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U.S. interest rate cut lifts loonie to record high
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CTV.ca News Staff
Date: Tue. Sep. 18 2007 8:06 PM ET
The Canadian dollar set a 30-year-high Tuesday, closing at 98.64 cents US after investors got word of a drastic interest rate cut south of the border.
The loonie rose 1.36 cents higher than Monday's close as it traded on Toronto's financial market. The dollar went as high as 98.74 cents Tuesday afternoon,
Economists say it could only be a matter of days before the loonie reaches parity with the American dollar.
"You got the two ingredients, commodity prices and interest rate differentials, both going in the dollar's favour," said Don Drummond, chief economist for TD Bank speaking to CTV Newsnet Tuesday evening.
Speculation surrounding the rate cut and record oil prices helped push the dollar past yesterday's close of 97.28 cents US. But the real surge came after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut its key funds rate half a point to 4.75 per cent to curtail a possible recession.
The move by half a point was double the quarter point economists were expecting.
The move could lead American investors to doubt the state of the U.S. economy. But it made the Canadian dollar seem that much more attractive to foreign investors, said BNN's Michael Hainsworth, speaking to CTV Newsnet Tuesday afternoon.
With U.S. rates falling and Canadian rates remaining stable, foreign investors are looking at Canada as the ideal place to rest their money.
U.S. has been dealing with the partial collapse of their housing market plus a worsening credit crunch. In the meantime, Canada has benefited from record-setting crude oil prices and strong demand for metals, coal, chemicals, grain and other farm products.
"When money is cheap to borrow, that means companies will be able to do so, it's not going to cut into their bottom lines in the same degree," Hainsworth said. "That puts a lot of upward momentum on stocks."
The Canadian dollar has risen 13.9 per cent in 2007 against the greenback.
It hasn't passed 98 cents US since January 1977.
The value of the loonie is slightly exaggerated, Drummond said, explaining that commodity prices are out of sync with longer term trends.
"That has been the primary factor pushing the Canadian dollar up," he said.
Nonetheless, Drummond predicted the momentum would continue on the upswing.
"I don't think the Federal Reserve Board is done," he said. "They'll probably cut at their next meeting at the end of October and the Bank of Canada probably won't cut, at least not for a while.
Toronto's S&P/TSX composite index climbed 25.98 points to 13,835.84. The TSX Venture Exchange gave back 20.16 points to 2,729.12.
With files from The Canadian Press
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I applaud the budget, even though Health Care and education may stay unscathed. Sadly this cannot last and I worry to later this year where cuts will become enviable. If anything, this provides the Wildrose Alliance plenty of ammo when an election is called.


Please Add Comments( )
Mike
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Brian
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James in Edmonton
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What's up with that?
Some of these businesses need to realise that jsut because we are Canadians, does not mean we are stupid! Bring your prices down to match the dollar!
49% made in China
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Thomas Chan
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Ed
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Wayne
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Alex
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Richard - Toronto
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Axmed
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Richard
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Just comparing it to the U.S. Dollar is it the only thing that is important in the worth of our currency?
Larry Williams
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For those of us here on the west coast, real estate in Hawaii is a whole lot cheaper now with an almost matching dollar.
Mark E
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What is scary here is that 85% of our exports go straight to the US. A weak US Dollar is VERY bad news for Canadian manufacturers and exporters, especially the oil and gas royalties that the government collects, as these prices are always in US funds.
TSC
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Canadian wholesalers and retailers are counting on the majority of the Canadian market to passively continue buying their overpriced Canadian products.
I have read recently that Jim Flaherty has been pressing firms that sell into Canada to lower prices to reflect our strong dollar. Based on what Merecedes just did they obviously don't give a dam what our Minister of Finance thinks.
TommyWommy
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R.J.
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Greg
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Until that happens, I'm buying as much as I can online, where it's cheaper than ever before considering the exchange rate.
Paul
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And don't look for a break in pricing from U.S.
Why would U.s companies set up here anymore?
Bob Boles
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donna
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F Harris
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We have FREE TRADE under NAFTA - there shouldn't be any Brokerage Fees or Duties for manufactures.
If the stores won't bring down their prices in Canada then we'll just drive to Buffalo.
fishfish
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K. Hotchkiss
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There is nothing good here at all.
Jason from London
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daniel
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Jam
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JEREMY
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david
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Laura
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Steve
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John
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Steve L.
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William Laidlaw
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Then there is the case of the item imported when the dollar was low, matching prices generates a loss.
It isn't always as simple as you might think when you are shopping on line.
Bobby
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Wayne
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Unfortunately free trade only applies to products made in the USA. Most things are now produced overseas and shipped to American warehouse to be distributed through out North America. Because these products are produced overseas you need to pay for brokerage fees and duties. Hope this helps explain some of the extra costs associated to higher prices in Canada.
Roger T
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paul from ontario
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RICHIE
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Doug
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But how long will the feel good thing last when our exporters can't sell anymore. It seems to me, that if we want the buying power of the higher dollar, we are going to have to lower a lot of taxes for our companies to be able to compete, and continue printing our pay cheques.
There could be a very bumpy road ahead. If our policy makers are up to the task, we could emerge in a much stronger position in the future.
Randy
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Tim
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You do have the right to shop with your feet and go south, but don't bitch when you, you spouse and you children loose their jobs!
David S
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Free trade should eliminate duties (on U.S. and Mexican manufactured goods), but not brokerage fees. Customs forms must still be duly completed by a broker, and they need to be paid for that service.
Cross
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A strong Canadian dollar knocks the heck out of the manufacturing sector's export south of the border...and that's exactly what USA wants. Unfortunately, our government, or any other, can't do anything to stop it.
rob o.
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Kim Phelps
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TeeDee
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Rob
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I have been working in the auto manufacturing sector, and from experience know that the greed of the unions has hurt the manufacturing sector just as much as anything else.
traveller
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Linda
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Letting the dollar fall as far as it did was just the same as a massive pay cut for all Canadians. Consumers have paid long enough. I think it's time the government ponied up and did something about lowering taxes, and business got off their butts and improved their level of productivity. This will force them to that.
Jerry - BC
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In November 2000, average crude oil price per barrel was US$31.16. The CAD/USD exchange rate was 1.54 at the same period of time. Hence crude oil price was at C$47.98 per barrel. Vancouver gas price at the pump was 50.99 cents per litre then.
In July 2007, average crude oil price per barrel was US$65.96. The CAD/USD exchange rate was 1.05 at the same period of time. Hence crude oil price was at C$69.26 per barrel. Vancouver gas price at the pump was at 109.50 cents per litre.
Measured in Canadian currency, crude oil price rose by 44.35% from November 2000 to July 2007. In the same period of time, our gas price at the pump rose by 114.75%!
Clearly it is windfall for the gas companies!
Manny
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MM
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Louis
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Kevin
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Tom in Ontario
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At least the money stays in our own country.
Ches
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Gus
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Lance
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Steven Booth
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RICK L--Montreal
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Ken Lawson
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Ken Lawson
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Kent Pollard
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Free trade doesn[t fix any of that. Whether there is duty or not, most imported items are going to go up 8-15% over the U.S. price without any shipping added in.
Items manufactured in the country can skip the brokerage, but they aren't going to drop. Is anyone prepared to take a 10% cut in their wages so that prices can drop?
Keep it real folks. Until we have a 400 million person economy, our prices will always be a bit a higher on average.
Calvin
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NOYB
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I think it's the other currencies that are
in correction mode.
G.J.
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Richard - Proud Canadian
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Though our manufacturing industry will suffer with a strong Canadian dollar, hopefully this sector will take advantage of this hardship to become more competitive.
Every economy is cyclic. The Canadian economy will slow down, and the Lonnie will decline (I sure wish I could predict the future!). We should take advantage of our present prosperity and prepare for the inevitable down-turn such that we can better weather it. Present economic policy should reduce our debt (personal, corporate, and government), invest in infrastructure, health-care, education ... i.e. invest in Canada’s future.
JR
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