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You can catch a divorce from your friends: study

Sandra Bullock and Jesse James arrive at the Vanity Fair Oscar party on Sunday, March 7, 2010, in West Hollywood, Calif. (AP / Peter Kramer) Medical
Sandra Bullock and Jesse James arrive at the Vanity Fair Oscar party on Sunday, March 7, 2010, in West Hollywood, Calif. (AP / Peter Kramer)

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Date: Tuesday Jul. 6, 2010 2:28 PM ET

Happy couples take note. A new study suggests that divorce spreads through a social group like a virus, with the breakup of a friend's marriage vastly increasingly the possibility of one's own nuptials ending.

Researchers have dubbed the phenomenon "divorce clustering" and say a breakup between friends in your immediate social circle can increase your own chances of being divorced by 75 per cent.

Even a friend of a friend divorcing increases the likelihood of your own breakup by 33 per cent, the U.S. joint study by three academics from Brown University, Harvard University and the University of California says.

The researchers examined statistics taken from a group of individuals over a 32-year period.

The study also says it's not just friends that can affect your chances of divorce, siblings and co-workers can too.

Among the study's key findings

  • Someone with a divorced sibling is 22 per cent more likely to get divorced
  • Someone with a divorced coworker is 55 per cent more likely to get divorced than someone who works with all married coworkers
  • Presence of children in marriage did not affect likelihood of divorce
  • Divorcees lose up to 10 per cent of their friends
  • Popular people are less likely to get divorced

The study, called "Breaking Up is Hard to Do, Unless Everyone Else is Doing it Too: Social Network Effects on Divorce in a Longitudinal Sample Followed for 32 Years," was done by political scientists Rose McDermott of Brown University and James H. Fowler of University of California, San Diego and sociologist Nicholas A. Christakis of Harvard University.

"Overall, the results suggest that attending to the health of one's friends' marriages serves to support and enhance the durability of one's own relationship, and that, from a policy perspective, divorce should be understood as a collective phenomenon that extends far beyond those directly affected," their report concludes.

According to Statistics Canada, about 38 per cent of Canadian marriages end by their 30th anniversary.

In the United States, about 44 per cent of marriages end with divorce.

In both the U.S. and Canada, divorce rates peaked in the 1980s and have fallen since.

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James
said
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What I find most disturbing about this study is that having children through the marriage made no difference to the likelihood of divorce. And society has the gall to wonder what's wrong with children these days? It's pretty obvious really - we treat them as things long enough, they will eventually see themselves in the same light.


Matty
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Re: Carl, there is a 100% chance that my stat is incorrect, and I gaurentee that my last stat is correct, lol.


ss
said
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Seems to make sense, unfortunately. I've not been married, but have seen it go around, and I do remember similar happenings in the high school/college setting. If one couple (not married obviously) broke up, it started going around to the other couples. Everyone started taking second looks at their significant others, or taking sides in another couples' breakup. These factors, and of course just being young, had that effect. But looking back, one could really see the pattern. I agree with Carl's points too. Just makes sense.


Lee
said
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I would not put a lot of stock in this study - it is correlational, so would need to be replicated to understand why. Divorce probably peaked in the 1980s because this was the peak of the baby boom. 1954 plus age 24 7 year itch.As the previous poster says, fewer marriages are being celebrated and people are marrying later as well.


Vanc Guy
said
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Da. Misery loves company.


Jeff
said
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There are lies, bigger lies and then there are statistics.


zinnia
said
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sorry, popularity does not effect divorce rates... look at hollywood! Rich, poor, popular, unpopular, it dosent make a difference when the two dont get along, and it dosent mean one wont commit adultry... you would actually have to be stupid to believe this...


Tim
said
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Matty- Does that mean there is a good chance your stat is also incorrect? lolCarl- Well said.


Carl
said
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It should come as no surprise that people who are equally likely to get divorced hang out together. Social groups form around particular lifestyles and activities and professions, and it is those lifestyles and activities that can effect the likelihood of divorce. People who engage in social activities that increase the likelihood of divorce obviously tend to socialize with each other. Similarly, people who work together share the same work conditions, and demanding professions can make divorce more likely. As for the conclusion that "popular people are less likely to get divorced", that's pretty obvious. If people don't like you, there is probably a good reason, and your spouse is likely to catch on eventually.


Jamie, Ottawa
said
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Are divorce rates declining because so many of us aren't getting married in the first place anymore?


Dave in Ottawa
said
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I beg to differ; we have a Christmas tree in our office, which was salvaged from the couple’s belongings. The tree was set up the first year, and a colleague of mine set it up, therefore transmitting the social disease onto him, roughly 3 months afterwards, his wife left him. No one will put the Christmas tree up.


Matty
said
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67% of all statistics are wrong.


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