Politics -
News Sections
Central bank warns Canadians may be borrowing too much
CTV News Video
|
Watch: See all Videos in the Player
CTV.ca News Staff
Date: Thu. Oct. 22 2009 10:27 PM ET
The Bank of Canada's governor sounded the alarm about the long-term cost of massive borrowing, both by governments and ordinary Canadians, in a news conference Thursday.
While Mark Carney was optimistic that Canada's economy would recover throughout 2010, he expressed concern that historically low interest rates might have too many Canadians garnering too much debt.
"People should manage their affairs prudently in anticipation that at some point rates will return to a more normal level," Carney warned.
Borrowing by Canadians grew at a brisk seven per cent rate this year, far outpacing gains in the economy.
"We do have some concerns about it. Obviously consumer borrowing cannot grow faster than the economy forever," Carney said.
Carney said the bank will "retain flexibility" in policies like keeping interest rates low or printing more cash. It is expected to keep interest rates at 0.25 per cent until at least June 2010. It is the lowest rate Canada has ever seen.
"The job of the Bank of Canada is to consider all factors that are having an effect on inflation in Canada," Carney said.
The central back said Canada's recovery from the recession is growing stronger, but Canadians shouldn't expect things to return to normal any time soon as the soaring loonie holds the economy back.
In its latest outlook on the economy, the bank says Canada is making progress, but predicts the country's economy won't be fully back on track until the end of 2011.
"The stronger than assumed Canadian dollar ... could act as a significant further drag for growth," Carney said.
He predicts the high loonie -- which closed slightly down at 95.44 cents Thursday -- will deter foreigners from buying Canadian products, which could shrink growth to lower than what is expected.
The bank says Canada's economy is expected to grow two per cent in the third quarter, and 3.3 per cent during the final three months of 2009.
That's a jump from the original estimates of 1.3 per cent and three per cent that it made in July for the third and fourth quarters respectively.
Responding to the predictions, the Toronto Stock Exchange's composite index closed up 91.35 points to finish Thursday at 11,533.37.
The reasons for the bank's positive attitude towards growth are stable commodity prices for products like oil, increased consumer confidence, and the fact that global markets have stabilized faster than originally expected.
It says government stimulus and consumer demand is spurring growth in the second half of this year.
The bank is predicting the overall annual growth to be lower than forecasted, with three per cent in 2010 and 3.3 per cent in 2011.
It says that all the predictions depend on whether world powers will continue to enact good policies, including building up reserves in the U.S., Europe and China.
Carney said the bank is monitoring the housing market, and said it has some concerns about a housing bubble similar to the one in the U.S., but that structural differences between Canadian and U.S. banking systems will likely prevent a similar situation from happening north of the border.
At least one Canadian economist says Canada has managed to get through economic problems in the past and is poised to do so again soon, albeit at a slower rate.
"I think we can take some comfort in the fact that our deficits as a share of the economy have been worse," Derek Burleton, a senior economist at the TD Bank Financial Group, told CTV News Channel.
"The debt load in the 90s was a lot higher."
"It's going to be a very slow recovery," said Burleton. "There's good reason to think the cruising speed of our economy going forward is not going to be what it has been in the past."
User Tools
Related Stories
Vital Signs
Part one
If economists could paint a picture of a future, it would be much different than what we have today.
Most Popular
Most Viewed News Stories
Most Talked about Stories
It is about time - as a grandparent I have watched our kids (who were allowed to fail although I do remember some nagging on our part) learn, I have watched our children now micro-manage their children. A big part of it is the fact that there are predators out there and an extreme reluctance on the parents part to alllow freedom that might result in the children becoming victims.
Email





Comments are now closed for this story
Ross in Burlington
0
said
0
Grant in BC
0
said
0
Yeah Right
0
said
0
GP
0
said
0
The Other Lowell in BC
0
said
0
GP
0
said
0
Raj
0
said
0
Vic
0
said
0
Jon in London ON
0
said
0
David H. in Ottawa
0
said
0
Doug @ BC
0
said
0
The USA may look to be in deep do-do.But they still have many advantages over Canada.One being the fact that the whole world wants to do business with the USA.Few get a fat rat's behind about dealing with our small population.And perhaps more importantly,Americans will fight to the death to defend their country.Even during this tough time,they are lining up to ask "what can I do for my country".Canadians,facing the very same kind of economic issues,are busy asking "what can my country do for me"? I want "free day care.I want "free transit.I want "free universities.I want "free" places to shoot my drugs.I want "free' dental care.I want "free" housing.Etc,etc,etc. They will resolve their issues long before we do because Americans place the needs of their nation ahead of personal needs.While greedy Canadians think about how they can get someone else to pay for the things they want for "free".As if those programs actually do come for "free".Or as if the government actually had money of it's own to give out for "free".
Judy Cross
0
said
0
Sum
0
said
0
reece
0
said
0
Troglodyte
0
said
0
Portes
0
said
0
simon
0
said
0
conductor274
0
said
0
Marie
0
said
0
US Doomed
0
said
0
Patrick (S-W Ontario)
0
said
0
Harper wasn't wrong before the recession hit - he's just a SMART economist that knows that IF YOU SAY SOMETHING BAD WILL HAPPEN TO THE ECONOMY - IT WILL. People will panic and it will lead to a worse recession than what it could be. The last thing we needed was Jack Layton as PM screaming to every news conference "THE SKY IF FALLING!". Slow and steady will get us back on track.
Abi , Saint John
0
said
0
conductor274
0
said
0
Dave in Whitby
0
said
0
annie
0
said
0