Top Stories -   

1
(Adrian Wyld/THE CANADIAN PRESS) Mark Carney

Central bank holds interest rate, warns of risks ahead

Viewer

CTV News Video

CTV National News: Canada's economy may be slipping
The debt crisis in Europe is having a negative effect in Canada, with the country's growth dropping to 2.1 per cent. Robert Fife has more on the state of the economy.
CTV British Columbia: Keeping interest rates low
The Bank of Canada is hinting that it will need to keep interest rates super low for an extended period to stimulate an economy being battered by a sharp global downturn and rising risks. CTV's Shannon Paterson reports.
CTV News Channel: Jim Flaherty speaks in Ottawa
Finance Minister Jim Flaherty speaks with media about his discussion with private sector economists and says they will limit growth in Canada for the remainder of this year and in 2012.
Power Play: Carlos Leitao, economist
The chief economist at Laurentian Bank Securities says Canada's economy has slowed down and we should expect slower economic growth in the months to come.
CTV News Channel: What Canadians should know
Donald Brean, a professor at University at Toronto says there is going to be uncertainty for Canadian businesses and investors and the country is in a stormy patch.
CTV News Channel: Low interest rates good for some
Pedro Antunes, the director at Conference Board of Canada says low interest rates will be good for borrowers but not for baby boomers who are trying to save in high-interest saving accounts.
CTV News Channel: BNN's Michael Kane explains
A correspondent from Business News Network says the Bank of Canada will keep the rate at just one per cent, and explains how the bank will cut its growth rate for 2011 and 2012.

A A |  Email ThisEmail  | PrintComments (15) Facebook   

(Adrian Wyld/THE CANADIAN PRESS) Mark Carney

Photos

(Adrian Wyld/THE CANADIAN PRESS)

View Larger Image

Date: Tue. Oct. 25 2011 9:11 PM ET

The Bank of Canada kept its key lending rate at 1 per cent on Tuesday, suggesting it believes the economy is still fragile and isn't ready for a bump in interest rates.

The decision marks the ninth consecutive time the central bank has kept the rate at just 1 per cent.

The statement that accompanied the interest rate announcement warned of gloomy days ahead and said Europe will most likely enter a brief recession.

"The global economy has slowed markedly as several downside risks... have been realized," the statement said.

"The combination of ongoing deleveraging by banks and households, increased fiscal austerity and declining business and consumer confidence is expected to restrain growth across the advanced economies. The bank now expects the euro area... will experience a brief recession."

While the bank said it expects a European recession to be brief, it said even that prognosis wasn't certain.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, reacting to the Bank of Canada statement, acknowledged that times are tough and while Canada is not directly in the line of fire, it faces considerable risk due to outside factors.

"The September survey of private sector economies underlines the turbulence and weakness we have seen in the global economy since the summer, especially in Europe and in the United States," Flaherty said.

"Canada is not immune to those recent global pressures and they will continue to limit growth in Canada for the remainder of this year and 2012."

Flaherty's comments came on the same day news emerged that Europe's long-awaited bank bailout was far from settled and that the government of Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi was closer than ever to collapse.

Flaherty repeated his mantra that the European Union must take decisive action.

"We've been making it clear, sometimes being irksome I know to my European colleagues, that it is essential they not only come up with a plan but an effective plan that will result in overwhelming market confidence," Flaherty said.

In his summer forecast, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney had painted a surprisingly rosy economic outlook. Some analysts had called on Carney to curtail his expectations this time around.

He did just that. The forecast outlined the view that growth in the industrialized world is on the decline, even in powerhouse developing economies such as China.

However, there was one bright patch in the otherwise gloomy sky forecast. The bank said it "assumed the euro-area crisis will be contained."

Canada's economy is currently feeling the effects of the struggling global economy, and will continue to, the report said, despite the fact growth rebounded here in the third quarter.

The outlook said Canada's "underlying economic momentum has slowed and is expected to remain modest through the middle of next year."

The statement estimated Canada's economy grew 2.1 per cent in 2011 and will increase by just 1.9 per cent in 2012.

Both numbers were down 0.7 per cent from the bank's projection in July.

The bank predicted that Canada's economy will not return to a normal growth rate of around 2.9 per cent until the end of 2013.

The central bank suggested it won't raise or lower the 1 per cent overnight lending rate any time soon.

"With the target rate near historic lows and the financial system functioning well, there is considerable monetary policy stimulus in Canada," the statement said.

Comments are now closed for this story

Tyler
said
0 0

If Ottawa truly wants to stimulate the economy then give Canadians back their money! Ottawa should give every natural born Canadian $7,500.00 to use it in whatever fashion they wish. Some will save, others will invest and others will go shopping with it. In any event this will be a recycling of cash back into the Canadian economy.


The ship is turning
said
0 0

This all started because the US orgy of consumerism came to an end. That was brought about by several factors, not the least of which is the bankrupting of the US economy due to their wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Pulling out of Iraq is a good start. The next crucial step is pulling out of Afghanistan. The same country that broke the backs of the USSR has broken the back of the United States, no if's, and's or but's about it. Once the US turns it's attention to getting away from war and getting back to making money, the whole world will be better off. Look for oil to stabalize around the $75.00/bbl mark in about 2 years, we'll be under 10% unemployment (real numbers) for the first time since Q4/08 and growth will return to the 4-5% range rather than the -0.1% it's at now. Things will get better but it's all contingent on the worlds biggest economy getting out of all the wars they create.


norman
said
0 0

Yes, of course growth will be slow; people will be too busy paying off debt....Our government needs to stop pointing fingers at everyone else and take some blame too.....Growth will drag because of the lack of consumer confidence, but also because of the astronomical amounts of personal debt canadians have already aquired. There's just not enough "spending money" left. Of course, people have to be accountable for their spending habits. But lets remember government lowered interest rates in the first place to encourage borrowing, and at the same time introduced stimulis programs to encourage spending. How was that supposed to fix anything?


Saskmike
said
0 0

Remind us once again about saving money....in a bank....for what. My mattress is about to get uncomfortable....OH wait...inflation has eroded any extra money to save. I stopped spending once my little investment showed a -7.2 % over the last year. Thank who ever that our house is paid for. But I fear our child will be living with us for a while longer.


Hanna Sherman
said
0 0

I and many people I know have changed our consumer purchasing habits. I and those I know now look at the label and if it's another Chinese made product I refuse to be bullied into buying it simply because that's all there is available. I would rather go without than be forced to buy it because the powers that be coerce me into doing so with no other choice. Consider this "me" boycotting their agenda.


Proud Albertan
said
0 0

Ok for those of you slamming Carney because of his cheery forecast only to get slightly disheartening news now did it ever occur to anyone that maybe he did that in order to give us HOPE? Maybe even prod the country along? Think about it if the bank of Canada was all doom and gloom saying things were going to be bad what would over half of us probably do? Hunker down and save some extra money resulting in the economy hurting. Creating a self fulfilling prophecy instead they tried to give us hope and ease panicky investor’s fears! in my opinion there is not enough of this! On a separate note Canada has the resources and the landmass so why are we not creating the manufacturing to go with it? at least then we can insulate our economy a little more!


TC
said
0 0

Low interest rate environment will prevails for an extended period of time. Government should reconsider and allow income trust as alternate stream of income.


Remarkable
said
0 0

All I can say is that if you have a good paying job, well God Bless you! If you have good paying job and are carrying zero debt and have a cushing to soften the blow, well again God Bless you. If you have a good job and lots of debt, well I would adivse you to stop the frivilous spending on wants and begin a radical change of spending habits and pay off your debt no matter how large or small. Once this low interest rate bubble bursts, so will those who have lots of debt.


Helga Laval
said
0 0

The fancy words of "emerging markets", "globalization" all amount to a destabilized and economic ruination as the result of far too much "Made in China". This is the result of that experiment but everyone is afraid to admit the error.


Prof. Pye Chartt
said
0 0

Gee, and I thought that, by now, interests rates would be considerably higher... and the economy suffering from two broken knee caps instead of one, as a result. (Anyone who believed that, in the nearer term, interest rates would be making a significant upward movement is a fool. Rightly, however, our federal government advised people to brace themselves. Not a lot of Canadians are going to be slap-happy swingers of fatter mortgage payments.)


Cambob in Toronto
said
0 0

Interest rates remain at historic lows, and yet credit card rates are still around 20%. I pity anyone carrying a balance on those terrible things.


The Carry Trade
said
0 0

We saw the US economy collapsing 18 months ago, and have been watching the EU train wreck just getting started. After the FED set interest rates at 0% for the next 2 years what did you think Carney would say, I'm raising rates? Here's a hint. Go back and see what the Swiss just did to avoid an Iceland Carry Trade banking collapse. The Swiss interest rates were about 3 to 4% higher than the EU and huge funds were obtaining billions of dollars at 0% and investing in Swiss banks. This is wealth leaving the land of the Yodeler. This is what killed Iceland's banks. Recently to stop this speculation Switzerland pegged their dollar to the Euro and threatened to sell Franks and buy Euros to ensure interest rates collapse - killing the Carry Trade. On a final note, has anyone notice that the FED is inflating M2 money supply? Hint, when the US prints money to devalue their currency (keep interest rates at 0%) all other fiat currencies (Loonie) must be inflated (printed) to ensure balance in the value of our Loonie. Note: Harper just spent $40 Billion on new war ships (to defend against what - Taliban?). Question: How long can this ponzi go on before the piper must be paid and taxes doubles or tripled to pay down the debt?


Red X
said
0 0

Carney is one of the worst governors; just in the summer he hinted the rate would rise - which led to a rush in home purchases. The constant rate means that the Cdn economy is in recession or slow down!


conductor274
said
0 0

Canada is in plenty of trouble because of the Harper government's policies. They intend to continue giving filthy rich corporations huge tax breaks while they cut good paying civil service jobs, pension benefits, medicare and education funding. All of which will signal the public to stop spending. On top of that they're going to add to the $50 billion debt by buying $30 billion worth of jet fighters. Then of course there's the finance minister Flaherty who completely missed the 2008 recession and still can't tell the world is headed for another one.


Stewie
said
0 0

So they've decided to keep punishing those of us that save & rewarding those that spend money they don't have. The good thing about low interest rates is that when the bubble pops there will be massive number of bankruptcies.


Share with your social Network:

Facebook DIGG Newsvine Delicious Twitter StumbeUpon Reddit Yahoo! Buzz

 

Advertisement

Contest

Today's Top Stories

Labour Minister Lisa Raitt speaks in the House of Commons in Ottawa on Monday, May 28, 2012. (Adrian Wyld / THE CANADIAN PRESS)

Federal government orders end to CP Rail strike

More   51 Comments 51    7 Video(s) 7

Dominic and Abby Maryk were found in Mexico four years after allegedly being abducted by their father.

Extradition sought in Winnipeg missing children case

More   4 Comments 4    3 Video(s) 3

Protesters opposing Quebec student tuition fee hikes demonstrate in Montreal, Sunday, May 27, 2012. (Graham Hughes / THE CANADIAN PRESS)

Quebec, students to resume talks on tuition hikes

More   26 Comments 26    1 Video(s) 1