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Mars is seen in this image taken by the Hubble Space Telescope (NASA / Hubble Heritage Team / STScI / AURA)

NASA probing feasibility of one-way mission to Mars

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Canada AM: Randy Attwood, space educator
A space educator says finances are the main reason a trip to Mars would be one-way. He explains NASA is finding a number of people who are interested in taking the chance to explore a new planet, despite the fact they would not be able to return to Earth.

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Mars is seen in this image taken by the Hubble Space Telescope (NASA / Hubble Heritage Team / STScI / AURA)

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Mars is seen in this image taken by the Hubble Space Telescope (NASA / Hubble Heritage Team / STScI / AURA)

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I hope people set foot on Mars during my lifetime. It would be my generation's Apollo landing.

shaun m

NASA probing feasibility of one-way mission to Mars

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NASA probing feasibility of one-way mission to Mars

Date: Fri. Oct. 29 2010 9:02 AM ET

It's been more than 40 years since Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin's walk on the moon turned the world's imagination to space exploration. Predictions mankind would soon be stepping onto Mars have languished. But that may be about to change.

NASA officials have confirmed that studies are being conducted to assess whether astronauts can be sent on a one-way mission to the Red Planet.

So far, the mission amounts to US$1.1 million in seed capital that NASA's Ames Research Centre and the Pentagon's Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency hope to turn into the $11 billion the mission could cost.

Ames Director Simon Worden confirmed the studies at the Long Now Foundation's "Long Conversation" conference in San Francisco last weekend.

"We hope to inveigle some billionaires to form a Hundred Year Starship fund. The human space programme is now really aimed at settling other worlds. Twenty years ago you had to whisper that in dark bars and get fired," Worden said in remarks posted to a blog that covered the event.

"Within a few years we will see the first true prototype of a spaceship that will take us between worlds."

Worden's admission offered few details beyond a possible 2030 launch date, but its coincidence with a new paper published in the Journal of Cosmology suggests how such a mission might look.

In their paper "To Boldly Go: A One-Way Human Mission to Mars," Washington State University geobiologist Dirk Schulze-Makuch and Arizona State University cosmologist Paul Davies suggest a one-way trip sidesteps the potentially prohibitive costs involved.

"Eliminating the need for returning early colonists would cut the costs several fold and at the same time ensure a continuous commitment to the exploration of Mars and space in general," they write.

Although he's excited by the prospect of manned space exploration, space educator Randy Attwood says the promise of landing astronauts on Mars is far from new.

"Ever since the Moon landing, Mars has always been 20 years away. It's sort of like this carrot on a stick," Attwood told CTV's Canada AM.

"There's a lot of technology they have to overcome before going to Mars," he added. "It's a very harsh environment."

Mars has an average surface temperature of -63C, an atmosphere composed mainly of carbon dioxide, and because there is no magnetic field it's not protected from solar radiation. Plus, the planet can be up to 399 million kilometres from Earth depending on where the planets are in their orbits -- making a one-way journey there a nine-month prospect.

Attwood says that, given enough money, there's a good chance researchers can solve the technological problems. But that still doesn't mean the mission's a go.

"If there were people getting on a spaceship tomorrow to go to Mars on a one-way trip, I'm not sure the government and society would let them go," Attwood said, explaining that NASA has grown extremely cautious since the loss of the shuttles Challenger and Columbia and their crews.

Any disaster on a Mars-bound mission would likely put an end to plans for colonizing space, Attwood said.

"The people running Apollo, they were concerned that if two astronauts actually lost their lives on the Moon, then everyone when they looked up at the Moon, forever, would know there were two dead astronauts up there and it would have stopped all human exploration."

Nevertheless, Davies and Schulze-Makuch argue that a series of successful missions to Mars could eventually lead to long-term colonization of Earth's second-closest planetary neighbour.

"One approach could be to send four astronauts initially, two on each of two space craft, each with a lander and sufficient supplies, to stake a single outpost on Mars," they write. Additional supplies could be sent from Earth every two years afterwards.

Money remains the primary obstacle, however, hence Worden's focus on sympathetic billionaires.

"(Google cofounder) Larry Page asked me a couple weeks ago how much it would cost to send people one way to Mars and I told him $10 billion, and his response was, ‘Can you get it down to 1 or 2 billion?' So now we're starting to get a little argument over the price," Worden said.

In the meantime, those with a spirit for adventure can start dreaming of what to pack.

Attwood says ideal candidates would be "willing to take a chance to see what's on the other side."

"You need people who are skilled. So you're going to have to have a mixture of 'right stuff' type people and people who want to explore."

Comments are now closed for this story

Kayakhomer
said

I think that most people realize that such a mission has inherently large risks. I don't think that the loss of a single mission would scuttle future missions. At present there are long line ups to climb to the peak of Mt. Everst even though the climbers pass by and even step over the bodies of unlucky climbers. This doesn't seem to deminish the desire to climb Everst by the climbing community by an appreciable amount. Neither is the world in an uproar that these climbing expeditions continue and so do the loses in life. No matter how much planning is involved or how much money is spent there will never be exploration with loss. Just look at how many people are killed crossing the street in TO each year.


Amir
said

I'll go.Just get me of this planet, we are gonna nuke each other eventually.I volunteer.One way ticket woho.


Vanc Guy
said

Yes, I nominate Kadhr to be the janitor on this one way flight, I can think of a bunch of others that we could afford to lose from mother Earth!


wade
said

It's time for man to move on and begin destroying a second planet.


ric m
said

I would sign up in a heart beat


Doug # BC
said

I hope to see a manned landing on Mars during my life time.I am absolutely certain that there are people who would volunteer for this mission, even if it was a one way trip.History is rife with brave men and women who willingly gae their lives for the "greater good".I'm neither qualified, not extremely brave.But give a chance,I'd go in a heartbeat. To those who say we should wait until we can go to an earthlike planet,I suggest that is at least as far away as moon travel was to the Wright brothers.Mars is the next,most logical next step to to anyone who thinks mankind should try to poulate other planets. To the thinking that there in nothing on Mars,I suggest not being so sure.There are challenges ahead,for sure.Radiation because Mars has no magnetic field,is huge.But the technology to make Mars habitable is close.Already they know they can warm up the planet by generating more greenhouse gases.That would allow the growth of fungus and algae first,and then more complex forms of plant life.That would produce more oxygen,warm up the planet,and free up any water currently frozen.And on it goes. People in science communities think they have the technology to start the process.A process they think would take about 100,000 years to go from what it is now,to a planet which is much warmer,has liquid water,and supports basic plant life. Not everyone will see this as a good choice.But we are almost certainy going to see the scientific community continue to work towards this with more advanced technolgy at lower costs .Why?? Well, because that's what scientists do.


JD
said

Sending 2 pairs of people to set up 2 separate outposts? We'd run into some pretty serious inbreeding issues......What if only sons are born in the 2nd generation? 20 or 30 pairs of "colonialists" would be the absolute minimum required. That way a large variety of professions could be included as well.All this to say, it would be very cool to see.


bill in ottawa
said

sign me up!


Astronut
said

What a terrible idea, what are you going to do on mars? How about waiting until the technology exists so that we can travel to another planet similar to earth. At least you might be able to sustain life without the need for re-supply ships. I can imagine is the world state crumbled and you were stuck on mars, wouldn't be long until you were turned into dust there at least on an "M" class planet you have a fighting chance of survival.


GHW
said

Quite frankly I think this is waste of time and money at this stage in humanity. Colonizing Mars will likely never be practical. Total recall (overlooking the alien atmosphere machine and the fact that there is no magnetic shield and little gravity) was an interesting look at what would be needed. It would be much easier, cheaper and practical to colonize Antarctica or the ocean floor here on earth before Mars. This will never happen.


Al in Orillia
said

@Oliver in Ottawa.Maybe we could send Iggy! He could pretend that he's been there all along !


Vince S
said

I think my ex-wife would be a great candidate for this venture. She's already in the telecommunications industry, and despite the great view likes to sleep on long trips, doesn't eat much, has a take charge attitude, and since only the good die young will flourish even in the harsh martian lanscape. SHE'D BE GREAT!!!


Niagara George
said

Every land needs a leader. I nominate King Steve. If they pick the right travellers to go with him he'll be sure to get the majority he so deperately wants.


Niagara George
said

Every land needs a leader. I nominate King Steve. If they pick the right travellers to go with him he'll be sure to get the majority he so deperately wants.


Anne
said

There isn't anything on Mars, or likely on any planet of this solar system. Why not use all of that money instead for research into developing "wharp speed" so that space outside of our own solar system could be explored. That is where discoveries of other life is likely to be found. I know, very Star Trek, but, unless we conquer the problem of travel time we aren't going to be able to do much of anything.


CraigW
said

A one way mission? That doesn't sound like a good deal for the astronaut to me. Maybe we could use guys who should never get out of jail, or politicians.


JB in Ontario
said

I think NASA should hold off on Mars until such time as astronauts would be able to do a round trip. It would be terrible for space exploration later on knowing that there were dead astronauts on Mars. Before we go to Mars, I think a far less costly trip back to the lunar surface should have a green light.


Wade
said

I say go. Throughout history, there have always been men and women willing to risk their lives to see beyond the next horizon. We're an exploratory bunch, and it's arguably the next natural step for us as a species. We're certainly not going to all fit on this rock forever.Will some die in the effort? Almost definitely. But then the mountain peaks of Earth are littered with the frozen bodies of dead climbers, and the oceans with the bodies of long dead explorers, and none of it stopped others from continuing to try. And it won't stop people from heading out into the "great unknown" either.I can think of a lot worse things we're currently spending our money and efforts on. Sign me up.


Wade Ens
said

I feel Mr. Ignatieff could make a real contribution to science and Canada by being the first man on Mars I say put him on this spaceship.


shaun m
said

I hope people set foot on Mars during my lifetime. It would be my generation's Apollo landing.


Mike Kushneryk
said

I would colonize any place in the solar system, as long as my partner was a clone of Marilyn Munroe.


Oliver in Ottawa
said

I'd like to volunteer some Canadian politicians for the trip... but that would be cruel to the Martians!


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