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Workforce aging, replacements in short supply

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CTV News: Rosemary Thompson on the age impact
CTV Calgary: Reg Hampton on Canada's youngest city
CTV Winnipeg: Rachel Lagace on the young province
CTV Montreal: Maya Johnson on what it means for Quebec
CTV Newsnet: BNN's Linda Nazareth on the numbers
CTV Newnet: Don McRae, executive director of BC Stats
CTV Newnet: BNN's Michael Hainsworth on the economic impact
Canada AM: Anil Arora, StatsCan Census Program
CTV Newsnet: Nadeem Esmail, senior health policy analyst, Fraser Institute

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CTV.ca News Staff

Date: Tue. Jul. 17 2007 9:16 PM ET

Greying baby boomers are swelling Canada's aging population, while the number of children is dropping, according to census numbers released Tuesday. The trend will soon pose major challenges to the country's workforce.

Census 2006: Age and Sex shows nearly one out of every three Canadians is a boomer, and retirement-minded Canadians aged 55 to 64 are the fastest growing demographic, accounting for 3.7 million people. That represents a 28 per cent increase from five years ago when the last census was conducted.

  • The number of Canadians aged 65 and over increased more than 11.5 per cent from 2001
  • The number of children under 15 dropped by 2.5 per cent over the same period.
  • The country's median age, the point where half the population is younger and half older, soared to an all-time high of 39.5 years.

The number of residents in their golden years is at an all-time high, as one out of every seven Canadians was a senior when the census was taken last year.

"I think we have to keep it in perspective -- we're still the second-youngest in terms of the G8 countries, but we are the oldest when we're looking at the Americas," Statistics Canada's Anil Arora told CTV's Canada AM.

At the other extreme, the under-15 demographic experienced the greatest loss, shrinking to just 17.7 per cent of the population. That's down from 18.8 per cent five years ago.

Statistics Canada projects that within a decade, seniors could outnumber children younger than 15.

Calgary is the youngest city in the country, with a median age of 35.7 -- nearly five years younger than anywhere else.

"I was born and raised in Calgary. But it seems like most people coming in have young families, or are young professionals," said 35-year-old James Risk.

But across Canada, aging baby boomers pose a threat to the nation's workplace as the labour market will experience a dramatic loss of personnel. Experts predict many seniors will continue to work -- both for economic reasons and personal fulfillment.

The trend poses threats to the nation's workplace as the labour market will experience a dramatic loss of personnel to the point where experts predict many seniors will continue to work -- both for economic reasons and personal fulfillment.

Statistics Canada said Tuesday the country's labour force is at the point where one person leaves for every one person entering it.

But in about 10 years, Canada will slide into a negative worker replacement ratio, where more people retire from the workplace than enter it.

"In part, Canadians will fill the jobs, and certainly immigration and regional migration," demographer Andrew Ramlo told CTV Newsnet.

"But what we're also going to have to look towards is that the labour force already here, you and I, will have to be much more productive. With the number of people retiring, we simply won't have enough immigrants to slow that down over the coming decades."

Some highlights:

  • For the first time in the nation's history, there are more than 4 million Canadians aged 65 or older. Seniors represent one in every seven residents; 50 years ago, just one in 13 Canadians was a senior;
  • The proportion of children in Canada has never been lower: just 17.7 per cent of the population is made up of kids 14 and under. At the height of the baby boom in 1961, about one-third of Canadians were children;
  • There are more than 1 million Canadians 80 and over and two-thirds of them are women.
  • The census enumerated 4,635 people aged 100 and over; five of six centenarians were female; and
  • The national male-female ratio is 95.9 men for every 100 women. Alberta is the only province with more men than women.

Canada now has a record 4.3 million seniors, increased life expectancy and a declining birth rate.

The country's median age -- the point where half the population is young and half older -- has soared to an all-time high of 39.5 years. That number was 38.8 last year.

The nation's over-80 population was the second-fastest growing group, increasing by more than 25 per cent to 1.2 million over five years. Centenarians, those aged 100 and over, jumped by 22 per cent since the last census.

The two demographics combine to give Canada its greatest proportion yet of what Statistics Canada calls the "very elderly.''

  • The top three urban areas with the highest percentage of seniors are: Kelowna, B.C., Peterborough, Ont., and Victoria, B.C.
  • The top three urban areas with the highest proportion of children are: Barrie, Ont., Oshawa, Ont., and Abbotsford, B.C.

Baby boomer movement

The trend of aging baby boomers (those born between 1946 and 1965) sets the stage for a powerful seniors' rights movement. The generation has always used its strength in numbers to reshape society.

Analysts say the latest figures will translate into a radically altered Canadian landscape as the boomers, the first of whom began turning 60 this year, continue to seize the agenda and begin to steer it toward issues that directly affect the elderly.

The health-care system, labour market, retirement homes and pension plans are just some of the areas where boomers will have considerable impact as they exert their unprecedented might, Statistics Canada said.

Bill Gleberzon of CARP, Canada's Association for the 50 Plus, notes "society has always adjusted itself'' to the boomers.

"When they were born, (society) went out and built more schools, more stadiums, they did all kinds of things to accommodate the fact that there was this large group of young people,'' Gleberzon said.

"They'll probably still be calling the tune into their older age.''

With files from The Canadian Press

Please Add Comments( )

Wendy
said
0 0

Canada has been proactive on this population issue by bringing in immigrants. If you are in the BC Lower Mainland, you see lots of young Asians around. They provided a significant supply to the workforce. I suggest the government to adopt a flat tax system to encourage people to move to Canada. The progressive tax system is too heavy on some new well-educated young professional, that they prefer to live in other countries. Sooner or later, we all go to Alberta for work...


Daniel
said
0 0

The strain on our society is only now beginning to be felt. I'm 23 and see no way in the future that I will be able to afford a house in the city despite a working career as a Nurse. My hope is that babyboomers will push up the demand for HC professionals to the point that we actually get paid decent wages.


Samantha
said
0 0

It's not that there isn't enough young people continuing their education, it's just there aren't enough young people in general. Women want to get an education now and wait to get married and have kids, back when my grandparents were getting married they would be getting married at 20 not 30 and there for would have more time to have children. Also the cost of living has gone up so the parents can't aford to stay home to make larger families there just isn't enough money to be able to support everyone.


Tawadros
said
0 0

If corporate Canada is happy with the current state of affairs, not worrying about the future, then we will vote left. I am a hard core conservative, but this is alarming. Government wake up, before it is too late.


Colleen Schonheiter
said
0 0

I'm very concerned about the daycare crisis we have in Canada, and this is just more verification. Young families can't afford to increase their numbers of children because they can't afford / can't find adequate care for children so both parents can work. It's either opt not to have children, or face a greatly reduced standard of living.


Michelle
said
0 0

This is an issue that I have problems with. As an educated 25 year old who has worked since the age of 16, I find it very difficult to get in the door without experience, yet no one will give it to us! Why not hire younger people without experience, train them the way the company wants and pay them a little less?



said
0 0

It's too bad we can't get a large number of the young people continuing their educations and working rather than opting to hang out on city streets bugging people for change and smokes and causing havoc. There seems to be a number of young people these days that don't want to work or intend to work. It's sad.


Judith Ballenger
said
0 0

In response to Dave: The government might have strict competitions for jobs. However, being from a foreign country does not factor into the problem. Being an educated Canadian in the US I cannot get hired by government in Canada despite a huge number of openings in my field. I qualify for the positions, am entered into the competitions and then nothing. This from the northern most communities in the Country. I'd sure be interested in knowing the whys of the worker crunch Canada is so afraid of!


Dave
said
0 0

Well if the damn Government didn't have such strict Competitions for employement this wouldn't even be a factor. Get the Government to change their policies and we wouldn't even have to worry about this. As it is you won't have a chance of getting a job in the government unless your from a foreign country.


Pat S.
said
0 0

No wonder the younger generation is declining. The government doesn't provide any real incentives to have children. No tax breaks, very small EI payments (55%) for Maternity leave makes it very difficult for parents to take time off work to have and care for children. So many people will decide not to have any as they probably won't be able to afford life afterwards.


Susana
said
0 0

In response to Pat - in my day (as a Boomer counting the years til I can retire in 2015!) We got 6 weeks Maternity leave & only 4 of those were with EI - get a grip and stop griping - I still had 2 kids who are working and contributing to society. Problem with the young people I see in the workforce today uis they want it all and right now or nothing else will do! They seriously need to grow up.


Patricia
said
0 0

If men took more responsibility for helping to raise children, maybe more women would have them. It is also impossible to live reasonably without having two incomes. More two-parent families are in the workforce and are only able to support themselves, never mind children. It has just become too difficult to raise kids.


Rosalind
said
0 0

I agree with Michelle; I've heard a number of times how there is a shortage of younger workers, and yet I know lots of people aged 25-45 willing and able to work who aren't finding decent jobs. Companies want young people to get all the training they need at their own expense and don't want to invest in staff development the way they used to. Scratch the surface and you'll find that greed and the need to be competitive on the global market is making for some very shoddy management practices in Canada.

Ever since I graduated from university in '95 I've been hearing about the "changing nature of the workforce" and how our generation can't expect to have the stability our parents did. It's always stated as though it could never be any other way. Why not? Paradigms shift and they can shift back if our values dictate it. But as it is, don't expect a generation that has been treated as a disposable commodity not worth investing in to sustain the economy the way our parents did.


Rosalind
said
0 0

I agree with Michelle; I've heard a number of times how there is a shortage of younger workers, and yet I know lots of people aged 25-45 willing and able to work who aren't finding decent jobs. Companies want young people to get all the training they need at their own expense and don't want to invest in staff development the way they used to. Scratch the surface and you'll find that greed and the need to be competitive on the global market is making for some very shoddy management practices in Canada.

Ever since I graduated from university in '95 I've been hearing about the "changing nature of the workforce" and how our generation can't expect to have the stability our parents did. It's always stated as though it could never be any other way. Why not? Paradigms shift and they can shift back if our values dictate it. But as it is, don't expect a generation that has been treated as a disposable commodity not worth investing in to sustain the economy the way our parents did.


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