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Alberta election Alberta Premier Ed Stelmach casts his ballot at a polling station in Andrew, Alta. Monday, March 3, 2008. (Jonathan Hayward / THE CANADIAN PRESS) Alberta Liberal Party leader Kevin Taft casts his ballot in the Alberta provincial election at a polling station in Edmonton Monday, March 3, 2008. (Jeff McIntosh / THE CANADIAN PRESS)

No surprises expected in Alberta election

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Date: Mon. Mar. 3 2008 8:11 PM ET

Progressive Conservative Leader Ed Stelmach is facing his first test at the polls, but the election is widely expected to hand his party its 11th consecutive majority government.

"It feels good to bring the whole campaign to a close," Stelmach said Monday.

Stelmach's real battle is expected to be in dealing with Albertans' political apathy, as a low voter turnout is expected today.

In Edmonton, volunteers from all four major political parties were calling supporters and even driving them to polling stations to maximize their votes.

"Any little bit we can help get the vote out we're going to do that," said NDP volunteer Alan Boyle.

During the 28-day campaign, TV ads from Elections Alberta ran trying to guilt Albertans into voting booths. The ads chided lazy voters with fake testimonials from those who decided not to vote because they were stuck in a staring contest or unable to escape a living-room recliner.

Turnout in Alberta provincial elections going back to 1989 has been in the 53 per cent range, but it dipped to 45 per cent in 2004.

In 2004, two million Albertans were eligible to vote. But the number has since increased by half a million - primarily out-of-province workers who have moved to take advantage of Alberta's booming energy-based economy.

A low voter turnout is expected to hurt the Tories the most, possibly allowing for the opposition Liberals to make some inroads.

Liberal Leader Kevin Taft is hoping to solidify gains made in Edmonton in 2004 and take more seats in the traditionally Tory Calgary.

His first test

Stelmach won the Progressive Conservative leadership in December 2006, emerging as a compromise candidate in the fight to replace Ralph Klein, who led the party and province for 14 years. He's confident that he can continue his party's dominant election record.

"We have a good plan. It's achievable. It reflects all of the priorities that Albertans have talked about," Stelmach told reporters on Sunday.

Stelmach's party held 60 of the province's 83 seats heading into today's vote. The Tories have held power continuously since 1971, often winning massive majorities in the process.

Economically, the province has been enjoying a time of great prosperity. But the hyper-growth resulting from Alberta's energy resources boom has brought its own set of problems. The surge of newcomers in the past five years has put huge pressure on every major service -- health, education, housing and infrastructure.

Equipment operator Harrison Green moved to Alberta five years ago, has a well-paying job -- and lives in a homeless shelter because he can't afford his own place.

"The cost of living here is crazy," he said.

Alberta is Canada's carbon energy capital. Its oilsands deposits are seen as key to the province's economic future, but many feel their development in northeastern Alberta has spiralled out of control.

There are worries about labour shortages, the surging cost of construction -- and the environmental price of development. The oilsands are a very dirty fuel in terms of greenhouse gas emissions, and are largely extracted through strip mining.

Stelmach has refused to apply the brakes to oilsands development, even though some companies have suggested slowing the pace. His greenhouse gas plan won't even begin until 2020.

The opposition

The opposition parties have said this shows a lack of vision.

"It's about a new start for a great province that's frankly lost its way," Taft said Sunday. His party held 16 seats.

"They're saying they're unhappy, but they don't know what to do about it," Calgary Liberal candidate Tianna Melnyck claims she's hearing from long-time Tory supporters.

NDP Leader Brian Mason -- whose party holds four seats, all in Edmonton -- mainly hopes to carve out a larger slice of the legislature pie for his party.

He has tried arguing that the Tories will form another majority -- and the Liberals haven't done the job as the official opposition.

Most observers think the opposition really hasn't done much to damage the Tories during the campaign.

"They've taken maybe taken a couple chips out of what's solid granite," pollster Peter Donolo of The Strategic Counsel told CTV.ca. "There's no opposition party. The Liberals have been unable to establish themselves as the default beneficiaries of concern about the government."

"People do want change, but they don't know where to get it from," Albertan and former Reform party leader Preston Manning told CTV's Question Period on Sunday.

"The Liberal party really doesn't look like a government in waiting," University of Calgary political analyst Lisa Young told Canada AM on Monday. "They're $400,000 in debt, so they haven't been able to run much of a media campaign. So I think the weakness of the alternatives has been one of the things that has contributed to the strength of the Conservatives."

There are also two smaller parties of note.

The Wildrose Alliance is a conservative party that feels the governing Tories aren't right-wing enough. Leader Paul Hinman is currently the party's only MLA.

The Green Party has been running even with the NDP party but is expected to only challenge in a few ridings.

With a report from CTV's Jed Kahane and CTV Edmonton's Scott Roberts and files from The Canadian Press

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Cindy Husband
said
0 0

Voter turnout would be better if it were all done on computer and voters could just go to the nearest polling station to vote. Right now it's too disorganized and people are being asked to vote at stations that are not that close to where they reside when other polling stations are closer.

Also maybe voting should be made mandatory with a fine as a result of not voting.


IT Manager in Calgary
said
0 0

The only reason why the PCs are in power in Alberta is because people here are the most uneducated voters in the country. People vote PC because that's how their daddy voted. The PCs have become stale and arrogant and are out of touch with everyone who is not rich. We are by far the richest province - yet we have the longest wait times at hospitals, the highest priced education, and soon to be the worst record on the environment. The time for change is now. Go Team Taft!


Dave in South Calgary
said
0 0

I am a proud Albertan transplant from BC. Leaving BC and a union I was in, in the 90s was the best decision I ever made for myself and my family. Alberta rewards hard work.
If someone doesn't like Alberta stay away.
To those that love Alberta and are living here, get out and vote to give your 2 cents!



David
said
0 0

Liberals + National Energy Program = Conservative Majority for many decades to follow. Hard to imagine anyone born here who saw what happened because of that program would vote anything else.


woodytobiasjr
said
0 0

To all of those who are naive enough to think that people in Alberta are prospering think about this: In 2007 the average person in Ottawa made more money than the average person in Calgary or Edmonton. In 2006 it was Oshawa. Sure the average salary might be highest in Calgary, but all this means is that a few people are making piles of money.

If oil is discovered on my property it belongs to all Albertans. We don't have mineral rights.

If oil belongs to all Albertans why shouldn't the average person be better off than anywhere else in Canada? Why should it even be close?



bruno
said
0 0

"My B.C. relatives call Albertans "Alberians" which is an insult indicating a backwards, regressive place.”

You do understand that Alberta students place higher than any country in the world on standardized tests. In fact, according to Canadian statistics, your average rural Albertan is better educated than a lot of urban Canadians outside of Alberta. Finally, Calgary has the best educated adult population of any major city on the planet (most post-secondary years per capita) and Edmonton receives international renown for its public education system.

I suggest you tell your "buddies" in good ol’ BC to go back to lumber jacking and beachcombing.



Gregory Boudreau
said
0 0

It will be a conservative victory again, if it is not broken then why try and fix it?


Anne M
said
0 0

Well, I went to the polls and voted for the Wildrose Party. They seem to be the only credible ones who are willing to engineer a change. Good Luck guys.


PayMeAndBeQuiet
said
0 0

First before all the Albertans on this blog declare me a "welfare bum just looking for a free ride" simply for having sympathy for the poor - I have always had a good job, I own my place, I have savings etc, etc...

Hard work and self reliance are concepts everyone can honour BUT because of constant brainwashing by the cruel right wing rhetoric here, a lot of Albertans also wrongly believe in punishing the poor for being poor.

AISH and welfare rates are an abomination and anyone collecting from either program is subject to harrassment and insults by officials of the system and by many people who consider themselves "salt of the earth" Albertans.

I have lived here in Alberta almost 18 years and have refused to ever identify my self as an "Albertan". I would be embarrassed that anyone might think I was as harsh and uncaring as many here are.

My B.C. relatives call Albertans "Alberians" which is an insult indicating a backwards, regressive place.

Wanna know why I'm still here? I've been paid well... period There is NOTHING else to recommend this place.

I will take my loot back to live somewhere civilized when I have all that I want!


Wolf
said
0 0

Canadians outside of Alberta cannot possibly fathom Alberta politics. We have majority tyranny here, in the way we used to see in Duplessis era Quebec, or modern era pseudo-democracies like Russia. Many in our province would like change, but are afraid to vote against the government, lest they be subjected to collective punishment.
Edmontonians started electing opposition MLAs a few decades ago. Subsequently many government jobs and contracts left Edmonton under the guise of decentralization. Many Albertans acknowledge a causal relationship here. Dissent is punished, and fear is a strong motivation toward single party rule.


Rod
said
0 0

I'm an Albertan now living in Phoenix. 2 yrs ago bought a house for $600,000. It might now be worth $300,000. We have good credit(had) and are in a fixed mortgage. I've watched the price runup in Canada over the last few years. In markets like Calgary, the steam will run out, and then you can watch the bubble burst. It happened here, and eventually will happen there. Calgarians do you forget the huge real estate bubble burst in the 80's?


DJ
said
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Time for change is rampant in Alberta. The Liberals or NDP should do well. But they won't. They have no credible plans for Alberta that people can believe in and vote for. The Liberals are $400,000 in debt? Do you want these guys in power. If people want change the Liberals should be flying high with money and popularity. Until we get a credible Liberal party that understands what Albertans want, they will stay in an opposition role. Watch out for the Wildrose-Alliance party to do well in this election and quite well 4 years from now.


Jay
said
0 0

I love the people that move to Alberta because of the red hot ecomomy, are the first to vote for the same socialist parties that forced them to move in the first place!


James
said
0 0

T,

"Buying a house is one gamble that will always pay off."

You obviously haven't been paying attention to the news. People buying homes that they couldn't afford has single handedly brought the US to the brink of a recession. Hundreds of thousands lost their homes (i.e. they didn't sell it and get their money back, they just lost it). Losses from the housing crisis are estimated at $400 BILLION +. So NO, buying a house is NOT one gamble that will always pay off.

Brent,

Just because people are buying houses, doesn't mean they can afford it. It's called a mortgage. You know, that little thing where even if your industry slows down and you make less, you still have to pay the same amount? Again, you should really look into what is happening in the US right now, because it completely nullifies your argument.


Realist Albertan
said
0 0

While there is a lot of success to be had in Alberta, there are many who don't enjoy it. Not everyone does, or wants to, work in the oilfield. Some people can't. Although it may seem fine to vote conservative, this "realistic Albertan" has unwittingly hit the nail on the head in regards to the conservatives. If you want a government that does a poor job in regards to everything government is supposed to do, vote conservative. When the day comes that you do need healthcare, when there isn't enough water in Alberta to meet the needs of its citizens and industry, when northern Alberta turns into a toxic wasteland, when someone you love dies on highway 63, when the oil boom crashes and we have no other major income in this province, then will you still vote conservative?


brent/calgary
said
0 0

Jay,

I work wih a half dozen folks in thir 20s and all but 1 have bought a house or condo in the last 3 years. It's amusing that 'no one' can afford housing when Alberta has new houses being bought by who? Ghosts? Spirits?

Of course people can afford houses. There's tens of thousands of new ones built.


T
said
0 0

Too many people afraid of committment causes bad economy.

Quit renting, buy a house. Even a no downpayment mortgage is better than paying someone else to live in their unkept over priced rental. When rent starts costing more than a mortgage, it is time for people to think twice about how they spend their money.

Get started in a condo or older house. Go smaller not bigger for now. Live outside of town not in town. Buying a house is like living rent free because when you sell it, all of the money you put into your mortgage comes back and if you are really lucky, you get even more than you put in. Buying a house is one gamble that will always pay off.


Jay R.
said
0 0

Gee, Brent, that's great. What about the 40 year old who makes 60,000 a year and is still renting because there is no way he'll ever afford a house in this supercharged economy, fuelled by those 25 year olds in the oilpatch? Stelmach doesn't want rent controls or affordable housing and keeps insisting we need more workers here, not less. There's enough competition for scarce housing resources as it is!


Voting
said
0 0

Very little in way of change will happen tonight, perhaps a few more seats for the minority parties, but that may be about it. Lets face it, the majority of people here in Alberta are benefiting because of the economy. Whether or not our government has anything to do with that is almost irrelevant. The majority of people are not going to change that system in fear of having a little less to spend out of their pockets.


Realistic Albertan
said
0 0

If your home is paid off, you don't need health care, you aren't concerned about the environment, you have a high paying job ($100,000+), and you could care less about infrastructure and the less fortunate; then by all means, keep voting Conservative.


Brent/Calgary
said
0 0

The first comment by 'ques' is on the mark. There's never been a more dynamic and prosperous region in the western world as Alberta in 2008. No Liberal party can break through by telling the 25-year-old earning a hundred thousand and driving a 45 thousand dollar pick up that he is suffering. There will always be whiners but most Albertans believe in hard work and self-responsibility.


ques
said
0 0

The PCs need leadership, love him or hate him, king ralph did that. i did not agree with alot of what he said he would do, but he did what he said he would. It's that leadership that made the PCs of old rule Alberta. The liberals and NDP need to step off their socialist illness does not belong in a place of prosparity they are the pluage of the inept and weak minded, those who are unwilling to help themselves or who cry over someone else's stubbed toe will find themselves in these camps.


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