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After bin Laden: The view from India

New Delhi residents carry placards in support of the U.S. operation leading to the killing of al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden in New Delhi, India, Tuesday, May 3, 2011.  (AP / Gurinder Osan) Being removed from the scene, a truck carries what is thought to be parts of the wreckage of a stealth helicopter that crashed next to the wall of a compound where according to officials, Osama bin Laden was shot and killed in a firefight with U.S. forces in Abbottabad, Pakistan on Monday, May 2, 2011. (AP / Aqeel Ahmed) Janis Mackey Frayer
New Delhi residents carry placards in support of the U.S. operation leading to the killing of al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden in New Delhi, India, Tuesday, May 3, 2011.  (AP / Gurinder Osan)

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Date: Thursday May. 5, 2011 7:18 AM ET

NEW DELHI — The compound in Abbottabad where Osama bin Laden lived undetected for years has been stripped of any compelling evidence. What the team of U.S. commandos did not take with the al Qaeda leader's body the night they killed him has been carted away by the Pakistani authorities who knew of the raid only when it was over.

The U.S. operation targeting bin Laden took just 40 minutes to complete and ended a decade-long manhunt for the world's best-known symbol of contemporary evil. Pakistan is now having to navigate the embarrassment that bin Laden was not only living on its soil but doing so rather comfortably near retired army officers and the country's largest military training centre.

Neighbours told reporters the compound showed a pattern of life that suggested its occupants did not have jobs. Food and supplies were dropped at the door. Barbed wire and security cameras topped the villa's surrounding walls. The sequestered house commanded the curiosity of locals but apparently never that of Pakistan's security establishment.

For India and Afghanistan the triumph stirred by the bin Laden news was less about his demise than where it happened. It confirmed -- even vindicated -- what the two countries have long claimed about Pakistan: That at worst, its military-intelligence complex colluded to protect bin Laden and at best officials were aware of his presence. There is not a strong belief that a third explanation is possible.

"This proves what India has been saying for quite some time," said Bahukutumbi Raman, a former Indian intelligence officer and counter-terrorism expert, "That Pakistan is giving shelter and assistance to terrorists and they are proved correct."

India and Pakistan have fought three wars since Partition in 1947 and they are still at armed odds over the disputed region of Kashmir (over which they both lay claim). The long-nurtured distrust only deepened after the November 2008 attacks on Mumbai when Pakistani militants killed more than 160 people. It galvanized the belief here that Pakistan was a sanctuary for extremists where authorities turned a blind eye, and that India would be susceptible to further attacks if countries like the U.S. did not do more to police its ally.

Recent months have brought a more conciliatory tone to Indo-Pak relations as Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has encouraged dialogue in what remains a troubled neighbourhood. A lot was made of the so-called 'cricket diplomacy' initiative weeks ago when Singh invited his Pakistani counterpart, Yusuf Raza Gilani, to watch a World Cup match between the two teams.

There have also been sideline talks between ministers who talk publicly of rapprochement, even as critics of Singh's agenda insist there should be not be until Pakistan prosecutes every planner and perpetrator of the 2008 attacks. Still, Singh has inched toward accepting Pakistan as a partner in better relations.

Now this.

Following the news of bin Laden's death in Pakistan, Singh released a brief statement that called it "significant" but was careful to avoid language that might reveal any diminished trust that would fuel his critics. As far as future talks go he is unlikely to change his tack.

"I don't expect any change in the state-to-state relationship," said Raman, who is director of the Institute for Topical Studies in Chennai, "But it will be much more difficult for Pakistan to avert any request from India."

The Indian press however is less nuanced and has made a parade of condemning headlines like "Pak Stands Accused" and "Livid U.S. wants to choke Pak Aid." (Bear in mind that criticism of Pakistan is as much a part of the news narrative here as stories of India's corruption scandals and ballooning inflation.)

For India, the concern now is whether bin Laden's death may prove a trigger for the United States to alter the pace or scope of its troop withdrawal from Afghanistan. A quick retreat risks disruption and creating a vacuum along an arc of nuclear-armed adversaries and militant networks, including the Taliban and al Qaeda.

Afghanistan has long been one of those crossroads where regional powers wage proxy fights and trade accusations of geopolitical influence peddling. India is among the country's biggest donors, having spent more than a billion dollars on building projects. Pakistan sees it as interference.

"If the U.S. left lock, stock and barrel, India would be left to pick up the pieces," said Harsh V. Pant of King's College London, according to Reuters.

India, Pakistan and Afghanistan will all have views (no doubt conflicting) on when and how quickly troops should leave Central Asia. Public opinion in the U.S. is likely to be a major factor, as Barack Obama seeks a second term as president while juggling a bruised economy and fatigue with an unpopular and costly war.

In the meantime, the U.S. will also be asking tough questions about how the world's most wanted terrorist could be cradled in Pakistan for so long. The answers may be punctuated with cuts in direct aid to Pakistan.

"Pakistan is deceiving the West," Kabul-based analyst Haroun Mir told me, "Still Canada, the United States and Europe are spending hundreds of millions of dollars in Pakistan for development and most of this money is sustaining the Pakistani military."

A fuller history of how Osama bin Laden eluded capture and enjoyed his affluent anonymity will take shape in the days, weeks and months ahead. His al Qaeda sympathizers are, for now, warning of revenge and there is reason to believe they will make good on the threat.

Still most of the world is relieved bin Laden is dead and catharsis can take many forms. As one Afghan official put it upon learning the news: "Finally Pakistan is exposed."

Comments are now closed for this story

LT
said

Pakistan and India are the world's "State Terrorist" take a look at the HR record of India. Over a million child sex workers are still doing business with the full blessings from local Indian politicians and police. India was the inventor of "Tamil Tigers", India funded and trained armed Tigers and other warlord's in Sri Lanka. Pakistan had been hiding Laden all along. Kudos to US for not informing of the raid.


zoltan
said

Pakistan has nukes and the guts to use them. If they train terrorists and carry out terrorist acts now, whats to stop them from using their nukes later when their backs are forced against the wall. This is the dilemma that the west faces.


wstrncehnehdeh in SK
said

The slogan is misspelled on the sign. It should read, "Thanks Usama"


hemusbull
said

Although of this three mentioned above are not Arab countries, I am absolutely agree Canada should stop any financial support for this semi-rough regimes in Central Asia. And something more - if Pakistani autorities didn't know about bin Laden residence, they must be punished for not doing anything to detect it. But again, as a tax payer, I am against the waste of funds in these part of the world.


Les from Alberta
said

It is time for countries like Pakistan to be held accountable by the international community for harbouring people like Bin Laden. No more aid until Pakistan's government gets its act together. We give them aid then spend millions fighting terrorists that are trained and live in Pakistan. What is wrong with this picture???


Mark in Newmarket
said

There are those in Pakistan that are Moderates and would have liked to have seen Bin Laden Dead and then there are those in Pakistan who are radicals and were willing to do whatever it took to keep him safe. Pakistan is a nation that cannot be trusted, it is one of the most corrupted nations on earth where everyone can be bought for a price. Radical fundamentalists pollute this country and we should all be some what concerned due to the fact that Pakistans Nuclear Weapons could one day fall into the hands of the wrong people. I see the Pakistani community here in the GTA growing due to the corruption and violence that has filled this country.


Prashant
said

Pakistan is as much as a victim of terrorism as much as a suicide bomber is a victim of his act. Its an instrument of their foreign policy. Indian politicians on the other hand just want to take this opportunity to divert populace's attention from corruption scandals. I am angered at our politicians but for Pakistan all I have is pity. Pakistan's home grown fire has now starting burning it. I'm even more shocked about the news we are getting from their media - half of whom are hell-bent to prove he was a martyr.


DCI
said

I have always said that Pakistan had dirty hands when it came to Bin L. My big question is, are the Pakistani government and its corrupt leaders going to be brought to justice for harbouring a mass killer? And the # 1 person on the worlds most wanted terrorist list. And for the Pakistani officials saying that they had no idea that Bin was there, is just a total lie.The world should demand that these people be brought to justice for their crimes.Stop giving this country any more of our tax dollars. Make them pay it back for being liars...


Intelligent New Democrat
said

The view from India is less important than the view from Canada about bin laden's supposed demise. Canada's deputy leader of the Official Opposition and Defence Critic is not convinced, therefore nor am I.


The Truth Hurts!
said

What is missing in this article is to state that India is ruling the people of Kashmir against their will and that most of them consider Indians occupiers. Also missing is that fact that Indian forces killed hundreds of thousands of Kashmiri civlians and raped tens of thousands of their women.


Zircon
said

The sheep will be driven wherever the driver desires to go.I just have to laugh at how Pakistan is now the focus of intense scrutiny for not having known that bin Laden was living within their own borders. Tell me, which is worse; being an accessory after the fact or an accessory prior to the fact? Google Able Danger and what the FBI know of Mohammed Atta et al prior to 911, and then start asking tough questions about guilt, complicity and the "official" story of events since that fateful day. Baaaa.


Matthew
said

No more charity donations to Arab countries. Each and every year, we are told or shown how corrupt they are. Teach a man to fish applies. But no more hand outs to the drunk in front of the liquor store. Everyone in Canada needs to bombard there newly elected Mp's with this. Stop the flow of cash to Arab countries. Send raw goods if need be, or people to teach if a certain area is lacking. BUT NO MORE CASH.


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