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EurekAlert withdraws climate change paper

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Date: Wednesday Jan. 19, 2011 12:06 PM ET

A study warning that the planet would warm by 2.4C by 2020, creating deadly consequences for the global food supply, is being debunked as false and impossible.

The study came from a little-known, non-profit group based in Argentina, called the Universal Ecological Fund. An embargoed copy of the study appeared on Eurekalert!, a news service operated by the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) that's followed by many journalists.

The study was picked up by a number of international news organizations Tuesday. But it appears the study's claims were erroneous.

The AAAS says that after receiving complaints that the study's conclusions were impossible, it has removed all references to the study from its website.

"EurekAlert! deeply regrets the accidental posting of an erroneous news release on 18 January 2011," the news service wrote in a notice to journalists who subscribe to the service.

"The news release was swiftly removed from EurekAlert!, and staff are taking steps to set the record straight with all reporters who had seen it."

EurekAlert! notes that it is a non-profit news service that relies on staff members to determine the eligibility of up to 100 news release submissions. These staff proofread submissions for typographical or common-sense errors.

"But we rely mostly on the submitting organization to ensure the veracity of the scientific content of the news release; we try to exclude unreliable information providers on the front-end of our screening process," the notice says.

"…We deeply regret that the system failed yesterday, and we appreciate the help we received from reporters who are now setting the record straight."

The correction came after The Guardian newspaper in the U.K. published a reaction piece to the study. The paper said it had interviewed climate scientists who told them that rapid global warming at the rates projected by the study was impossible.

"2.4 C by 2020 (which is 1.4C in the next 10 years – something like six to seven times the projected rate of warming) has no basis in fact," NASA climatologist Gavin Schmidt told the newspaper in an email.

According to The Guardian, the study's lead author Liliana Hisas, who is the UEF's executive director, erred by overlooking how the oceans, which absorb heat, will compensate for global warming by delaying the effects of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere.

Hisas said she stands by her report's findings, which have been endorsed by Nobel Prize-winning Argentine climate scientist, Osvaldo Canziani.

She said the UEF did not intend to withdraw the report.

"We are just going to go ahead with it. I don't have a choice now," she told The Guardian.

"The scientist I have been working with checked everything and according to him it's not wrong."

Comments are now closed for this story

gman
said

Greenland ice cores show that of the last 10500yrs.9100of these yrs.was warmer than 2010.hmmmmm?


J. Cartier
said

Al Gore won a Nobel prize too...and look how that's turned out.


Dave in Calgary
said

What will be, will be. I'm just going to keep on living my life one day at a time and dealing with my environment the same way. Don't know who is right and I don't care. If I have to deal with a disaster, I will, if not then there is nothing to do. The horse has left the barn already as far as climate is concerned and I remember what it was fifty years ago and that is no longer a valid model for todays climate and it is changing faster every year. It's not a matter to complain about but rather an oppertunity to adapt and deal with what ever is on your plate day by day.


John
said

JP stated:Anthropogenic global warming is false because the theory it rests upon, the theory of the greenhouse effect, is false and violates the laws of thermodynamics. Don't let them try to tell you it doesn't....it does. The Sun can only heat the earth sphere to an average of -18C...this radiative heating can NOT amplify itself to 15C. The 15C is already explained via gravitational compressional heating of ground air due to, essentially, the ideal gas law. The heat comes from compression..it CAN'T come from anywhere else, unless you wish to throw away the Laws of Thermodynamics. The -18C sphere is found in the atmosphere above us, @ 4 - 5km. It's warmer down here because the gas is compressed more down here. QED.Do you have references to back up your statement? I would love to look further into your hypothesis.


Ivan
said

To take a page from the anti-climate change conspiracy theorists - what better way to call into to question legitimate research than to plant false research, then withdraw it. This makes more sense than the 1000s of peer reviewed scientific studies stating climate change is real, all being false.


G Ross
said

RE: think certain people and companies stand to make lots of money out of making others afraid of climate change. The fact that there are fossils of tropical plants in the arctic tell me there can be huge changes and such circumstances won't be such a problem. If it was warm there before - what's wrong with it being warm there again?It was never warm like that at the poles, the land under the pole was once closer to the equator.


Jay Alt
said

There is no record that the author, Ms Hisas, has ever written any science papers in English. So the idea that a news release of her ideas would cast doubt on genuine scientific results or methods is confused thinking.


Neal J. King
said

Hey folks,Notice that it was the climate scientists who were the first to jump on this, stating that the conclusions were clearly off the wall.


peterj
said

Throughout my life I have seen "experts" with opposing views on the same subject. I think it all depends on where the funding is coming from. No panic equals no funding.


SK Ecologist
said

This is what happens when scientists with social agendas publish their work...my advice? - Leave it at home boys and girls...science is meant to be objective...


Doesn't matter
said

I agree with Kitlope, Jon and George V. When my late (ex) mother in law first read and was told about Y2K, she began hoarding everything, from food, newspapers, anything and everything.I'm in my mid 70's, whats going to happen, will.As for the ones who phone for funds and want my bank info, I put them on hold and hang up.


MT
said

@JayinStoon: the Scientific Method is certainly not infallible, and no scientist deserving of the title should claim otherwise. A theory developed under the scientific model is simply that: a theory that is accepted as valid based upon observation and experimentation, but subject to change if more information is found. Look at all the models of the atom that have been proposed - and we still don't know if we have it entirely right!


charlie
said

"Hisas said she stands by her report's findings, which have been endorsed by Nobel Prize-winning Argentine climate scientist, Osvaldo Canziani". Not to be a wet blanket, but has anyone thought to verify her statement with the Nobel Prize winner?


Barry in Saskabush
said

I think certain people and companies stand to make lots of money out of making others afraid of climate change. The fact that there are fossils of tropical plants in the arctic tell me there can be huge changes and such circumstances won't be such a problem. If it was warm there before - what's wrong with it being warm there again? I, living in Canada, don't find being warmer to be a problem - it strikes me more of a solution when I look outside today. I could do with some tropical weather right about now. In fact, I'm quit inclined toward a change in this current climate. I think I might have liked the arctic a lot more back when tropical plants grew there. I don't see a problem now if things move in the direction they used to be. I just suspect some people will find ways to milk $$ from the worries of others over things heading in the direction they were once upon a time. People, don't get all worried by the change mongers - hang on to your pocket books and don't buy into scary myths - and in the meantime, enjoy the warmth - if it really happens after all.


KC
said

Science and meteorologists predicted a fine day today, and they were wrong....how can they predict what it is going to be like 25yrs from now? It is all just hypothosis and theoretical fearmongering to gain money for pet projects....and when a weather related idsaster hits, they seem to get more money...are we really that stupid?


Jay in Stoon
said

The Scientific Method IS infalible. Science research is always peer reviewed leading to discoveries of wrongdoing by other scientists. Scientists are human and can be jealous, angry, vengeful, just like everyone else. It's up to the entire scientific community to hold each other up to scrutiny. This news article is another example of the success of science revealing the truth.


JP
said

Anthropogenic global warming is false because the theory it rests upon, the theory of the greenhouse effect, is false and violates the laws of thermodynamics. Don't let them try to tell you it doesn't....it does. The Sun can only heat the earth sphere to an average of -18C...this radiative heating can NOT amplify itself to 15C. The 15C is already explained via gravitational compressional heating of ground air due to, essentially, the ideal gas law. The heat comes from compression..it CAN'T come from anywhere else, unless you wish to throw away the Laws of Thermodynamics. The -18C sphere is found in the atmosphere above us, @ 4 - 5km. It's warmer down here because the gas is compressed more down here. QED.


Inversity
said

I have been told, repeatedly, that the "scientific method" is iron-clad, and when followed to the letter, is infallible. This article, on projected climate change by various scientists, shows how fallible the entire scientific method can be, when scientists, themselves, stand by what they have done, scientifically, when other scientists state that such conclusions (from a scientific study) are "impossible". Which scientists are, indeed, following the "scientific method"? Who of any scientists, can you believe these days? It's all still a mystery (even scientifically speaking).


Lz in Edmonton
said

While I flip through old news clippings of floods, head waves, cold snaps, ice storms, and unpredictable consequences of the 1930's weather, I wonder what all the theories of todays 'climate change' bull is going to change policies. Weather hasn't become more unpredictable, just more of the same. In todays age of super computers, people put WAY TO MUCH FAITH on models that are just that, MODELS of weather. Mother nature continues to humble doesn't it?


MannyM
said

The American Association for the Advancement of Sience. Spreading bunk science. That's rich. I have been a scientist all my life. There has never been a scientific consensus and there never will be. Consensus is a political concept, not a scientific concept. Scientists do not value consensus, we value objective evidences. Unfortunately, politicians and journalists have also distorted the meaning Objectivity; look up Objectivity (science) in Wikipedia.


Kitlope
said

You know what this is called?Fearmongering 101. It's getting really tiresome.


Laurie
said

We have to be careful with what we believe in scientific research now. Sometimes the results are fashioned to fit the what the scientists would like it to show according to their specific agendas. Whether the agenda be power, money or social engineering...Research has to be well scruitinized. The global warming fudged data was a good example of this. Propaganda became so mainstream that reputable scientists were blacklisted if they dared speak against what had become a dogma of warming.


Jon in London ON
said

Can this PLEASE be the end of anthropomorphic CO2 based global warming? This dead horse is more than beat!


George V.
said

Global warming is nothing but fear mongering by a number of scientists who are trying to make a good living by spreading this drivel.

Glenn Stowe
said

Before the inevitable frenzy starts, and people start accusing climate scientists of making this "global warming" stuff up, remember that it was mainstream climate scientists who debunked this fringe paper. The same ones who are telling us that real climate change is a serious threat.


danR
said

What scares me is the hysteria that a 5 degree rise by the END of this century is going to end all reality as we know it. You'd think the big asteroid was coming or something. Let climatologists go back to legitimate hypothesis-testing, and stop ALL the apocalyptic drivel.


Tim in Sarnia
said

In 2000 we had the Y2K where computers were going to shut down the world, every company had staff there at midnight to make sure the computers rolled over. Getting tired of these doomsday hoax senarios.


Wade Ens
said

Those Gobal Warming preachers on TV want us to send them money, buy their books and give them research dollars because they are worried about our souls.


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