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Canada among nations headed for slowdown: OECD
CTVNews.ca Staff
Date: Monday Nov. 14, 2011 12:21 PM ET
Canada, along with the United States, China and others is heading towards an economic slowdown in the coming months, according to a report from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.
The OECD issued its composite leading indicator (CLI) report Monday, showing that the rate had fallen for the seventh consecutive month in September, hitting 100.4.
In August the CLI was 100.9.
Canada's CLI fell 0.4 points to 99.4, down from 99.8 in August and 101.2 in May. Canada's leading indicator has been falling for several months, largely due to the slow global economic recovery and sluggish growth in the U.S.
The Paris-based organization said numbers were down across the board for member countries, and the results for many fell below their long-term averages.
Overall the news was grim, the OECD said.
"Compared to last month's assessment, the CLIs point more strongly to slowdowns in all major economies," the OECD said in a statement.
The CLI is designed to "anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend."
"Turning points of CLIs tend to precede turning points in economic activity relative to long-term trend by approximately six months," stated the report.
However, it is considered a broad measure and doesn't analyze the speed of a recovery or slowdown.
The report suggested that the CLI numbers for Japan, Russia and the U.S. all point to a likely future slowdown in the long-term growth average.
Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the U.K., Brazil, China, India and the European Union all show economic activity has already slipped below their long term averages.
Following are some key CLIs for September, with the number for August in brackets. The long-term average for each country or group is 100.
Following are some key CLIs for September, with the number for August in brackets. The long-term average for each country or group is 100.
- Japan: 101.6 (102)
- U.S.: 101.2 (101.5)
- Canada: 99.4 (99.8)
- Germany: 99.1 (100.4)
- U.K.: 99 (99.8)
- France: 98.6 (99.3)
- Italy: 97.5 (98.5)
- OECD area: 100.4 (100.9)
- Euro area: 99.1 (99.9)
- Major five Asian nations: 99 (99.3)
- Major seven: 100.6 (101.1)
- Russia: 102.4 (102.6)
- China: 99.8 (99.9)
- Brazil: 94 (95.1)
- India: 93.8 (94.4)
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It is about time - as a grandparent I have watched our kids (who were allowed to fail although I do remember some nagging on our part) learn, I have watched our children now micro-manage their children. A big part of it is the fact that there are predators out there and an extreme reluctance on the parents part to alllow freedom that might result in the children becoming victims.
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Jonathan from Saskatoon
said
dteve dunn
said
Deliverence?
said
LS
said
DJ
said
Jim in Ottawa
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Paul
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Second, beyond speculators, whom people love to blame for market volatility, consider this as a likely explanation for rising commodity prices: emerging market growth around the world= higher demand for commodities = higher prices. Also consider that governments around the world are devaluing their currencies in an attempt to inflate their troubled economies. Therefore: increase in money supply= decrease in value; therefore, it only makes sense that prices increase as a result. I'm sure speculators do impact market prices in some form or another, but at the end of the day, they follow the market. They don't make it.
For some reason we always love to blame others for our current situation. I think if you want to blame someone, blame the governments in Europe who spent beyond their means. Blame their citizens for allowing it to happen. And blame the banks who lent them the money.
Rob Calgary
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Freeman
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Lou R
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I wonder how fast that money would come out of hiding.
Jess
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hollis
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just sayin'
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az
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Will
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Brian fr Langley
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PEI Fella
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George V.
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kevin
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Parker Brown
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Dave
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