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Home sales in Canada creep higher in December

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Date: Monday Jan. 16, 2012 6:06 PM ET

Home sales across Canada continued to creep up in December but modest gains overall suggest the once red-hot housing market may cool down in 2012.

National sales activity rose 1.8 per cent from November to December, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Monday. That's the fourth month in a row sales activity has increased.

That uptick in activity helped push sales to almost 457,000 units last year, or a 2.2 per cent increase over 2010.

While these are positive gains, a glance at the national average price for homes sold in December 2011 hints at waning activity.

Using a figure that isn't seasonally adjusted, the CREA reported that the national average price for homes sold last December was $347,801, just 0.9 per cent above the average selling price in December 2010.

Putting it into perspective, the CREA noted that it's the smallest increase since October 2010.

"Momentum for national sales activity and average price remains positive but is slowing," CREA's Chief Economist Gregory Klump said in a prepared statement.

He said it appeared that low interest rates weren't causing the market to "overheat."

The development comes as Canadian banks such as BMO, TD and Royal Bank promote lower, discounted interest rates to potential customers. The Bank of Canada has warned Canadian buyers to be wary of these types of deals, noting that the monthly payments are bound to increase.

Klump predicts that activity will ebb a bit more in 2012, partly due to lower prices on high-ticket homes.

"High end home sales seem unlikely to spike again in the first quarter like they did at the beginning of 2011, so national average price momentum may wane further over the next few months," he said in the statement.

Economists have long predicted a housing sales slowdown in 2012, a forecast that is tied to rising consumer debt levels and slow wage growth.

In a recent report, BMO Capital Markets economist Robert Kavcic echoed that sentiment, writing that the CREA's December figures could signify a slower market.

"Looking ahead to 2012, cooler housing activity should prevail as elevated household debt levels, shaky confidence and a weakened job market counter extremely low mortgage rates," he said.

Royal LePage Real Estate Services, the country's largest real estate broker, has predicted the price of homes will keep going up this year. It did, however, anticipate a slower price growth in Toronto and Vancouver.

With files from The Canadian Press

Comments are now closed for this story

Reid
said

I used to complain about the rising cost of houses but after years of hearing about the correction that never came I decided enough was enough and bought a 800 sq ft condo. Of course it is small but I have a great view and it beats the heck out of living in Vancouver in a 390 sq ft to 480 sq ft cubicle called a "studio apartment" - ahh, I remember living in a studio unit once upon a time, except it was a bedroom in my moms house. No thank you! Besides, they dont make A-Team posters I could pin on the wall. Studio condo...pffftt!!!!


Jack - AB
said

True, the real estate market in the USA has cooled off and even nosed dived in some cities. Yet in Canada house prices remain on the higher side. What gives? Anyways, 2012 is the year housing will cool off more that is why banks dropped the rates yet again to keep the demand up for buying houses. Great getting a super low mortgage rate but who wants that $500K mortgage to go with it?


Herry69
said

this doesn't make any sense whatsoever. the economy is lousy but we still have home builders and real estate corporations cranking up the prices so that the average person WILL NEVER ever own their own home. the greedy get greedier. this is why we have a, "occupy protest" movement going on.


Reece
said

Some people are always hoping for some correction. There is no bubble and no evidence of a bubble yet these clowns draw a parrellel between our banking and regulatory system to the American one - TWO DIFFERENT systems! Americans were unregulated. CEOs were giving away these mortgages and encouraging people to lie on their applications and in turn these mortgages were sent to the derivitive markets that were unregulated and anyone involved directly or indirectly in those markets got burned. People didnt even realize their assets were involved in such markets. Thats what LESS GOVERNMENT IS ABOUT - less cops on the financial beat, actually, NO cops on the financial beat to ensure there are no shanigans. Less govt is not about less people at the DMV it means crooked Wall Street execs could steal money and flee to the tropics as you lose your house, pension and life. We have no system in Canada and this is why we havent lost a single bank - BIG GOVT = GOOD, LESS GOVT = BAD.


Prof. Pye Chartt
said

@ Steve O: Spare us the usual anti-Harper tripe. Immigration has been a key "ECONOMIC STRATEGY" that this country has long pursued. Unsurprisingly, the Liberals (always looking for votes with enthusiastic pandering) have proposed raising our annual immigration to 1% of population. (The NDP has indicated that an even higher level would be optimum.) The fact of the matter is, as it pertains to the Canadian real estate market, low interest rates, immigrants WITHOUT bags of money -- those willing to bust their ass, collectively, as a family unit, at WHATEVER job they can secure in order to take advantage of what this country offers -- and younger, educated, up-and-coming Canadian citizens have had, statistically, the greatest impact on property prices over the last decade, not the "rich" Chinese and Indians to which you refer. Our real estate market, nationally, isn't represented solely by the Vancouver condo market and mini mansions scattered about the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). Thanks.


Tim
said

Hahahaha, Steve O. Brilliant.


Doubtful
said

Figures don't lie, but liars can figure.Canadian should be thankful that the housing market has not yet tumbled. I'm currently in Florida where very nice 2 bedroom two baths in a 55 plus retirement complex goes from $2500.00 to $15,000.00 depending on condition. And some of them are furnished. Houses that sold for $300,000.00 three years ago can now be had for $150,000.00 and are not selling.


Steve O
said

We can thank our PM for the ever increasing cost of housing, he has opened up the immigration doors wide open to allow wealthy people from India & China to come here with bags of cash buying up our real estate and putting home prices out of reach for the average Canadian. Immigration level have never been as high as they are now but hey this makes it look like were doing good when in fact it's forcing more Canadians into poverty. If communism is so bad where did all these Chinese people get the big bags of cash that they bring here. Harper is destroying the lives of many Canadians to make it look like every thing is fine.


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