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People walk past new homes that are for sale in Oakville, Ont., on Tuesday, April 14, 2009. (Nathan Denette / THE CANADIAN PRESS) A real estate agent puts up a 'sold' sign in front of a house in Toronto on Tuesday, April 20, 2010. (Darren Calabrese / THE CANADIAN PRESS) Home for sale

Canada's mortgage debt surpasses $1T for first time

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CTV National News: Richard Madan on mortgages
Canadians have piled up $1 trillion dollars in residential mortgage debt. It is the highest ever and it came about partly because of low interest rates and an overheated housing market.
CTV News Channel: Kelvin Mangaroo, RateSuperMarket.ca
Kelvin Mangaroo explains why Canadians have so much money tied up in their mortgage, saying more and more people are borrowing money and taking out mortgages in order to pay for expensive houses.
CTV News Channel: BNN's Martin Baccardax explains
A correspondent from the Business News Network says one trillion dollars is just shy of the value of the entire economy, so the fact Canadians are in this much debt signals major problems. He explains how the American debt-load is still heavier than that of Canadians.

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People walk past new homes that are for sale in Oakville, Ont., on Tuesday, April 14, 2009. (Nathan Denette / THE CANADIAN PRESS) A real estate agent puts up a 'sold' sign in front of a house in Toronto on Tuesday, April 20, 2010. (Darren Calabrese / THE CANADIAN PRESS) Home for sale

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People walk past new homes that are for sale in Oakville, Ont., on Tuesday, April 14, 2009. (Nathan Denette / THE CANADIAN PRESS)

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Date: Mon. Nov. 8 2010 6:12 PM ET

Canadians are carrying more mortgage debt than ever before, with the total crossing the $1 trillion threshold for the first time, according to a new report released Monday.

The annual report from the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals finds that Canada's total outstanding mortgage debt was $1.0008 trillion as of August 2010.

"Over the past 15 years, the volume of outstanding residential mortgages has expanded by 194 per cent, or a growth rate of 7.5 per cent per year," the report says.

The current growth rate marks a slowdown from a few years ago. From 2004 to 2008 Canada's mortgage debt was growing at a rate of 10 per cent per year, but eased off as a result of the recession and hit 7.6 per cent in the most recent 12 month period.

The report paints a positive picture of Canada's mortgage market, saying Canadian homeowners are comfortable with their mortgage debt, have "significant equity" and could even handle an increase in their interest rate.

"Canadians are being smart and responsible with their mortgages," said Jim Murphy, president and CEO of CAAMP, in a release.

"They are building equity in their homes and making informed, long-term mortgage decisions. The survey results speak to the strength of our mortgage market, especially when compared to the United States."

Here are some key findings from the sixth Annual State of the Residential Mortgage Market study:

  • In total 84 per cent of Canadians with mortgages could afford to pay more per month on their mortgage.
  • A total of 35 per cent have either increased their payments or made lump sum payments to their mortgage in the past year.
  • Roughly 89 per cent have at least 10 per cent equity in their homes and 80 per cent have 20 per cent equity.
  • The average amount of equity among homeowners is about $146,000 or 50 per cent of the value of their homes.

In terms of interest rates, the report found that the average rate is 4.22 per cent, down from 4.55 per cent a year earlier. Among those who have financed or renewed a mortgage in the past year, the rate is 3.75 per cent.

Because most Canadians express concern about the possibility of rising interest rates, the report looked at how an increase would affect homeowners.

"The average amount of room is $1,056 per month on top of their current costs," the report states.

"Combining other data from the survey, it appears that a vast majority of mortgage holders have considerable capacity to afford rises in mortgage interest rates."

According to the survey, 84 per cent of Canadians could afford an increase of $300 per month or more.

About 6 per cent of homeowners would have trouble with an increase of less than 1 per cent of their interest rate payment, and a further 5 per cent would have trouble with an increase of between 1 and 1.49 per cent.

Interestingly, most people surveyed agreed with the statement that "real estate in Canada is a good long-term investment" and most said the recent economic slowdown hasn't affected their real estate plans.

Very few of those surveyed said they regretted taking on the size of mortgage they did.

When asked about the future of their local housing market, people in Quebec had the most hopeful outlook among the provinces.

Here are the average results when Canadians were asked to rate their local community out of 10, in terms of how much housing prices will rise in the next year.

  • Quebec: 6.68
  • Ontario: 6.07
  • Manitoba: 6.03
  • Saskatchewan: 6.17
  • Alberta: 5.78
  • B.C.: 5.90
  • Atlantic provinces: 6.07

The report was written by CAAMP Chief Economist Will Dunning, based on information gathered by Maritz Research Canada in a survey of Canadian consumers conducted in October 2010.

Comments are now closed for this story

Linda in Vancouver
said

People would do well to plan carefully.If the US government keeps printing money at the rate they are now,we will alll have plenty of dollars in the bank.They just won't buy anything.Major inflation seems almost a certainty.When that comes,interest rates go up.In the USA it means more bankrupt people.In Canada it means more people lining up for "free' programs. For those who think we can help by raising wages to compensate,think again.Those higher wages will increase the costs of Canadian exports,and companies will simply close because they can't compete in foreign markets, and our own markets are to small to support our current standard of living.


Niagara George
said

This report is from the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals. These are the people that arrange the mortgages. Do you think they would say there is a problem with the debt level of Canadians? That would be like the Cons saying longer prison sentences or lower taxes for millionaires would be a mistake.The Canadian Mortagage and Housing Corporation are the ones who can give a more honest appraisal of the housing situation in Canada. From what I hear from an employee at the local office, the housing and mortgage markets are nearing the breaking point. We would be the same as the Americans, except we have CMHC to rescue people from forclosure.Next, I looking forward to the articles where the RCMP tells us how justified their G20 expenses were and the PM's press secretary telling us that King Steve is the best prime minister in Canada's history.


Kingmin
said

This news was so funny. Some parts of country started being hit like US. Home owners were worried and stressed like easy to get heart attack. I knew it because I saw it. I just want to know if no jobs, no income and no mortgage payment, then what the bank will do with those houses? Can they live in all the houses. By the way, the owners have not only home mortgage but also other kinds of debt. So long.


Brett
said

Wow... 1,000,000,000,000 of money created out of thin air by the banks. They didn't have to work for it, they didn't have buy it, - just magically invented it. Those magical debt to money gangsters sure have a good racket going.


simon
said

@ pie chart: We'll see what happens when interest rates rise then won't we. Thanks for your one cent. Another valuable lesson from the prof..


MP
said

My wife and I are renting and will be for a while. For us, there's a lot less headaches.


DR Wpg
said

This is due to the devaluation of all the currencies including the Canadian dollar. Ten years ago you could buy a nice house for $100,000.00 today it takes $250,000.00 so the dollar doesn't buy what it used to thus it has devalued. Same thing happened in the early 70's when chocolate bars went from .10 each to .25 in one day. Inflation is on it's way to keep up,, wages will have to match watch to see everything to get more expensive!!


Mark
said

More people=more home buyers=more total mortgage debt.


reece
said

My brother got his 5% downpayment fronted by his bank and mortgage approved for $385,000. He has no savings to put anything down. I didnt have time to review all of the details but all I know is that he has his pre-approval and is actively looking for a house....his credit card debts and consolodation loans in tow. It is SO easy to get a mortgage today. The only problem is that the house prices are not dropping as quickly as he would like. All of this and timing does not make housing a safe venture.


DANIEL H
said

Of course the mortgage debit of canadians is increasing. That's because we are taxed to death by a government that can't keep spending in check on things the country really needs. Further, we should be dumping some of the social assitance to those who don't need it. I've got relatives on welfare that think the most important things to budget for are beer and smokes!


Rat-Ripper
said

Equity - Laff We will see how much equity all these people have when the housing bubble bursts ....and it will.....Why is only banks and real estate agents are always positive about home sales ? 10.00 an hour wages can't buy $400,000.00 homes .


Prof. Pye Chartt
said

@ simon: Huh? (You must be reading a different article, Simon.) Relative to the increase in housing values/prices, where's the "alarming" rate? (Never mind that said rate has actually declined.) To quote: "The report paints a positive picture of Canada's mortgage market....Canadians are being smart and responsible with their mortgages....it appears that a vast majority of mortgage holders have considerable capacity to afford rises in mortgage interest rates...The survey results speak to the strength of our mortgage market, especially when compared to the United States." Where's the big fear-inducing "negative" hiding, Simon? You're simply projecting your own partisan-wishful, argumentative bias on something that entirely counters it. Lastly, drawing a direct parallel between the nation of Canada and the state of Florida, just because mortgage debt has increased in dollar terms, is nothing short of scientifically silly. (The underlying economic fundamentals and market realities are completely different.)

Seyne
said

To Jon Voyt who says realtors are to blame for rising home prices how do you get that? The problem is that homeowners started to think of a home as an investment instead of a place to live. They then expected it to continue to rise in value at an unsustainable rate thanks to home flipping shows, low interest rates etc. Its best to look at it as a place to live that will give you equity back later on in the mortgage, not in the first 5 years and not to your landlord, but to you.


John Good
said

Debt can be a good thing as long as it's incurred to purchase an equity asset that rises in value. Many people will end up retiring with the equity they built up in their home. Yes, if real estate is crashing, your'e better off renting, but then the total rent money is "out the window"...better to be making payments on an appreciating asset..and with interest rates so low...it's a non-issue



Doug # BC
said

WOW!!! Some woefully uniformed comments about what drives interest rates and who loses and who benefits when they change.I would also suggest that "Max in Vancouver" do a little mathi himself.We survived an era when mortgate rates hit 19.5%,and "Max" is whining about the rates today.Get real. In fact,banks,like governments,have little money of their own.Most of the money they lend out to borrowers belongs to depositors.The rate of interest paid to the "savers" has to be deducted from the rate they charge for the mortgage.It is not the mortage rate that determines the profit level.It is the difference between what the bank had to pay top get the money,and what they charge the borrower.(the spread) Most of the interest you pay is income for people who save. Governments input is another matter.Lowering rates stimulates the economy,sometines.But lower them to much and the dollar drops.We may have more dollars,but those dollars buy a lot less. From my perspective in't not mortgage debt that is killing us.It's consumer debt for ttinkets,travel, and toys.Mortgage debt reminds me of the the debt I took on to buy the tools I needed to earn a living.Yes,I paid interest.BUT,earnings I got as time went by,paid the interest AND paid enough profit to raise a family.Like a mortgage,GOOD debt. However,the money I borrowed to buy a new car and take a vacation.NOT so good.The vacation ended,the car depreciated,and I was still paying off the loan. BAD DEBT. Excess debt is a problem.But don't blame banks or government for poor choices made by consumers.The real GREED is expecting to use other peoples money withpout paying for the use of it.


Stewie
said

It looks like a big bubble to me. As home prices fall people own less equity in their home, currently I can rent for 50% less than if I owned. I notice prices falling in the outskirts, that's where the erosion starts not in the city.


URU
said

So from what I am reading from this report is that Canada will be hit with a meltdown just like the US has suffer. Its a matter of time before foreclosure takes its coarse.


frank
said

I totally agree with stay away from debt. I started off with a home I could actually afford even though the bank pre-approved me for double for what I actually bought at the time. From there, I flipped it to another home to another home and I live now in a almost debt-free home of 2100 square feet.

My advice to all future or current homeowners, LIVE WITHIN YOUR MEANS! Don't get a house which you can barely afford because once interest rates go up, you'll be unable to meet your payments.

FREE advice which banks and brokers DON'T give you!


simon
said

Time to read this headline for what it is.. Canadians household debt increasing at an alarming rate. @Pie Chart. Lets not forget that in Florida at few years ago they would have had a similar headline... Not such a good news story there is it. Just a thought.


Brian Fr Langley
said

Happily for debt holders the U.S has their printing presses running triple overtime, which typically means inflation, so you'll be paying back your debt at 90 cents, 80 cents or even 50 cent dollars. That is of course assuming you still have a job after the U.S. Federal reserve has managed to wreck, I mean fix the U.S economy.


thetruth1028
said

Actually, in some places rent costs as much or more than a mortage.


CMQ
said

In the city where I live buying a home and having a mortgage can end up being half the cost of monthly rent. Rent is expensive here and I know for myself I save half by owning my own home. I also know the RE market and mortgages and know others who are buying pay so much less. So, the 1 trillion can be looked at as Canadians are choosing to invest in a home or land instead of throwing money away in rent. That puts a whole different spin on this story!!!!


Andrea
said

Simple solution, don't buy a house or condo unless you know you have the funds to pay for it.With the way things are going , better off to rent , or save money up, or sell of the house if you can't afford it.Too many people are over spending just to put on some prestige show which is so fake.Well, now those that this, are now paying the price.Get realistic.


Merv The Perv
said

Pie chartThat's what people OWE. How is that a good thing??


Max in Vancouver
said

Do the math folks. $1 trillion x the average mortgage rate of 4.55% and you will now understand how the banks can report billions of dollars of profit per year. Think about that. The bank is a holding house, lending artifically (10 x deposits) to borrows. They produce nothing, they grow nothing, they build nothing and they make the most profits of any business. Somehow this is just wrong!


Nanook
said

Nice time to own a bank, isn't it???


Paul in SJ
said

It is of little surprise when the banks so eagerly approve a 50 yr mortgage for a $450,000 home to some one who has an annual income of under $65,000....


Gordon
said

Here's an interesting concept:More people = more housing.More housing = more housing owners.More owners = more debt.No surprise here... as long as there are more people and housing built, debt is only going to increase. Debt per capita would be a much better way to measure this.


Prof. Pye Chartt
said

A rather negative (read: alarmist) headline that seems quite silly upon reading a very POSITIVE story. (Real estate values/prices have increased significantly, so, correspondingly, mortgage debt has increased.)


MeatHead
said

'and could even handle an increase in their interest rate.'Great -thanks for telling the government they can jack up rates and harvest more money from the people.


stay away from debt
said

I've started out with a trailer (cash sale) and flipped real estate over 25 yrs, never a mortgage and now have a nice ocean view home (no mortgage). I can't imagine paying so much interest that I'd be paying my home value twice over.....and most of these people own less than half the value of their homes? How will they retire? The only reason why houses are so expensive now, is that debt is so available....


Jon Voyt
said

We have the relators to thanks for raising house prices. To consider that every house actually make 3 % gains after 2-3 years is absurd.


Will
said

Just like reporting on movie gross revenues, this report is meaningless because there is no common context. Of course the $$$$ figure is higher than before, for the simple fact that the cost of living (and buying a house) is higher. If wages are higher, the cost of actually purchasing something is higher, and the other expenses associated with living are higher then you have to expect that the numbers associated with debt will also be higher. But that doesn't mean that there has been any significant change in debt ratio.

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