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A pedestrian walks past the New York Stock Exchange on earl in New York, on Friday, Aug. 5, 2011. (AP /Jin Lee) Debt showdown BNN Host Marty Cej appears on CTV News Channel on Saturday, Aug. 6, 2011. BNN Host Marty Cej appears on CTV News Channel on Saturday, Aug. 6, 2011.

Will lower U.S. credit rating hurt Canada's economy?

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CTV News Video

CTV National News: Tom Walters on the fallout
The U.S. government is in damage control following the first-ever downgrade of its credit rating. Many are wondering just what impact the downgrade will have on the U.S. economy.
CTV National News: Marty Cej, BNN
The managing editor of BNN says the Canadian dollar could actually rise as a result of the downgrade of the U.S. government's credit rating.
CTV News Channel: Peter Schiff, CEO and author
The CEO of Euro Pacific Capital and author of the book 'How the Economy Grows and Why it Crashes' explains the impact of the downgrading of the U.S. government's credit rating on the U.S. economy.
CTV News Channel: Thomas Caldwell, CEO
The CEO of Caldwell Securities says interest rates in the U.S. will probably go up instantaneously, but it is new territory and not all credit agencies have not followed suit with the S&P. He says it will affect Canada first in the equity markets.
CTV News Channel: Grant Amyot, professor
A political sciences professor at Queen's University in Kingston says it's not that the U.S. economy is too weak to sustain this debt, but that there's been a lack of political will to put through the changes that are needed to deal with the deficit and debt problem.
CTV News Channel: Ian Lee, Carlton University
A professor at the Sprott School of Business at Carleton University says a country's credit rating affects the interest rate what they borrow. He says because this is uncharted territory for the U.S., there's no telling what affect the credit downgrade will have.
CTV National News: Michael Hainsworth, BNN
A correspondent with Business News Network discusses the U.S. credit downgrade, and explains what implications this will have.

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A pedestrian walks past the New York Stock Exchange on earl in New York, on Friday, Aug. 5, 2011. (AP /Jin Lee) Debt showdown BNN Host Marty Cej appears on CTV News Channel on Saturday, Aug. 6, 2011. BNN Host Marty Cej appears on CTV News Channel on Saturday, Aug. 6, 2011.

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A pedestrian walks past the New York Stock Exchange on earl in New York, on Friday, Aug. 5, 2011. (AP /Jin Lee)

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Date: Sat. Aug. 6 2011 7:46 PM ET

As the United States begins to face the new reality that their credit rating isn't what it used to be, investors and economists are beginning to measure the potential global ripples caused by the U.S. credit downgrade.

Credit rating agency Standard and Poor's hit the U.S. with its first-ever debt rating demotion on Friday, a decision that BNN host Marty Cej says should concern Canadians.

"There are two main implications: one for the Canadian dollar and the other one just for Canadian exports," he told CTV News Channel on Saturday.

Cej likened the downgrade to a chain reaction. He explained that investor anxieties surrounding S&P's decision might hurt the American dollar.

An increasingly weak greenback could mean that "all the goods we sell from Canada and into the U.S. are incrementally more expensive and a little less competitive," he said.

"If you have the U.S. economy beginning to slow…that's the end of demand for Canadian goods as well," said Cej, who has followed financial markets in Europe, Canada and the U.S. for more than a decade.

Canada's finance minister said on Friday that the recent economic uncertainty may have some adverse effects on the Canadian economy, but he said the country is well positioned to deal with the "global headwinds."

"Canada is not an island," Jim Flaherty said in a statement. "We are a trading nation, with about a third of output generated by exports and deep linkages with the U.S. economy."

But Flaherty noted that the country's budgetary position is among the strongest in the world and Canada's financial systems remain strong.

The U.S. downgrade announcement came just days after Washington settled on a plan to reduce the nation's debt by $2 trillion.

While the debt-ceiling agreement was meant to lessen anxiety about the nation's $14 trillion national debt, news of the U.S. credit downgrade seems to have overshadowed any economic relief.

A recent report by global research firm JPMorgan Chase & Co. estimates that S&P's downgrade will cost the U.S. $100-billion a year from now on.

Cej maintains that those numbers should matter to Canadians.

"That drags the Canadian economy down, it goes right to Canadian profits and Canadian profits lead to Canadian jobs," he said.

Cej's warning comes a day after Statistics Canada released a report indicating that the Canadian unemployment rate slipped to 7.2 per cent in July -- it's lowest level since December 2008.

Though the long-term effects of the U.S. credit downgrade are still uncertain, Cej warned Canadian job seekers that "if profits aren't rising, companies aren't hiring."

But Ian Lee, a Carleton University business professor, said he believes that Canada could stand to benefit from the U.S. credit rating downgrade.

Lee said he predicts that several businesses in the U.S. will move to Canada in the coming years, seeking a safe refuge from financial uncertainty.

"I predict we're going to see an increased number of businesses relocating to Canada…to obtain the lower borrowing rate, lower taxes and the security of the economy," he told CTV News Channel on Saturday.

While the U.S. lost its top-shelf credit rating on Friday, Canada still has its "AAA" grade from S&P.

With files from the Associated Press and the Canadian Press

Comments are now closed for this story

gregoryd
said
0 0

We heard all this doom and gloom about our high dollar but Heck were doing just fine. Our unemployment is declining our manufacturing sector is doing ok so maybe a high dollar is good for Canadians who want to buy american goods. The only problem is we are being gouged by companies selling american goods in Canada. They are not giving us the lower prices. Where is all this free maket competition that is supposed to govern the prices we pay for US goods eh. We are getting ripped off on automobiles, books and just about everything coming from the us. So stop the doom and gloom. The world isn't coming to an end because our dollar is high.


d
said
0 0

Why on earth do you, the news, cause and feed the hype with pessimism and pessimistic so called experts that have a 50/50 track record. Where is the optimism or at leased balanced investigative reporting.


Bob Anderson
said
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First, not sure Mr. Cej would call himself an economist...he's a host and reporter as far as I know. And whether or not the US downgrade will hurt Canada is simply a matter of our exports to the US...if our dollar goes up exports will go down, if the US economy cools our exports will go down...etc. Not a great news item this...quote from one of your own reporters as an authority...and then take what he said out of context.


john
said
0 0

investors are money leaches conning the world to fatten their wallets. They add nothing and take money with no thought other than how big their bank accounts grow. Do you think honest people get their money that way or care what the price of commodities are except in most cases the prices are super inflated because of stupid investor practices.


Trevor in the Hat
said
0 0

OK, I'm confused. Previously when the Canadian dollar was stong comapred to the US dollar we were toldit was bad for exporters because everything is based in US dollars and therefore we get less money for what we sell. Now this guy is saying if the Canadian dollar is stronger the the US dollar everything we sell will be more expensive so they will stop buying from us. In another report it mentions that a lot of US based businesses may move to Canada for the lower taxes and better economy which I think would be a good thing and incidently exactly what the Conservatives said would happen by keeping our corporate taxes low. Ask 10 different economists the same question adn you will get 10 different answers but the worst doom and gloom answer will always be the headline.


DON
said
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CANADA will help them out.Our country just loves to give away tax payers money.We will be the next 3rd world country if HARPER has his way.And we will also be a communist country also.


Boatgirl
said
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Maybe if the news were to quit reporting economists thoughts (they all vary) panic would not set in and all would be well.Canada has a lot going for itself so let's be positive and strong and show the rest of the world we are a great country to do business in!


JD - Happenings - BC
said
0 0

Yes, let's always ensure that the media creates and magnifies the panic - that is what the world is ruled by - fear and greed. The markets will tank in the short term but then greed will overcome that fear as it always does. That's what this mess in the US is based on. But Canadians dont have to immediately jump on the band wagon. For once, we should show some backbone. We do have one though we rarely see it.And then read the bottom part of the article - that should have been the premise of the article; and that is what should be of interest to Canadians and make us proud - that companies might actually come here or better, we might actually be able to buy Canadian companies back - and there is an entire universe out there to trade with by the way.


Jebus Widowmaker
said
0 0

Anything that hurts the US hurts Canada. Our systems are so inter-graded that a financial collapse to the US pulls Canada down too. We are to depended on the United States for our economic future we're going to feel the pain too. We need to expand our trade so we become less depended on our closest neighbour.


Greg in Cambridge
said
0 0

See what constant,unnecessary overspending gets you?Too many idiotic Wars and over-the-top costs to fight them....just to lose in the end.


canadian
said
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Any reason to kill the dollar.You still need certain exports to the U.S.A no matter what there credit rating is.I'm sure china will pick up the slack.They have already surpassed lumber exports.


BuzzerKiller
said
0 0

Simple Answer: STOP MAKING DEALS WITH THE STATES. Invest elsewhere! Sell our commodities elsewhere and leave the States buried in their own mess they, themselves, made.


Sorry, this is incorrect Mr. Cej
said
0 0

Canada is a large, resource rich, predominantly English speaking country with a robust banking sector, moderate taxation and low interest rates. Our currency is stable and the government in on course to balance it's budget and we have a AAA credit rating. Many American companies have actually been increasing their operations in Canada due to the poor economic conditions at home. This move will actually help us increase our exports to other countries and will make Canada attractive to US manufacturers. I don't know where Mr. Cej got his economics education but this isn't the first time he's been dead opposite wrong.


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