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RBC study: homes will be more affordable in 2008

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Date: Thu. Jan. 24 2008 10:21 PM ET

Buying a house will become easier and more affordable in 2008, according to a Royal Bank of Canada report released Thursday.

Canadians in the market for a new home will likely be helped by dropping interest rates, say RBC economists. Just this week, the Bank of Canada cut its key rate by one-quarter of a percentage point Tuesday.

Derek Holt, assistant chief economist at RBC, says he expects consumers will benefit as longer-term mortgage rates come down. He added that central banks will probably lower interest rates further -- perhaps by a full percentage point -- and that should make short-term mortgages more affordable.

Potential homebuyers will also be helped by a slowing in the appreciation rate of the resale value of homes. The RBC report notes that home ownership costs -- which last year climbed steadily -- will probably be one of the biggest factors making homes easier to buy in 2008.

"Almost every house class in every province and major city saw affordability deteriorate last year," said Holt.

"Unlike the late 1980s and early 1990s when both unemployment rates and interest rates pushed into double digits and led to declining affordability, the prime culprit this time around has been a long string of house price gains that have outstripped income gains."

In late 2007, B.C. homebuyers were hardest hit as housing affordability "deteriorated to its worst level since 1985." The report states that the province should see "modest improvements in 2008."

The study notes that Alberta's red-hot housing market will also likely cool due to "a softer influx of migrants," making homes easier to buy for homebuyers who were priced out of the market last year. In Ontario, toughening economic conditions are expected to slow income growth and so will moderate housing price gains.

The RBC report predicts that Canada's overall resale house price appreciation is likely to slow to between five and seven per cent this year.

Comments are now closed for this story

Ted
said

Well---well. You think lowering interest rates etc. will make a differenc. Maybe in the short term. However, the big crunch will come after the 2010 Olympics. That is when the market will crash. Those who are now buying homes with 40 year mortgages; with no money down and paying only the interest on the mortgage and no principle being reduction are going to tell te banks "Here is your house back; I can't afford it anymore."
You think the Sub-prime fiasco in the USA is bad---wait till it happens here in 2010. The banks better have lots of cash on hand to handle this downfall in earnings.


Jay
said

This won't affect the 'affordability' of houses. When interest rates lower EVERYONE can afford to pay more - demand rises and the result is an increase in house prices.


Brent Robarts
said

Be very careful in BC as prices are at levels that defy every economic fundamental.
The example of Britain and the US should be warning enough that it is time to sell not buy.


kirk
said

Wow thats wonderful. Now an enormously over priced property will get even more over priced but at a lower rate. I feel very sorry for anyone who has bought or will be buying a new house. Prices will pull back 30 percent or more in the rather near future. What will you do if you went in on one of those zero down deals. And we think the US is the only place with stupid lending practices.


Guy from Montreal, Quebec
said

People can predict whatever it is they want about the housing market and interest rates and they never get it right. I stopped worrying about that a long time ago... Just go with the flow. The song and dance changes every 3-4 months it seems.



chrishonzy1975
said

Luckily most homebuyers are in it for the long term and we can wait out any temporary fluctuations in markets.


MHR
said

Going to start saving up for my house now :-)

Thank you idiot Americans for vote BUSH which screwed people up and I am able to buy house. What a joke world we re living in?

Anyone notice? I am thinking of moving to socialist country.


Yvonne
said

Wonderful, now I can afford to buy what I want once interest rates go down.


Mike
said

Great just after i bought my first house


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