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Budget watchdog at odds with Harper on pension plan
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CTVNews.ca Staff
Date: Wed. Feb. 8 2012 11:24 PM ET
The oncoming demographic time bomb of baby boomers retiring won't cause a fiscal crisis Canada's budget watchdog said Wednesday, despite the Harper government's repeated assertions to the contrary.
Parliamentary Budget Officer Kevin Page said in a report that the federal government will have the fiscal ability to enrich benefits for seniors and cut taxes, if they choose to do so.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper set off a political firestorm in January after suggesting in a speech delivered in Davos that it was a priority of his government to reform pension benefits.
Since then, government ministers have repeatedly said Canada's pension system is "unsustainable" and in "crisis."
During question period in the House of Commons Wednesday, the opposition demanded to know why the government is taking that position.
Interim Liberal Leader Bob Rae said Page's report is proof the Conservatives only have a political agenda in mind for changing the pension benefit system.
"The report says clearly there is no fiscal issue with the federal pension plan in Canada, none whatsoever. The only risk to Old Age Security . . . is the government of Canada," he said.
Defence Minister Peter MacKay said no Canadian currently receiving Old Age Security benefits would lose a "red cent" under any changes made by his government.
He then quoted former prime minister Jean Chretien who said "everyone recognizes that demographic changes in our society mean that we will have to make changes to ensure that our pension system remains sustainable for future Canadians."
NDP MP Wayne Marston asked why the Conservatives are "upsetting Canadians for no good reason" when Page says the system is sustainable.
One of the potential changes that the government has not denied it is contemplating is raising the age of eligibility for OAS from 65 to 67.
Marston asked the question directly to the government during question period.
Minister of Human Resources Diane Finley answered the question, saying the government would "take care of seniors" but did not directly respond to the OAS eligibility age issue.
Rae said the government's plans will "hurt poor people."
Page's report
The PBO report says the government's burden to pay for aging senior will increase -- from 14.8 per cent of program spending today to 20.9 per cent in 2030-31-- but it won't break the bank.
"PBO's updated long-term debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) show that the federal fiscal structure is sustainable even under the baseline assumption that there is some additional enrichment to elderly benefit payments," the report states.
"This indicates that... the federal government could reduce revenue, increase program spending or some combination of both by 0.4 per cent of GDP annually while maintaining fiscal sustainability."
The Harper government has said that the total cost of OAS benefits, which are about $500 a month for Canadians over 65, will triple from $36 billion now to $108 billion by 2030.
Page said the cost will likely be about $142 billion by 2036-37.
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I feel that if certain organs were in demand, less effort would be made to revive people. Am I being silly? Not really. I had a bad experience in hospital when my heart stopped, the doctors tried to revive me and failed. They stopped and said I was gone. I came around on my own when the nurse was giving a final BP reading of 'zero'. I heard her declare me dead! It was all I could do to shake my head but they never caught on til I was able to open my eyes. You should have seen them scramble then! I thought the nurse was going to faint. The thing is, I think we may write people off too soon when there is something of value to be gained from them.
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BL
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Lorne-MTL
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Joan in Real World
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devils advocate
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Dilys
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Will
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Saskmike
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Libertarian
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A Koster
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Vets not Jets!
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Guelph Observer
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cyberclark
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No amount of reasoning is going to change his mind.
We have a dictator on our hands now folks; Time for an Arab Spring Canadian style! Long guns are legal again.
KC. BC
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Vanc Guy
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Christine
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J.C.
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bcken
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Terrified of getting to 65
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Christine
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Poor guy....
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Prairie taxpayer
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John Lethbridge
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Tom in Calgary
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senior taxpayer
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jjaycee
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Harper is a liar
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jimmy
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Rick Warner
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Mike in NB
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Prof. Pye Chartt
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Wilson
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peter in mb
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No to OAS eligibility increase
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allan
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James
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peter in mb
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Bumcrack USA
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Dave in Edm
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Cynical
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Wendy
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A Koster
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Lorne
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Larry I ontario
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James
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Frank Buchan
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Doug ^^^ BC
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tax expert
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D in Wpg
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Canadian Bob
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JD
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H
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Debbie
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Scott in Langley
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thetruth
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Ottawa Jack
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Paul
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Jarrett
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Purrsun
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MIkeW
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sunshine70
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Saskmike
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Larry S
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Shar
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Hans
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as for Billymoon....and you are an economist, who knows what he is talking about? Mr. Page IS such a one...i would trust what he says any day over your conservative ideology.
Will
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kg1
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Dale
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simone
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Taxpayer
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Bob in Chatham
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DON AITKEN - Kelowna BC
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Billymon
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Marisha
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One thing I suggest thought if everyone is supposed to bite the bullet. Politicians shouldn't be able to collect their fatcat pensions until they're 167. Their pensions are one of the first things that should be reviewed!
Injured Vets pensions. OAS. NEXT
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steve
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Jeremy
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Guelphite
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Jeremy
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