Anybody buying a car would be unwise not to consider the country down south.


Richard
said
0 0

It's nice and all but - how is our dollar doing compared to the Euro or Asian markets?

Just comparing it to the U.S. Dollar is it the only thing that is important in the worth of our currency?


Larry Williams
said
0 0

It just might be time to consider buying up US investments that's on the 'cheap'. Could turn out solid gains, if we can pick them right.

For those of us here on the west coast, real estate in Hawaii is a whole lot cheaper now with an almost matching dollar.


Mark E
said
0 0

What James said. My sentiments exactly. Just check out auto prices here versus the US.
What is scary here is that 85% of our exports go straight to the US. A weak US Dollar is VERY bad news for Canadian manufacturers and exporters, especially the oil and gas royalties that the government collects, as these prices are always in US funds.



TSC
said
0 0

Not only are we still paying more for products than Americans, in some areas things are still getting worse. For example, Mercedes Canada has raised some of their car prices for 2008 by 3% without a corresponding increase in US car pricing. This has caused the price gap to widen when it should be getting smaller. I would strongly encourage everyone to shop in the US for their next vehicle. The only language these corporate pirates understand is loss of sales.

Canadian wholesalers and retailers are counting on the majority of the Canadian market to passively continue buying their overpriced Canadian products.

I have read recently that Jim Flaherty has been pressing firms that sell into Canada to lower prices to reflect our strong dollar. Based on what Merecedes just did they obviously don't give a dam what our Minister of Finance thinks.


TommyWommy
said
0 0

Never mind Mercedes. Hyundai cars in the US have a better warranty, 10 years, and are WAY cheaper than we get them for.


R.J.
said
0 0

Ok, the higher dollar is a mixed blessing. Its a symptom of a strong economy and relatively good management (relative to the mess of the US and some other countries), but this 'good symptom' also has a negative feedback in that it impacts our export sectors negativly. If we deal with it smartly (invest big in importing technology to improve production) we will be able to mitigate that a bit. As per the Can$ vs other currencies. We have seen huge gains against most other world currencies. This is largely because the rest of the world is starting to see us as separate from the USA. We have been very undervalued because we historically have been linked somewhat to the US$, even though our fundimentals are much stronger than the USA (less debt, stable banking, better education, etc). The price of things will adjust, but it will take time. Competition will force prices here down. Already we see many retailers opening here to take advantage of the superprofits available.


Greg
said
0 0

Where's the government calling on retailers to pass their savings onto the consumer?

Until that happens, I'm buying as much as I can online, where it's cheaper than ever before considering the exchange rate.


Paul
said
0 0

Strong Canadian dollar will destroy manufacturing sector. We export over 75% of our goods to the U.S.

And don't look for a break in pricing from U.S.

Why would U.s companies set up here anymore?


Bob Boles
said
0 0

Don't hold your breath if you're waiting for Canadian retailers to lower their prices. Time to head over the border and shop there.


donna
said
0 0

Great news on the Canadian dollar,when are we going to benefit from this in Canada?


F Harris
said
0 0

Wayne:

We have FREE TRADE under NAFTA - there shouldn't be any Brokerage Fees or Duties for manufactures.
If the stores won't bring down their prices in Canada then we'll just drive to Buffalo.



fishfish
said
0 0

We should support a strong Canadian dollar. A strong Cdn currency allow Canadian manufacturers to invest in machinery, improve productivity in the long run, as our southern neighbour has done in the last decade.


K. Hotchkiss
said
0 0

Great you say? We are laying off 3 employees today and our company is on the verge of total collapse.

There is nothing good here at all.

Jason from London
said
0 0

I find it interesting that gas in the USA is about $3.00 a gallon, here it is .097 cents a litre. So if our dollar is relatively the same, and for argument's sake 4 litres per gallon, in the USA per litre price would be .75 cents per litre, yet we are paying 97-99 cents...Hmmmm, who explains why we are paying over 20 cents more???

daniel
said
0 0

Enjoy it while it lasts, particulary if you cross the border to shop because if the Democrats get in next year you will see the loonie drop back down to around the 80 cent mark.

Jam
said
0 0

Welcome to the global economy. So the technologically advanced machinery we're buying from Europe is coming in way under budget, and the product we sell to Asia is getting more expensive for them. When will the consumer see a break? Friday, when I buy my new boat in the US for Half what it would cost here.


JEREMY
said
0 0

Being in sales I have mixed feelings about the dollar going up. However as a whole it's great for our country.


david
said
0 0

So what! Being able to purchase products cheaper isn't going to help the Canadian economy when our manufacturing industries suffer because the dollar is too high. Do the math Canada! This is not a good thing. Our low dollar gave us a competitive edge.


Laura
said
0 0

I have a small retail business and I can tell you that all the profit from the high Canadian dollar goes to the big American Corporations that supply their products to Canadian dealers. They keep their wholesale prices at the level of 2000-2001. We started to complain about this as soon as Canadian dollar started to rise, but big American companies-suppliers do not listen to us and just answer that this is their corporate pricing policy.


Steve
said
0 0

Free trade is only for items manufactured in the U.S. and Canada; most other goods still have a duty imposed on them. Add to that the cost of shipping and brokerage fees and you'll understand why Canadian prices are higher. Even at par, Canadian retailers have higher costs than their American counterparts. I know because I am one. Spending your money in another country does nothing to help stimulate the local economy.


John
said
0 0

Has anyone noticed that with the usual 2% commission charged by banks on foreign exchange, the exchange rate for Americans buying Canadian dollars is now below parity - an American selling with US$100 will now get slightly less than CDN$100. A huge difference from the days when you could buy breakfast in Toronto with an American $10 and get $13 in change!


Steve L.
said
0 0

Just a reminder before you head off to the States to buy your next car -- in almost all cases the warranty will not be honoured in Canada (or vice versa)! Buyer beware....


William Laidlaw
said
0 0

Unfortunately, when you are a business importing stuff from the USA, our good friends at CRA force you to pay a customs broker, force you to pay GST on the goods, and on the brokerage fee, and may decide that there is a duty payable on the item. It is often a different story when buying an individual item as a private citizen and having it shipped from the USA.
Then there is the case of the item imported when the dollar was low, matching prices generates a loss.
It isn't always as simple as you might think when you are shopping on line.


Bobby
said
0 0

The US is in a very bad spot. If they raise interest rates to try and support the dollar, it will increase the size of the US budget deficit, with the the likelihood that the economy would go into a tailspin. The level of personal and corporate debt in the USA is now so high, that a sudden increase in interest rates would likely bring about an economic collapse with millions thrown out of work and soaring inflation putting fuel and food beyond the reach of many Americans. Either way, America is in deep deep trouble. What they could experience is a run on the US dollar, until it becomes completely worthless.


Wayne
said
0 0

F Harris:

Unfortunately free trade only applies to products made in the USA. Most things are now produced overseas and shipped to American warehouse to be distributed through out North America. Because these products are produced overseas you need to pay for brokerage fees and duties. Hope this helps explain some of the extra costs associated to higher prices in Canada.


Roger T
said
0 0

It's great news but not for us consumers. Good for the rich bad for the poor.


paul from ontario
said
0 0

I have to laugh at people that run across the border to buy in the States and then whine when they lose their jobs soon after. Most goods sold in canada are made in China and cost to import, this is happening more and more as Canadian manufacturing becomes too expensive in a global economy. Hershey moved to the States and put almost everyone in Smiths Falls out of work, many others are doing the same and moving to Mexico, then the goods are transported to Canada (for a cost to the consumer in Canada) and resold here. The best thing the Canadian government can do is impose heavy import taxes on consumer goods imported into Canada.

RICHIE
said
0 0

If we're equal but stuff is still more expensive, then tell me how NAFTA is working here??? I'm sick of pseudo-democratic socialism and all the fake opportuinities we're given. Don't you see, this isn't an actual raise, this is a sunny day before a storm.


Doug
said
0 0

I like the idea, but I think a lot of adjustments will have to be made. It seems lower prices are slow in coming, though I am sure gas would be a lot more expensive if the dollar was still in the 65 cent range.
But how long will the feel good thing last when our exporters can't sell anymore. It seems to me, that if we want the buying power of the higher dollar, we are going to have to lower a lot of taxes for our companies to be able to compete, and continue printing our pay cheques.
There could be a very bumpy road ahead. If our policy makers are up to the task, we could emerge in a much stronger position in the future.

Randy
said
0 0

How stupid can you Canadians get! A stronger dollar means massive job losses in Canada and giving the US an advantage over us in marketing. Our government should be ashamed at what it is allowing to happen. Put the Liberals back in and allow us to become Canadian again and give those Americans the kick where it hurts when it comes to competing with us Canucks.


Tim
said
0 0

The high Canadian dollar is gutting many business. The Canadian dollar has risen dramatically against the US Dollar but not so against other major currencies. To those that are bitching and complaining about prices, where were you when Canadian business held the prices when the US $ was 30, 40 50%.
You do have the right to shop with your feet and go south, but don't bitch when you, you spouse and you children loose their jobs!


David S
said
0 0

F Harris,

Free trade should eliminate duties (on U.S. and Mexican manufactured goods), but not brokerage fees. Customs forms must still be duly completed by a broker, and they need to be paid for that service.


Cross
said
0 0

Paul has it right.

A strong Canadian dollar knocks the heck out of the manufacturing sector's export south of the border...and that's exactly what USA wants. Unfortunately, our government, or any other, can't do anything to stop it.

rob o.
said
0 0

Consumers in canada must remember that when a retailer purchases its items, .. they are usually 6 months in the past before you see them on the shelf.. remember the lifecycle of seasonal products everyone.. so don't expect a price change asap!

Kim Phelps
said
0 0

It is still cheaper for me and my family to cross the border stay in a hotel for 2 nights to buy products in the USA. Canadian retailers... need to wake up!


TeeDee
said
0 0

Saturday Night Live had a skit on currency a couple of years ago, and mocked our dollar along with the peso. Well, those who laugh last still laugh last. Can't wait until next year's skit, with the mighty American dollar duking it out with Somalia's currency.


Rob
said
0 0

I find it interesting that most of the people that are complaining about the high dollar are in the manufacturing sector in eastern Canada, and use the excuse that the low Canadian dollar was their edge in surviving. If that was the only thing that was keeping the company alive that's the companies' fault. If the company is efficent, lean they would stay competitive with or without a low dollar.

I have been working in the auto manufacturing sector, and from experience know that the greed of the unions has hurt the manufacturing sector just as much as anything else.


traveller
said
0 0

As a guy who travels the world a lot for business and pleasure I personally will benefit from a higher dollar. Especially when travelling to the US and Latin America.


Linda
said
0 0

It's not about stupid Randy. Some of us remember the days when our dollar was higher than the US dollar. And we did very well, thank you. The governments and businesses in this country allowed the dollar to go lower when our economy needed a boost. But business came to rely on that, and failed to find effective ways to compete. I think it's high time they got off their asses and, at least, tried.
Letting the dollar fall as far as it did was just the same as a massive pay cut for all Canadians. Consumers have paid long enough. I think it's time the government ponied up and did something about lowering taxes, and business got off their butts and improved their level of productivity. This will force them to that.


Jerry - BC
said
0 0

This calculation will say it all:

In November 2000, average crude oil price per barrel was US$31.16. The CAD/USD exchange rate was 1.54 at the same period of time. Hence crude oil price was at C$47.98 per barrel. Vancouver gas price at the pump was 50.99 cents per litre then.

In July 2007, average crude oil price per barrel was US$65.96. The CAD/USD exchange rate was 1.05 at the same period of time. Hence crude oil price was at C$69.26 per barrel. Vancouver gas price at the pump was at 109.50 cents per litre.

Measured in Canadian currency, crude oil price rose by 44.35% from November 2000 to July 2007. In the same period of time, our gas price at the pump rose by 114.75%!

Clearly it is windfall for the gas companies!


Manny
said
0 0

Go Shop in the states you'll get your dollars worth :)


MM
said
0 0

Let's be honest. It's great that the CAD is so high. It proves our governement is doing the right thing and the economy is firing on all cylinders. The high CAD does hurt the manufacturing sector. No doubt about that. However, they are overpaid anyway. Do away with the unions and get the company back on track. Manufacture sector just isn't that important in Canada anymore. If all those layoffs are so detrimental to the Canadian economy, we wouldn't have the lowest unemployment rate in over 30 years!


Louis
said
0 0

So with the loonie reaching parity with the U.S. dollar, how come comparable, or the same goods still cost more in Canada? For example, cars, electronics, books etc.


Kevin
said
0 0

As I know, the Chinese currency is pegged with the US dollar. So strong Canadian dollar means those goods imported from China should be even more cheaper than before. But I didn't see this happen here. The dealers and retailers are drinking blood from us. We consumers got nothing from the currency advantage except its beautiful face value.


Tom in Ontario
said
0 0

Wait a minute, exchange rates fluctuate with interest rates which compete for foreign currency and this is upsetting. But let's get back to interest rates and the fact I have to pay high Canadian interest rates on my house mortgage to help cut down on inflationary purchasing by consumers. Why not just increase the sales taxes instead of increasing the interest rates & stop giving homeowners' dollars to foreign banks who love high interest rates.
At least the money stays in our own country.



Ches
said
0 0

If business here in Canada does not give Canadians a break on their dollar then they deserve to lose that business as more and more of us shop south of the border.


Gus
said
0 0

I'm going on a spending hiatus until Canadian prices are much the same as US prices. People can continue whining, or simply take action the only way retailers understand - with our wallets. I may have to get creative when the kids give me their XMas wish lists.


Lance
said
0 0

This smells like NAU (North American Union) to me. A great excuse to merge all 3 countries into one. This is a slow death for Canada.


Steven Booth
said
0 0

The reason for the big difference in gasoline prices between the US & Canada is the taxes at the pump! Canada's taxes are much higher - that is the sole difference in the price. Even within the US, the differential between each state is caused by state taxes being higher in Democrat controlled states vs. Republican states. Georgia, Texas & Oklahoma have the cheapest gas because they are Republican states.


RICK L--Montreal
said
0 0

yes--its about time we got the same prices as the USA--was in Phoenix in May--checked out the price of my Lexus RX350$13000 less even adding GST at the border--too bad my my lease was up in 3 weeks--If I would have had the time--would have bought it in the USA. The exchange was around .92 then--even better deal now. Same goes for pretty much any car--GM's as well


Ken Lawson
said
0 0

It is called Consumer Gouging and they pay cheap labour rates, Sears, The Bay, Canadian Tire the list goes on and on. Still better to shop at Costco and Costco US ( where the sizes are larger) Thanks to the French Canadian Metric System under the Liberals. The biggest rip off in history at Canadian Food Supermarkets.


Ken Lawson
said
0 0

You mean 95% made in China, Canadians are really stupid consumers, but we are waking up, No "Made in China" products to be bought in the future. Do you get that Forsani Group.


Kent Pollard
said
0 0

No matter how strong the dollar gets, the Government will still collect 6% GST on top of the American Price, then the retailer will still pay a 2-5% commission to someone for calculating that G.S.T. (read brokers).

Free trade doesn[t fix any of that. Whether there is duty or not, most imported items are going to go up 8-15% over the U.S. price without any shipping added in.

Items manufactured in the country can skip the brokerage, but they aren't going to drop. Is anyone prepared to take a 10% cut in their wages so that prices can drop?

Keep it real folks. Until we have a 400 million person economy, our prices will always be a bit a higher on average.


Calvin
said
0 0

It rose $0.0136, not $1.36


NOYB
said
0 0

Hw can you say the loonie is SOARING when gold is $734 an ounce?

I think it's the other currencies that are
in correction mode.



G.J.
said
0 0

The government should not take the position to force retailers or suppliers to cut prices because the dollar is higher against the US dollar. That would be another example of government tampering where normal economic progress will play out. Retailers aren't cutting prices because consumers right now are still buying goods regardless. Companies just don't lower prices because of reasons like that. What happens is more companies join the fold because of realized gains in the industry due to the dollar's strength. And once the industry (whichever that may be) is saturated and supply increases, prices will fall due to over supply to demand levels. That's when we as consumers will see decreases in prices. And there doesn't need to be any more government intervention.


Richard - Proud Canadian
said
0 0

Canada is one of the world’s largest exporters of natural resources (oil, minerals, lumber, etc.). The value of these commodities is not determined solely on the ratio of the CAD:USD. I would predict that the Lonnie will continue to rise as the price of these commodities continues to rise.

Though our manufacturing industry will suffer with a strong Canadian dollar, hopefully this sector will take advantage of this hardship to become more competitive.

Every economy is cyclic. The Canadian economy will slow down, and the Lonnie will decline (I sure wish I could predict the future!). We should take advantage of our present prosperity and prepare for the inevitable down-turn such that we can better weather it. Present economic policy should reduce our debt (personal, corporate, and government), invest in infrastructure, health-care, education ... i.e. invest in Canada’s future.



JR
said
0 0

Bring back the Jets as this is great for the Canadian NHL franchises! They pay their salaries in US $ and the revenue is in CDN $. Brian Burke once said that every penny change in the exchange rate made a $300,000 difference in salaries - that was when the average salary per club was around $30 Million US, now they are around $45 million - so from 60cents/US to 98cents/US - means a better financial situation of approximately $15 million/year for our Canadian franchises compared to the old 60cent dollar!


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