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Realtor Tim Foy of Midtown Realty looks at a home for sale in Menlo Park, Calif., Tuesday, Jan. 27, 2009. (AP / Paul Sakuma) A sold sign is seen in front of a home in the Toronto area in this undated image taken from video.

Home sales plummeted 30 per cent in July

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CTV News Video

Canada AM: Grant Bishop, economist
An economist for TD Bank Financial Group discusses how Canadian housing sales have sunk 30 per cent. He says a cooling of sales was anticipated, and people can expect another year of ongoing decline, with approximately five per cent to come off the national average.
CTV National News: Richard Madan on the decline
A new report by the Canadian Real Estate Association finds that national housing sales were down by 30 per cent in June, compared to a year ago. Experts say the drop was due largely to a decline in demand in Ontario and B.C. due to the HST on new homes.
CTV British Columbia: Maria Weisgarber reports
Nationwide housing sales sank last month compared to this time last year. Declines home sales in B.C. are being blamed on the HST, but some say there's more at play. Maria Weisgarber reports.
CTV News Channel: Amparo Cardenas, broker
A mortgage broker with the Canadian mortgage brokerage firm, Invis, says the 30 per cent drop is a short-term adjustment and several factors led to the housing slump including mortgage regulations and the HST, while also saying home sales peaked before spring and summer.
CTV News Channel: BNN's Michael Hainsworth
A BNN correspondent says rising interest rates and HST caused home prices to fall and new listings are down, while also saying once housing prices are corrected the price of a home will rise on par with the cost of inflation.
CTV News Channel: BNN's Brett Harris explains
Many people were trying to beat the HST earlier this year by buying a home, but TD Bank is predicting another 10 per cent drop in home sales. The good news is the Royal Bank has dropped its mortgage rate for the second time since August.
CTV News Channel: Peter Kinch, consultant
A mortgage consultant with the Dominion Lending Centres says the current sales activity was predictable, and buying spikes based on things like HST were unfounded.

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Realtor Tim Foy of Midtown Realty looks at a home for sale in Menlo Park, Calif., Tuesday, Jan. 27, 2009. (AP / Paul Sakuma) A sold sign is seen in front of a home in the Toronto area in this undated image taken from video.

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Realtor Tim Foy of Midtown Realty looks at a home for sale in Menlo Park, Calif., Tuesday, Jan. 27, 2009. (AP / Paul Sakuma)

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Date: Mon. Aug. 16 2010 10:06 PM ET

Housing sales dropped by 30 per cent nationwide last month, largely due to a new tax in British Columbia and Ontario experts say deterred home buyers in two of the country's hottest housing markets.

The Canadian Real Estate Association on Monday reported a 6.8 per cent drop in home sales through its MLS service, compared with June numbers. The decline is part of a gradual dampening of Canada's once-booming real estate market.

B.C. and Ontario account for roughly 85 per cent of the slump, as the implementation of the harmonized sales tax this summer pushed many home buyers to purchase earlier this year, the association said in a statement.

The two provinces typically represent more than half of the country's sales.

"Canadians were anticipating this change and it affected the sale of their home or the purchase of their home, and they decided to make that sale earlier than expected," said the CREA's Alyson Fair.

The decline also comes on the heels of an interest-rate hike as well as tighter mortgage rules, which may contribute to an even softer market in the months ahead, experts said.

Experts are forecasting that average home prices will drop by about 10 per cent.

"We've come over a hump in prices and we're moving down into a valley," Grant Bishop of TD Economics told CTV News. "And we'll be going downhill probably until mid-2011."

But others say the real estate market is far from bottoming out.

"We're not seeing a huge slide," BNN's Andrew Bell told CTV News Channel on Monday.

"Things were pretty frenetic last year… We're actually still up year-on-year on sales, prices are holding -- so we're not seeing a dive in the housing market by any means."

So far, this year's sales are up 5.6 per cent from the first seven months of 2009. But experts predict that lead to fade in the next few months, since sales grew dramatically in the second half of last year.

Activity peaked last December as home buyers who had held off during the recession let loose on the market and took advantage of low interest rates.

That momentum lasted through the first half of this year, fuelled by fear of the HST, interest rate hikes and changes to mortgage rules.

Still, sales fell in six of the last seven months, dropping 25 per cent in the past three months alone, said Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist at the Bank of Montreal. That signals a shift towards a buyer's market, he added.

British Columbia showed the largest decline at 14.1 per cent, with Ontario in second place with an eight-per-cent decrease. Activity in the Prairies and Quebec was level with June numbers.

"We (and many others) were consistently warning of a significant second-half slowdown in housing activity but, if anything, the cooling looks even a bit chillier than expected," Porter wrote in a report Monday.

With files from The Canadian Press

Comments are now closed for this story

Scott McFadyen
said

Let`s avoid a double dip recession please!!!


beentheredonethat
said

Wow that was a great Idea to tax people coming out of a recession Really pure genius ! The guy that came up with that idea should be fired!


Bubbleville
said

"Quit panicking. We knew this was coming, and we knew why. Its not earth-shattering, and for those of us in the economic engine of the country - the Prairie provinces - it's business as usual."======================================Jim by business as usual do you mean the huge drop in sales in Alberta? The Alberta Boom is over, Saskatchewan will very soon follow. We should expect to see the largest drop in home values in the West and Toronto in the East. The Bubble has reached its peak, it's now popping time. Just look across the border if you need an example of how it will play out.


Sam
said

People have woken to the fact that the prices are ridiculous & just aren't buying especially with the economy the way it is.


Johnny
said

The big banks have not stopped lending money...you are reading US news. The US banks have stopped lending money, the Canadian banks it's business as usual.


steve
said

This is only the beginning of the bad news people. More to follow.


Mike R.
said

While I'll agree that the Hated Sales Tax certainly has to do with some of this, I wouldn't put the blame on that alone. There new down payment requirements (which are more realistic to avoid people getting into trouble in spite of themselves and not being able to pay their house in the medium term) are another factor. And the prices???!?!?!?!!!!!!!!!!! The real estate market was out of control, with prices going through the roof (no pun intended.) The things I've seen go for insane prices over the past few months certainly warrant a slowdown and a readjustment. We were headed into a zone where even people with a more than decent salary couldn't possibly afford a reasonably-sized house without having to eat Kraft Dinners for the next 15-20 years.


F M
said

The HST has no impact on resale houses of any value and no impact on homes less than $ 400,000. Interest rates are still historically low. The pent up demand has been satiated and the housing market is observing an extended lent period. It will get back to normal by year end.


David
said

Wrong move, wrong time., wrong decision makers.


Larry I Ontario
said

Time to toss McGuinty and Harper out of office. This HST is killing business!!! What a dumb idea bringing this regressive tax in the middle of a major reccesion. We must elect people that will stop doing these crazy things. They could not care less what you think. Bring on the election and don't vote for either of these two clowns!!!!!


David_GB
said

NS. Please note it was the Harper government that pushed Ontario to adopt the HST.And I don't for 1 second believe the HST is having a major impact on people's decision to buy a home. It is much more related to Flaherty's tinkering with the lending stuff, mortgage rate increases and the economy in general.People don't thing about spending big bucks when they see potential risks to the economy. (their jobs, possible mortgage rate increases and possible house price reductions). Why buy now when you may be able to in the future at a lower price. (it's called deflation) all you have to do is look accross the border for possibilities.


brenda
said

They wanted to slow everything down, so congratulations! The gov changed the way people could buy homes and now they can't.You can't buy a revenue property to help out with the mortgage payments without a 20% down payment...that's a heap of cash to try to save. Well you get what you want sometime, but it's not what you need all the time.Too bad. I hope they see the errors they are making.


Taxed Enough Already in Sask
said

It's about time that people REALLY pushed back against the level of taxation in this country...it's ridiculous and merely feeds spendthrift politicians at all levels of government...quit spending and start cutting taxes!!


Doug
said

Home sales plummeting? Good! Finally!I moved two years ago and it was a full time job keeping bankers, lawyers, movers and utility companies from picking my pocket!Too many porkers making too much money thanks to the housing market.No wonder developers and their politician friends are shovelling high density housing taxpayers into every city and town in Ontario!


Gul.e.bull
said

Oh! I thought they were to rise continually for eternity...like the stock market...


Melaque
said

Is it accurate to claim the HST is the sole factor in sales figures? Developers and brokers have misled the public.In BC there is no HST on existing homes - only the Vander Zalm tax. If a new home is under $525,000 - just the Vander Zalm tax. New & over $525,000 an HST rebate of $26,000.


Sharon
said

Surprise! Surprise! Surprise! Looks like Ontario and BC have found out how much discretionary income was left in the pockets of the people. I think over every purchasing decision and have cut W-aaaa-y back. We do own 3 vehicles though, one GM, one Ford and one Chrysler. Yep, heat and taxes are more necessary than dining out or having a massage. Way to stall the financial come back of Canada!!!


Al
said

Sales will continue to drop, as people re-evaluate what the reality of the HST is on their budgets. The cost of basic needs in Ontario has skyrocketed in the last twelve months, and many have no faith that it will level off anytime soon. It would be nice if someone would publish true cost of living and inflation numbers, instead of the ones favourable to governments and employers who must pay cost of living allowances.I think it will be a very lean year for realtors.


Sue Coleman
said

The comment regarding REALTOR commissions is slightly misleading - REALTOR commissions prior to the introduction of the HST were subject to the GST (5%) and now our commissions are subject to the higher HST


Dean in Abby
said

Of course the HST had nothing to do with the spike in purchases in the first place right? Also, please note that if enough "expert" economists start telling the masses that there "may" be a problem with the economy, then sure enough, there are those who will assume that these jokers are correct. This can and will bring an end to some positive news in the economy. I wonder why we just can't say to keep buying as you normally would. Obviously, don't max out the credit card, but, carry on your normal buying patterns. I'm sure the world won't come to an end. Besides, the "experts" are very rarely correct in what they predict. How much of a prediction can it be if the signs already show that real estate is down? Who didn't know there would be a slow down after the HST was implemented? You don't need to be an economist "expert" to figure that one out!


Jim
said

Quit panicking. We knew this was coming, and we knew why. Its not earth-shattering, and for those of us in the economic engine of the country - the Prairie provinces - it's business as usual.


NS
said

It was a great time to up the HST, NOT!.... NS NDP has done the same...If all the political leaders combined their ideas, they still would not have a clue. This was a terrible time to raise taxes! Harper actually seems to have an idea, but does not have enough power to affect change.


PVT
said

Three cheers for the HST...


BigD
said

When you also add in the fact that intrest rates have gone up, and a whole bunch of lending institutions have stopped lending money, I am not surprised. In fact back when they were talking about raising the intrest rate I predicted that this would happen!


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