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Wiarton Mayor John Close lends an ear to Wiarton Willie in Wiarton, Ont., Thursday Feb. 2, 2012. (Frank Gunn / THE CANADIAN PRESS) People wait to see if Wiarton Willie will cast a shadow in Wiarton, Ont. on Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012. (Frank Gunn / THE CANADIAN PRESS) Groundhog Club handler Ron Ploucha holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, during the 126th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa. Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012. (AP / Gene J. Puskar)

Canadian groundhogs predict early spring

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CTV News Video

CTV National News: Fearless winter forecasters
While few believe that rodents can actually predict the weather, every February 2 thousands of otherwise rational human beings rise at dawn to play along. But as Jill Macyshon reports, even the groundhogs know forecasting isn't really in their nature.
CTV British Columbia: Split decision for groundhog
Canadian groundhogs are predicting an early spring, but across the border, American animals are seeing nothing but snow for the next six weeks. Peter Grainger reports.
CTV Southwestern Ontario: Weather predictions
While Wiarton Willie has predicted an early spring, many are wondering what impact the so far absent winter may have.
CTV Winnipeg: Groundhogs' conflicting predictions
Manitoba Merv predicted an early spring and Winnipeg's newest groundhog Willow predicted a long winter.
CTV News Channel: Groundhog day traced back
Naturalist Dave Brumfield says the history of Groundhog Day can be traced back German folklore that said if a hibernating animal cast his or her shadow, then there would be another six weeks of winter.
Canada AM: Punxsutawney Phil's prediction
Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow in Pennsylvania, will there be another six weeks of winter for that region?

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Wiarton Mayor John Close lends an ear to Wiarton Willie in Wiarton, Ont., Thursday Feb. 2, 2012. (Frank Gunn / THE CANADIAN PRESS) People wait to see if Wiarton Willie will cast a shadow in Wiarton, Ont. on Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012. (Frank Gunn / THE CANADIAN PRESS) Groundhog Club handler Ron Ploucha holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, during the 126th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa. Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012. (AP / Gene J. Puskar)

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Wiarton Mayor John Close lends an ear to Wiarton Willie in Wiarton, Ont., Thursday Feb. 2, 2012. (Frank Gunn / THE CANADIAN PRESS)

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Date: Thu. Feb. 2 2012 8:04 PM ET

WIARTON, Ont. — Two out of three of Canada's furry forecasters are calling for an early spring.

Ontario's Wiarton Willie and Nova Scotia's prognosticating rodent Shubenacadie Sam didn't see their shadows when they emerged on Thursday morning.

But Manitoba's lesser known woodchuck, Winnipeg Willow, is siding with Pennsylvania's Punxsutawney Phil, who is calling for six more weeks of winter.

Folklore has it that if a groundhog sees his shadow on Groundhog Day he'll flee to his burrow, heralding six more weeks of winter, and if he doesn't, it means spring's around the corner.

Willow was so startled at all the attention, she tucked her face into her handler's jacket, and failed as a result of not looking to see her shadow.

The forecasts come in the middle of an unusually mild winter that has taken even seasoned meteorologists by surprise.

Environment Canada warned this fall to expect colder-than-normal temperatures in the north and west.

But the past few months have brought balmy weather peppered with a few cold snaps in most of the country.

Last year, several of the groundhogs -- including Willie -- predicted an early spring while a raging snowstorm battered Ontario.

About 150 people cheered Sam's forecast on an overcast day at Shubenacadie Wildlife Park shortly after dawn.

"I don't think we are going to have balmy spring weather tomorrow, but there is a light at the end of the tunnel," said Susan Penney, a station co-ordinator at the park, about 60 kilometres north of Halifax.

In Wiarton, a crowd in the hundreds, some dressed as groundhogs, waited as Mayor John Close listened to Willie's prediction.

Close's announcement of "hello summer, it's an early spring," drew wild cheers after Willie failed to see his shadow.

Sue Allison, 64, and her two friends donned blue and white faux fur hats -- complete with ears -- and groundhog masks to hear Willie's prognostication.

The group has come out for the event for 10 years, and dressing up is part of the tradition, Allison said, clutching a stuffed toy groundhog.

"I'm very happy -- I don't think I want any more of this," Allison said, though she admitted the weather "could be worse."

Mac McKenzie, who started the Wiarton Willie tradition more than half a century ago, said the festival has helped put the southwestern Ontario community on the map.

"When we first had it, we had only 12 people, that's all there was," McKenzie said.

In the United States, Pennsylvania's Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his lair to "see" his shadow on Thursday, predicting six more weeks of winter.

The groundhog made his "prediction" to loud boos on Gobbler's Knob, a tiny hill in the town for which he's named about 100 kilometres northeast of Pittsburgh.

Temperatures were near freezing when he emerged at dawn, which is unseasonably warm for the area.

While Canada's groundhogs may say the end of winter is just around the corner, meteorologists agree the country's furry forecasters are predicting the end of something that hasn't even begun.

Unseasonably warm temperatures from coast to coast have made winter a non-event for most Canadians, weather experts say, adding the unusual conditions have stymied their prognostications for months.

"The one thing uniting all Canadians right now is the question of 'where's winter?' We're almost sending a search party looking for it," said Environment Canada senior climatologist David Phillips.

"Even in the Arctic we're seeing examples of a winter that has not behaved normally the way it should be."

Phillips said temperatures in Ontario have been consistently 3.5 degrees above normal for this time of year, while balmy breezes and recent rainfalls have washed away all traces of the season's sparse snowfalls.

It's been even warmer on the Prairies, with temperatures averaging 5.5 to seven degrees warmer than usual, he added.

Meteorologists say typical signs of winter have been wiped out by an "arctic oscillation," a phenomenon that's seen the constantly moving jet stream remain relatively stationary and keep winter conditions at bay.

"The general idea here is that the jet stream is pushing a bit farther north this year," said Chris Scott, a meteorologist with the Weather Network. "It's allowing more warm air to come across much of the country. It's also keeping that cold air well to the north."

Scott said the oscillation has been enough to counter the effect of La Nina, a cooling of ocean waters off the coast of South America, that usually sends colder air towards Canada.

It was the presence of La Nina that prompted forecasters to warn of a particularly harsh winter in parts of the country. Environment Canada said the west coast was in for particularly icy conditions, while the Weather Network's projections included warnings of major storms in western Canada and a roller-coaster of fluctuating temperatures nationwide.

Scott believes the abnormal conditions are likely to last into February, but suggests the unpredictable season may still have surprises in store.

Phillips agrees.

"Here where winter is born, where we built a reputation on winter, it is premature to expect that winter will go away and spring is on the way in spite of what the groundhogs say."

Comments are now closed for this story

pappy :-)
said

I love to see all of these sweet little groundhogs on Groundhog day.

I look forward to it !!

They are part of our North American tradition.

However, I personally think, regardless of what these little fellas and girls say, that on March 31st, late in the evening, and into the wee hours of the morning, we will all see about 3 feet or 1 meter of snow come down as our "April Fools' Day" joke.


Catwoman 39X
said

As a Canadian citizen, I am tired of reading blogs on here that are full of negativity , and have barely any constructive criticism.If you don't have anything nice to say, please keep it to yourself. Has your mom ever taught you this life lesson?You all sound like a bunch of whiny kids these days.And I am under 40 .


Doug
said

If the 2 that say we are having an early spring are from Environment Canada you can expect the last snowfall in mid July. These guy's are correct once or twice a year.


Ichikisu from Saskatchewan
said

Wait until middle of March. We will see drastic changes then. Enjoy the warm winter while it lasts.


fed up
said

I do not believe an animal should be use to as a weather predictor and as a way to entertain people with such a stupid prediction. Only mother nature can predict when winter will end and not a poor defensive animal or stupid humans and this animal should be left alone and not bothered. If many of you do not like what I wrote tough !!!


MsMargaret1953
said

heheheheh we haven't had winter yet, and now an early spring?!! Guess we can loose the snow tires until next year.


Bender Bending Rodriguez
said

What about Balzac Billy? Did he see his shadow too?


Henry Hislop
said

Hip Hip Hurray! The temp should stay mild and then get warmer.



Old Ted
said

I like our groundhogs better. They are smarter. ;)


Fred
said

Yes, Sky. It's 6 weeks til spring and also 6 weeks since winter began. Feb 2 is approximately the half-way point in the 3-month winter season that began with the winter solstice and ends with the spring equinox - a good time to be looking forward to the next season with a bit of groundhog fun.


Mich
said

@ fed up... how in the world is this animal abuse????


J.C.
said

@fedup - I don't see this being animal abuse at all!! In fact these particular groundhogs live the same way wealthy people would compared to their rodent peers. They are also kept healthier and safer, and live longer then their peers. They are very pampered and I'm sure quite happy with the life they have. In your line of thinking having any animal as a pet would be considered abuse and I don't believe our dog feels abused in any way shape or form. They also give us something to look forward to every February and kinda help breakup the winter blues for many people. See you next year Willie!!


Patrick
said

six more weeks until the Leafs are knocked out of the playoffs for the 45th STRAIGHT YEAR !! lookiong forward to it...


Pete Seville
said

Let's be reasonable. How is it that a pig that lives in the ground is able to predict the weather six weeks from now?

That's as crazy as saying the world is round and the sun is the center of the universe.

Amazing what people will believe these days!




Sky
said

Has any one figured out that 6 weeks from today (Feb 2) is the first day of Spring?




Carl
said

It's only Feb 2nd. This is Canada. Of course there will be six more weeks of winter (at least), no matter what the groundhogs say.


Ian Ottawa
said

I think it"s fun anyway. I don't believe in Santa the Tooth Fairy or the Easter Bunny either but traditions that are enjoyable for kids are awesome.


Canadian Bob
said

Happy Groundhog Day Everyone! Only $3.99 per lb at all Sobey's, Foodland and Freshco stores today!


Angry Danny
said

Groundhog says"next year just let me sleep and use my app instead!!"


kenny g timmins
said

its does not matter if he seen or not seen his shadow, where is am from 6 more weeks of winter is considered as a early spring.


Don
said

Something to brighten up your day I guess..... we will still have snow and cold weather till May just like we always do.... Poor 'ole Willie.....


fed up
said

This is a form of animal abuse and should be banned and I am surprise more people are not more against this.


Kate Preston
said

I've been living in Scotland for the last 14 years but I am always interested in what Wiarton Willie does. Keeps me close to home in Collingwood.


geebee
said

Even with overcast skies there are shadows...


Susan Fairbairn
said

It doesn't matter if some rodent somewhere sees his shadow. We still have six weeks to go until spring.


Shane
said

Right, sure we will... come by my place and borrow my shovel in late may...


Jagmeet Singh NDP
said

I wonder if the Cons are cutting back on Willie!


Mary McCullough
said

Why don't we have a great video like they do for Punxsutawney Phil? What do we care about Pennsylvania's weather?


Munro - Brampton
said

Sounds good to me. Hmm, I would'nt put my face that close to a big ratty thing, lol.


Just Saying - Ottawa
said

Joe Canada ... Wiarton Willie is "ours" here in Ontario .. get your own "willie" in Nova Scotia..we want to keep ours ..


Tim Fritsch
said

Thanks Willie, I will get the golf clubs out this weekend and polish them so i am prepared!!!


Ron
said

It is all great fun, but no matter what Willie says, there is approximately 6 more weeks of winter. Just a great idea to break up the winter.


CeCe
said

Either way it's 6 weeks!


tom91
said

To Joe Canada. When its sunny in the winter it is usually very cold and when its cloudy (low pressure system) its much warmer. The warmest days in winter are the cloudy ones. So if the groundhog were to see his shadow this would indicate that its still very cold. Not very scientific since the next day the weather could be completely different, but thats the general idea behind it.


Poohbear
said

Kind of hard to see your shadow when it's grey and cloudy. I perdict spring will come when it's ready.


Yukoner
said

I think my choice will be "Willie" this year as I have had a great fill of mother Natures … whiteness … LOL God Bless Willie and all his relatives … (Whatever their choice! Ho Hum


Auto Pilot
said

Well thank you Mr. Wiarton Willie. I'm glad to know that there is only 6 weeks to spring and not 6 more weeks of winter. Hey, little Wiarton Willie is a cutie isn't he?


joe canada
said

Ironic, he did not see his shadow because it is grey and snowing today here in nova scotia. Because of this grey snowy day we will have an early spring. The only way to see a shadow today would be from camera flashes.


Al
said

I think I see Dave Phillips taking notes in the background! There will be a reporter from the Farmer's Almanac there too. Just joking. Light hearted old traditions are a good way to start the day.


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