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Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney leaves the Bank of Canada as he makes his way to a news conference following the release of the quarterly Monetary Policy Report in Ottawa, Wednesday January 19, 2011. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld) Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney appears on CTV's Question Period, Sunday, Jan. 23, 2011.

Economy will 'return to capacity' in mid-2012: BoC

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CTV News Channel: BNN's Martin Baccardax
A BNN correspondent says the BoC gave no indication as to when the interest rates will rise, but has indicated that the Canadian economy will see growth in 2012.

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Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney leaves the Bank of Canada as he makes his way to a news conference following the release of the quarterly Monetary Policy Report in Ottawa, Wednesday January 19, 2011. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld) Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney appears on CTV's Question Period, Sunday, Jan. 23, 2011.

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Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney leaves the Bank of Canada as he makes his way to a news conference following the release of the quarterly Monetary Policy Report in Ottawa, Wednesday January 19, 2011. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld)

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Date: Tue. Apr. 12 2011 8:08 PM ET

The Bank of Canada will not adjust its key interest rate during the election campaign, despite strong indications that the economy is well on its way to being fully recovered by the middle of next year.

On Tuesday, the bank announced the key rate will continue to stand at one per cent, the rate at which it has rested since last September.

The move to keep the status quo "leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place," while keeping inflation within its target range, the bank said.

The bank hinted that a rate hike is unlikely in the near future, as "any further reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered."

Economist David Madani of Capital Economics said it is possible the central bank could keep its interest rates at historically low levels for an extended period, especially if there is a downturn in Canada's housing market later this year.

On the prospects for the Canadian economy, the bank predicts it will "return to capacity in the middle of 2012," after posting better than expected growth this year and next.

It expects the economy to grow by 2.9 per cent in 2011 and 2.6 per cent in 2012, a forecast Madani said is "a little over-optimistic" given the dangers of a downturn in the domestic housing market.

The bank said the wider global economy is showing improved growth as well, though there have been recent disruptions that have resulted from the deadly disasters that struck Japan last month.

"Despite the significant challenges that weigh on the global outlook, global financial conditions remain very stimulative and investors have become noticeably less risk averse," the bank said.

Canadians will see temporary inflation in the Consumer Price Index in mid-2011, due partly to increases in food and energy costs, but the central bank says core inflation remains under control. The CPI inflation will hit 3 per cent this summer, dropping to 2 per cent over the next year.

With files from The Canadian Press

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Old Ted
said
0 0

All this high priced gas and food is directly the result of the Americans printing a couple of trillion dollars. Oil is bought and sold in American dollars so inflation in the American dollar shows up directly in the price of oil that is traded in American dollars. Ships, trains and trucks use this fuel so good prices and the prices of everything else goes up as a result. We're 34 million in a world of 7 billion. Do you really think that what our Canadian government does will have any significant effect on these causes. About the only thing Canada could do would be to start selling our oil in Canadian dollars. Now, there's something to think about doing.


guy
said
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I don't believe the Conservatives are 100% responsible for our strong economy - I don't think that at all - maybe 50% with the other 50% the Liberal's past policiesWhat I do give the Conservatives credit for:- They didn't create even a larger debt even with the Liberals and NDP screaming at the Conservatives for a year and a half to spend more money fast enough


redmapleleaf
said
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I don't remember who said this and I also don't remember it verbatim but........."Let me control a countries money supply, and I care not who makes it's laws".......Believe this? If you do, then why comment that it was the Conservatives that saved us or it is the Liberals that will do it?? Folks, our governments (whatever the party) are now meaningless in this country.


Lorne
said
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The BoC is dead wrong on the issue that the economy will return to full capacity by mid 2012.The posters who think the Conservative government is responsible for the recovery should take their "blinders" off.We have not even begun to feel the effects of a major downturn in housing prices, etc.Just follow the news worldwide - countries are in trouble.The US Congress and Senate want the upcoming budget reduced by $4 trillion dollars in expenditures. Talk is about eliminating tax credits and increasing taxes.If this is done and you don't think this will have a major effect on the world economy - then you are in dreamland.


roc in TO
said
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WOW! That's a very short time to fill up all those mega factories that still have "For Lease" signs on them. Hurry get more power plants going.OOPS! They are only talking about the resource sector.


Alan
said
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The economy is the engine that runs this country. Canada has demonstrated itself to be a leader in the global recovery that we are fortunately emerging from. The hope is that we stay the course and do not revert to some altruistic kumbaya mentality being proposed by others.


Danny Dinosaur
said
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This is indeed good news for Canada. Even better news is that commodities have all rebounded very quickly from the recession and Canada is rich in commodities. when heaping praise on or present government, voters should be aware of this. Our success is a result of resources - not our government. In fact, our government has blown money like none before, been completely off in their forecasts and are taking us back to the dark ages while they claim to be responsible for putting resources into the ground.None of the politicians will tells us reality, so it is the responsibility of voters to find out for themselves.


Catwoman 38
said
0 0

Well now the economy is recovering everything, I think it is time to look at healthcare that is public for all Canadians. Also services to the public.No wonder healthcare is the number 1 issue.


J.C.
said
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Gee I wonder who Mark Carney will be voting for? I'll bet it is not for a lot of social programs at this point in time!!!! I would think he would want to move forward and not backward.


AJ
said
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Gas prices are still $1.20 per litre. Average house is still $400,000. The very things that got us here....but the "recession" will be over next year?? Riight. An example of having their cake and eating it too. Nothings changed and until the rich control their own greed (never going to happen) it has to be controlled for them...and our Government has not even started that yet! It is the bane of capitalism that every once in a while it collapses from the weight of greed. Market adjustment.


Kojak
said
0 0

As long as we need to feed, cloth, furnish apartments and houses, the economy will continue. I think what he means to say is Big Business will continue gaining profits off the backs of the poor. Instead of paying your typically outrageous $ 3.00 for a loaf of bread, it will only cost $ 4.00 per loaf in 2012.


Jim - North Saanich, BC
said
0 0

Being in my eighth decade, I have seen far worse recessions than the one we have just been through. As a survivor of Trudeau's National Energy Program, rest assured the damage done to the Canadian economy by that fiasco makes the recent perturbation in the Canadian economy seem like a non-event. I listened to three politicians, Messrs, Layton, Duceppe and Dion rant about the need to spend more to stimulate the Canadian economy in the same manner as the United States and to do so they were prepared to form a coalition to achieve those ends. Right now, US Government bonds are junk-rated, its currency marginalized, government debt doubled in the first year of the Obama Administration and its economy is still in the doldrums with minimal signs of recovery. Yet there are those out there calling for the very same coalition of "big spenders" and "social engineers" to run this country. That simply does not compute given Mark Carney's comments and the record to date.


Shanahan
said
0 0

I am so tired of listening to Michael Ignatieff I could scream. Then I look at the polls and I don't understand how 31% of people polled could possibly think this man could be good for our country. They must listen to whatever the media feeds them without thinking for themselves.The media spends a great deal of time and ink perpetuating the Liberal notion that Stephen Harper is somehow evil. When the reality of it is that the media doesn't like Harper because he doesn't give them the full access they think they deserve.Stephen Harper and his MPs have done some stupid and irresponsible things, but nothing could compare with the fiscal "management" of the Liberals past.50 million stolen from EI fund to balance the budget, Adscam. Talk about secret agendas!


Andy Kanata
said
0 0

All signs point to the fact that we are going in the right direction with our economic policies. All parties have contributed to this - minority governments can work especially when input from all parties is used to form policy. I do not want to see the balance we have obtained upset by a change in government. A Liberal minority government that shuts out Conservative contribution to policy will upset that balance. Do we really want to do that at this point in our history?


Fiscal Strength Growing: Give Credit
said
0 0

This is good news for Canadians: Even though some people continue to remain in denial about the accomplishments of the Prime Minister, because many choose to remain in denial, the record speaks for itself. If you go back to the time of when the "depression" took root, most pundits suggested that it was in the Liberal's best interest to wait to push for an election, until the government imploded in their attempts to get our country on a sound fiscal track.. So in retrospect, if the economy had remained "in the tank" one could have expected the blame game to go viral. It didn't happen thanks to our current Prime Minister and especially his competent Finance Minister, O'Flaherty.


Financial analysis
said
0 0

BoC is omitting to mention the meltdown currently underway of the American dollar. Tough times are coming...really tough times.


David
said
0 0

Are you paying attention Iggy?


Steve-O
said
0 0

"Mid 2012"? Just in time for the End of the World, if one believes in the Mayan calendar.


Craig from NS
said
0 0

To all of you who thing Harper has done a good job during the economic crisis; Harper has nothing to crow about. His minority government didn't get the bank deregulation he wanted pushed through because the opposition parties wouldn't support it. If he had his majority before the economic crisis no one would be singing his "false" praises now. We would be much worse off. Credit should be given where credit is due.


Jim-Surrey
said
0 0

Hey Iggy and Jack are you reading THIS????


k markham
said
0 0

Obviously this is quite good news but on a political scale this is not a Conservative government directed recovery. We live in one big world economy where the recovery of other countries is paramount to our growth. We are a commodity rich nation who exports both commodities and manufactured goods when other nations prosper, such as the USA and countries in Asia. Regardless of a Conservative or Liberal government these growth figures would have been similar, smart people who put politics aside would acknowledge that. A lot of credit does have to go to Mark Carney for the way he is managing our financial wellbeing as a nation.


Frank in NS
said
0 0

More proof comes in daily that the Conservative fiscal policies are working well under PM Harper. Isn't it better to have an Economist at the helm during these times rather than a liberal academic? I say yes!


don.h
said
0 0

with news like this ,just think where we could be if the opposition would co-operate with the gov, and not slam it at every turn. time for a majrity gov. in this country.


Cognition
said
0 0

This is why the Conservatives can expect to return to their surplus a year earlier than previously expected.This is why it is important to invest in jobs, business, and economic development rather than cashing in on current strengths to pay for non-income generating socialism.If anyone thought the process through, it's the left wing that is thinking like Americans ... "we're Canadian" they say, "we DESERVE free this and free that". Their sense of entitlement ignores the FACT that someone has to pay for their entitlement... Conservatives understand that if you build the economy and you can pay for those social programs. Otherwise, we're stuck with Iggy's "tax & spend" Liberalism... he can spend for a couple of years (like his two year budget projects), but after that, you're so far in debt and so far behind the economic 8-ball, that you have to cut your programs back to levels well below the what we Canadians "DESERVE".


Saskmike
said
0 0

OH PLEASE. Name one thing that the Conservitive party implimented during their time in office, without a push from the other parties, that saved Canada from economic disaster. I'll remind people that there was no doom on the horizon. I really wish I could vote for a party that was good for Canada. It would be nice that everything would be fair for all.


Montreal Marco
said
0 0

We can thanks Mr Harper and his team for this, his continued leadership is exactly what our country needs right now, thank you conservatives


Steve O
said
0 0

Gord, The conservatives did not introduce any economic policies in the past 5 years. The economic policies in place today were put there by past liberal government, so your cheer leading for our economy is misdirected. Opposition parties agreed to 13 billion is stimulus spending, Harper spent over 100 billion & has plans to spend about the same with no benefit to the average Canadian. Ignatieff's plan spends only 8 billion to help average Canadians. Harper's policies only benefit the American's, Ignatieff's policies benefit Canadians. Take off those rose colored glasses. A liberal government is the only way to stop Harper's corrupt government for further destroying our great nation. [X]Liberal


Mike
said
0 0

Great news for the Stephen Harper and the conservative party. Brag tonight about the economy as the central bank Mark Carney has told all Canadians that he upbeat about the economy and predicts a faster growth and a quicker response to full capacilty in the future.This will benefit all Canadians. Please if the three other parties get in and form a coalition we will go back to spend spend spend and higher taxes.Go Stephen Harper I trust in your fiscal guidance.


Davinder Burlington
said
0 0

Liberals spend so much inflation means we would all be house poor. This time I vote for Blue team.


Scared for Canada
said
0 0

Cap & Trade by Liberals means high grocery prices and that means inflation.


Gord. Robson, Nova Scotia
said
0 0

This is great news the economy doing much better than expected...I trust the Conservatives they have done an outstanding job...we can not afford the risk of the spend happy Liberals...The Liberals are good at manufacturing dirt...the Conservatives are working for Canadians...working hard on the economy and making Canada a better place to live...We have the best Military in the world....we do not want to go back to the old Liberal starving budget for the Military...No more broken Liberal Promises.


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